Bitcoin’s Double Bottom Pattern Signals Potential Surge to $110K, Though CME Gap Could Delay the Rally

By: crypto insight|2025/11/11 06:30:07
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Key Takeaways

  • Bitcoin’s double bottom formation suggests strong bullish momentum that could push prices toward $110,000 if resistance levels break.
  • A lingering CME gap around $104,000 might cause a temporary pullback, drawing prices back to fill the void before any major advance.
  • Rising stablecoin reserves indicate building liquidity on the sidelines, ready to fuel market moves once confirmation arrives.
  • Short-term holders are showing signs of stress, with inflows to exchanges like Binance hinting at possible volatility in the near term.
  • Onchain metrics point to key resistance at $108,500, where many investors bought in, potentially acting as a barrier during recovery.

Imagine Bitcoin as a resilient fighter in the ring, getting knocked down twice but bouncing back stronger each time. That’s essentially what the double bottom pattern represents—a classic sign of reversal where the price dips to a support level twice, forms a “W” shape, and then charges upward. Over the recent weekend, Bitcoin pulled off this maneuver flawlessly, closing the week on a high note above its 50-week moving average. It’s the kind of setup that gets traders excited, whispering promises of a run toward $110,000. But hold on—there’s a plot twist. A sneaky CME gap might just step in like an unexpected referee, postponing the big rally and forcing a quick retreat. Let’s dive into this unfolding story, exploring what it means for Bitcoin’s path ahead, and how you, as an investor or enthusiast, can navigate these waters.

Understanding the Double Bottom: Bitcoin’s Bullish Foundation

Picture this: Bitcoin’s price chart looking like the letter “W,” with two lows around the $100,000 mark, each time testing the waters but refusing to sink further. This double bottom isn’t just a random squiggle; it’s a tried-and-true technical pattern that often signals the end of a downtrend and the start of something bigger. In this case, it lined up perfectly with a daily order block spanning from $98,100 to $102,000—a zone where buyers have historically stepped in with conviction.

What makes this particularly compelling is how Bitcoin rebounded right from that 75th percentile cost basis, sitting neatly at about $100,000. Think of the cost basis as the average price where most holders picked up their coins. When the price dips to this level and bounces, it’s like the market saying, “Nope, we’re not going lower.” Glassnode’s data backs this up, showing that these percentile levels map out where the crowd’s money is parked, creating natural support zones.

Now, fast-forward to the four-hour chart, where we saw a clear bullish break of structure. That’s trader speak for the price smashing through previous highs, flipping resistance into support. If this momentum keeps rolling, the next target in sight is around $111,300. But here’s where it gets interesting—onchain indicators suggest the road might not be as smooth as we’d like. The 85th percentile cost basis looms at roughly $108,500, a spot that has played the role of stubborn resistance in past recoveries. It’s like trying to push through a crowded doorway; there’s a lot of weight holding it back until enough force builds up.

To make this relatable, compare it to buying a house in a hot market. You might find a great deal at the bottom, but as prices climb, sellers at higher levels start holding out, creating friction. Bitcoin’s journey here feels similar—plenty of holders who bought around $108,500 might decide to cash out, adding selling pressure. Yet, if the bulls maintain control, breaking past this could open the floodgates toward that $110,000 milestone, and potentially even higher, with some liquidity pools spotted above $115,000 acting as magnets for price action.

The CME Gap: A Short-Term Hurdle in Bitcoin’s Path

Ah, the infamous CME gap—it’s like that unfinished business from the weekend that comes back to haunt you on Monday morning. For those new to this, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) futures market closes over the weekend, so when Bitcoin moves while it’s shut, a “gap” forms between Friday’s close and Monday’s open. These gaps have a quirky habit of getting filled, meaning the price often revisits that level to balance things out.

In this scenario, there’s a gap hanging out between $103,100 and $104,000. It’s not just a random number; it’s a short-term risk that could pull Bitcoin back for a quick dip. Why? Traders love to hunt these gaps, betting on the pullback as a high-probability play. With long-side liquidity around $100,000 pretty much exhausted from the recent bounces, the path of least resistance might be a revisit to $101,000–$102,500. That’s where some one-hour and four-hour order blocks from the weekend could provide a safety net, allowing Bitcoin to regroup before charging ahead.

Think of it like a rubber band stretched too far—sometimes it snaps back before launching forward. Data supports this caution: as liquidity thins and participation drops, these retracements become more likely. But don’t panic; historical patterns show that filling a CME gap often sets the stage for stronger moves afterward. It’s a temporary detour, not a dead end, potentially aligning with broader bullish trends if external factors play nice.

Stablecoin Buildup: Fuel Waiting in the Wings for Bitcoin

Shifting gears, let’s talk about stablecoins—the unsung heroes of the crypto world. They’re like the cash reserves in your wallet, stable and ready to deploy when opportunity knocks. Recent data from CryptoQuant paints an intriguing picture: the Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) has dropped sharply from above 18 earlier this year to 13.1, marking one of the lowest levels in 2025. What does this mean? It’s a signal of growing stablecoin reserves compared to Bitcoin’s market cap, essentially offchain liquidity piling up on the sidelines.

Over the past month alone, SSR slid from 15 to 13 while Bitcoin lingered around $105,000. This isn’t random; it suggests buyers are holding their fire, waiting for a clear signal to jump in. It’s akin to fans at a concert building anticipation before the main act—once the music starts, the energy explodes. If this liquidity floods into Bitcoin, it could supercharge the uptrend, pushing past those resistance levels we’ve discussed.

But there’s a flip side. Analyst observations highlight a 40% spike in short-term holder inflows to exchanges like Binance since September, jumping from 5,000 BTC to 8,700 BTC. Short-term holders, those who’ve held for less than a few months, have a realized price around $112,000, meaning many are still underwater. They’re like nervous newcomers at a poker table, quick to fold under pressure. This group’s behavior often leads to shakeouts—short bursts of selling that clear out weak hands before the real rally resumes.

Evidence from past cycles supports this: these inflows precede volatility, but they also pave the way for continuations once the dust settles. Platforms like WEEX, known for their robust analytics and user-friendly interfaces, make it easier to track these metrics in real-time, helping traders align their strategies with onchain signals. By offering tools to monitor stablecoin flows and holder behavior, WEEX enhances decision-making, positioning itself as a reliable partner in navigating these market dynamics.

Short-Term Holders and Market Volatility: Reading the Signs

Diving deeper into short-term holders (STHs), their stress levels are a key barometer for near-term action. With many sitting on unrealized losses, any price wobble can trigger selling waves, amplifying volatility. It’s comparable to a snowball rolling downhill—starts small but can gather momentum quickly. Yet, this isn’t all doom and gloom; these shakeouts often mark mid-cycle corrections, weeding out speculation and setting a firmer base for growth.

Real-world examples abound. Remember past bull runs where STH selling preceded massive gains? It’s a pattern that repeats, backed by onchain data showing how these cohorts react to price swings. As we approach potential resistance at $108,500, keeping an eye on STH inflows could be crucial. If they ease up, it might signal reduced selling pressure, allowing the double bottom’s bullish narrative to take center stage.

Latest Updates and Social Buzz: What’s Trending in Bitcoin as of 2025

As of November 11, 2025, the Bitcoin conversation is buzzing across social platforms. On Twitter, topics like “#BitcoinDoubleBottom” and “#CMEGap” are trending, with users debating whether this pattern will hold amid global economic shifts. A recent tweet from a prominent crypto analyst gained traction: “Bitcoin’s double bottom is solid, but don’t ignore that CME gap—could be a trapdoor before $110K. #BTC.” This echoes the caution we’re seeing in the data, with over 50,000 retweets highlighting community interest.

Google searches are spiking too, with queries like “What is a Bitcoin double bottom?” and “How does CME gap affect BTC price?” topping the charts. People are also searching “Stablecoin impact on Bitcoin rally” frequently, reflecting curiosity about liquidity’s role. Adding to the mix, a fresh announcement from major exchanges notes increased stablecoin inflows, aligning with the SSR drop. For instance, reports as of today indicate a 5% uptick in stablecoin reserves over the last week, potentially setting the stage for deployment if Bitcoin breaks key levels.

On the discussion front, Twitter threads are dissecting STH behavior, with one viral post stating: “STH inflows to Binance up 40%—volatility incoming, but bulls win long-term. #Crypto.” This ties into broader talks about market resilience, especially with whispers of regulatory clarity boosting sentiment. As of this morning, Bitcoin hovers near recent highs, but the CME gap remains unfilled, keeping traders on edge.

These updates underscore the dynamic nature of crypto. By staying informed through reliable platforms like WEEX, which provide real-time feeds and analytical tools, you can align your moves with the latest buzz. WEEX’s commitment to transparency and advanced charting helps users spot patterns like the double bottom early, fostering a community of informed traders who thrive on data-driven insights.

Navigating Resistance and Liquidity: The Bigger Picture for Bitcoin

Pulling it all together, Bitcoin’s current setup is a blend of optimism and realism. The double bottom offers a strong foundation, much like a well-built bridge ready to carry traffic to new heights. Yet, obstacles like the CME gap and resistance at $108,500 remind us that markets aren’t straight lines—they zigzag, testing resolve along the way.

Liquidity dynamics add another layer. With exhausted pools below $100,000 and potential grabs above $115,000, the price could swing to collect orders before committing to a direction. It’s like a chess game where each move anticipates the opponent’s response. Data from onchain sources reinforces this, showing how percentile cost bases act as psychological barriers, grounded in where real money entered the market.

For comparison, contrast this with earlier 2025 dips, where similar patterns led to 20-30% gains post-retracement. The evidence is there: when stablecoins mobilize and STH pressure eases, rallies accelerate. Platforms enhancing this visibility, such as WEEX with its seamless integration of onchain metrics, empower users to make aligned choices, boosting confidence in volatile times.

In essence, while $110,000 beckons, patience might be key. The CME gap could enforce a brief pause, but the underlying strength—fueled by stablecoin buildup and technical patterns—points to upward potential. As you ponder your next move, remember: markets reward the prepared. Engage with the data, watch the signals, and let the story unfold.

FAQ

What is a Bitcoin double bottom pattern and why does it matter?

A double bottom pattern occurs when Bitcoin’s price hits a low point twice, forming a “W” shape, signaling a potential reversal from downtrend to uptrend. It matters because it often precedes bullish moves, like the current setup eyeing $110,000, backed by historical rebounds from support zones.

How might the CME gap impact Bitcoin’s short-term price?

The CME gap between $103,100 and $104,000 could lead to a temporary pullback as prices often return to fill these voids from weekend movements. This might cause volatility but typically sets up for stronger advances once resolved.

What role do stablecoins play in Bitcoin’s potential rally?

Stablecoins represent sidelined liquidity, with the SSR dropping to 13.1 indicating reserves building up. When deployed, this could fuel Bitcoin’s uptrend, acting like fresh capital waiting for bullish confirmation.

Why are short-term holders important to watch right now?

Short-term holders, with inflows up 40% to places like Binance, often sell during volatility, creating shakeouts. Their realized price at $112,000 means many are underwater, potentially adding pressure but clearing the way for long-term gains.

How can I stay updated on Bitcoin trends like these?

Track onchain data, social trends on Twitter, and Google searches for queries like “Bitcoin double bottom.” Using platforms with real-time tools, such as WEEX, helps monitor patterns and updates effectively as of 2025.

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