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Before the FOMC Statement, the Rate Cut Was Nailed on the Board, with an 85.4% Probability of Another Rate Cut in December
BlockBeats News, October 30th, according to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in October is 97.8%, and the probability of rates remaining unchanged is 2.2%.
The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged until December is 0.3%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 14.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 85.4%.
The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged until January next year is 0.1%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 7.5%, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 50.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point rate cut is 41.6%.
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The probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December is currently at 71%.
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