Is Ethereum Poised for a Bullish Surge by 2025’s End?
Key Takeaways:
- Ethereum (ETH) is currently facing competitive pressure from blockchain rivals like Solana, BNB Chain, and incoming altcoin ETFs.
- Sluggish network activity and reduced transaction fees are major factors affecting ETH’s price trajectory.
- The successful implementation of Ethereum’s upcoming Fusaka upgrade and renewed institutional inflows are crucial for a potential price recovery.
- Ethereum’s dominance in institutional deposits doesn’t necessarily guarantee increased DApp revenues.
- Market trends show the growing traction of Ethereum competitors in both transaction volume and user activity.
Ethereum’s prospects for an upward momentum before the close of 2025 hinge on resolving several pivotal challenges. While the struggle to reclaim the $4,000 price point persists, influenced by diminished onchain activity and intensified competition from blockchain peers and novel altcoin ETFs, the solutions lie in enhancing network engagement and clarifying blockchain upgrade benefits.
The Current Landscape of Ethereum
Ethereum has traditionally enjoyed supremacy in institutional circles, holding sway over deposits with significant appeal due to its staking yield and rapid data processing capability. Yet, since October 29, Ethereum’s price attempts to surpass $4,000 have been thwarted repeatedly, leaving stakeholders pondering over the factors that are curbing Ethereum’s expected price ascent.
A sharp 23% decline in transaction volumes and a 3% drop in active addresses over recent weeks hint at broader systemic challenges. These trends emerge in contrast to Tron and BNB Chain, which show a noticeable uptick in activity. Solana, another significant competitor, also reports a 15% increase in active addresses, showcasing the competitive pressures Ethereum faces.
Competition and Fees: The Achilles’ Heel
The central thesis on Ethereum’s underperformance revolves around competition and transaction fees. As competitors present a more streamlined, low-cost processing alternative, Ethereum must adapt by refining the interaction between decentralized apps (DApps) and wallets, besides minimizing the friction associated with cross-chain bridges. The race is not just technological but also strategic with Solana and others introducing products like ETFs that draw institutional interest and potentially drain capital from Ethereum.
Ethereum’s foray into ETFs in the U.S. in mid-2024 marked a significant technological and financial stride, putting it momentarily ahead of emerging altcoins. However, the successful rollout of Solana ETFs soon after has normalized this advantage, creating a crowded investment space. This scenario further complicates the prospects of substantial capital inflows into Ethereum, as financial giants may pivot towards diversification rather than platform-specific loyalty.
Onboarding and Layer-2 Conundrums
Despite Ethereum’s dominance in the realm of Total Value Locked (TVL) and its successful partial integration of layer-2 solutions like Base, questions linger over its real-world impact on DApp revenues. Competing platforms continue to nibble at Ethereum’s pie, with Solana maintaining a vantage position in DApp revenue generation. Emerging platforms such as Hyperliquid also pose significant challenges with innovative user-onboarding strategies.
The efficacy of Ethereum’s planned Fusaka upgrade—expected to streamline data operations through layer-2 rollups—lies at the heart of investor speculation. Although improved processing capacity is a welcome development, the tangible benefits for ETH holders in terms of staking yields and network profitability remain clouded in uncertainty.
Navigating the Path Ahead
A critical reassessment of Ethereum’s market strategy and technology roadmap appears imperative. From optimizing fees to redefining usage strategies for DApps, Ethereum’s future will largely depend on how it navigates these necessities. Improved onchain activity and strategic partnerships can potentially revitalize the ecosystem, drawing necessary inflows from strategic reserve entities.
In the volatile landscape of blockchain, Ethereum’s price path to $4,000 and beyond remains as much dependent on external market dynamics as on its competitive internal refinements. With the market bracing for the Fusaka upgrade, clarity on its benefits could tip the scales in Ethereum’s favor, setting the stage for potential recovery. Stakeholders will eagerly await signs of reinforced momentum powered by onchain activity revival and stakeholder confidence.
FAQs
What are the critical factors affecting Ethereum’s current market performance?
Key factors include reduced onchain activity, heightened competition from Solana and BNB Chain, and declining network fees. Rectifying these issues, along with leveraging the Fusaka upgrade, are pivotal for Ethereum’s trajectory.
How does competition from Solana and BNB Chain impact Ethereum?
Competitors offer lower transaction fees and smoother user experiences, attracting users and potentially draining capital from Ethereum’s offerings.
How will the Fusaka upgrade influence Ethereum’s prospects?
The Fusaka upgrade promises to enhance data processing through layer-2 rollups, but its success will hinge on delivering clear benefits for staking yields and overall network profitability.
Why are institutional inflows critical for Ethereum?
Institutional inflows provide significant financial support and can drive ETH’s price upward, especially as blockchain competition intensifies.
What role do ETFs play in Ethereum’s market strategy?
ETFs expand Ethereum’s appeal to institutional investors but pose challenges as competing altcoin ETFs also vie for the same investment capital, potentially affecting Ethereum’s market share.
You may also like

December 24th Market Key Intelligence, How Much Did You Miss?

Base's 2025 Report Card: Revenue Grows 30X, Solidifies L2 Leadership

The Trillion-Dollar Stablecoin Battle: Binance Decides to Step in Again

Are Those High-Raised 2021 Projects Still Alive?

Aave Community Governance Drama Escalates, What's the Overseas Crypto Community Talking About Today?

Key Market Information Discrepancy on December 24th - A Must-See! | Alpha Morning Report

Polymarket Announces In-House L2, Is Polygon's Ace Up?

Ether pumps to outsiders, dumps in-house. Can Tom Lee's team still be trusted?

Coinbase Joins Prediction Market, AAVE Governance Dispute - What's the Overseas Crypto Community Talking About Today?
Over the past 24 hours, the crypto market has shown strong momentum across multiple dimensions. The mainstream discussion has focused on Coinbase's official entry into the prediction market through the acquisition of The Clearing Company, as well as the intense controversy within the AAVE community regarding token incentives and governance rights.
In terms of ecosystem development, Solana has introduced the innovative Kora fee layer aimed at reducing user transaction costs; meanwhile, the Perp DEX competition has intensified, with the showdown between Hyperliquid and Lighter sparking widespread community discussion on the future of decentralized derivatives.
This week, Coinbase announced the acquisition of The Clearing Company, marking another significant move to deepen its presence in this field after last week's announcement of launching a prediction market on its platform.
The Clearing Company's founder, Toni Gemayel, and the team will join Coinbase to jointly drive the development of the prediction market business.
Coinbase's Product Lead, Shan Aggarwal, stated that the growth of the prediction market is still in its early stages and predicts that 2026 will be the breakout year for this field.
The community has reacted positively to this, generally believing that Coinbase's entry will bring significant traffic and compliance advantages to the prediction market. However, this has also sparked discussions about the industry's competitive landscape.
Jai Bhavnani, Founder of Rivalry, commented that for startups, if their product model proves to be successful, industry giants like Coinbase have ample reason to replicate it.
This serves as a reminder to all entrepreneurs in the crypto space that they must build significant moats to withstand competition pressure from these giants.
Regulated prediction market platform Kalshi launched its research arm, Kalshi Research, this week, aimed at opening its internal data to the academic community and researchers to facilitate exploration of prediction market-related topics.
Its inaugural research report highlights Kalshi's outperformance in predicting inflation compared to Wall Street's traditional models. Kalshi co-founder Luana Lopes Lara commented that the power of prediction markets lies in the valuable data they generate, and it is now time to better utilize this data.
Meanwhile, Kalshi announced its support for the BNB Chain (BSC), allowing users to deposit and withdraw BNB and USDT via the BSC network.
This move is seen as a significant step for Kalshi to open its platform to a broader crypto user base, aiming to unlock access to the world's largest prediction market. Furthermore, Kalshi also revealed plans to host the first Prediction Market Summit in 2026 to further drive industry engagement and development.
The AAVE community recently engaged in heated debates around an Aave Improvement Proposal (AIP) titled "AAVE Tokenomics Alignment Phase One - Ownership Governance," aiming to transfer ownership and control of the Aave brand from Aave Labs to Aave DAO.
Aave founder Stani Kulechov publicly stated his intention to vote against the proposal, believing it oversimplifies the complex legal and operational structure, potentially slowing down the development process of core products like Aave V4.
The community's reaction was polarized. Some criticized Stani for adopting a "double standard" in governance and questioned whether his team had siphoned off protocol revenue, while others supported his cautious stance, arguing that significant governance changes require more thorough discussion.
This controversy highlights the tension between the ideal of DAO governance in DeFi projects and the actual power held by core development teams.
Despite governance disputes putting pressure on the AAVE token price, on-chain data shows that Stani Kulechov himself has purchased millions of dollars' worth of AAVE in the past few hours.
Simultaneously, a whale address, 0xDDC4, which had been quiet for 6 months, once again spent 500 ETH (approximately $1.53 million) to purchase 9,629 AAVE tokens. Data indicates that this whale has accumulated nearly 40,000 AAVE over the past year but is currently in an unrealized loss position.
The founder and whale's increased holdings during market volatility were interpreted by some investors as a confidence signal in AAVE's long-term value.
In this week's top article, Morpho Labs' "Curator Explained" detailed the role of "curators" in DeFi.
The article likened curators to asset managers in traditional finance, who design, deploy, and manage on-chain vaults, providing users with a one-click diversified investment portfolio.
Unlike traditional fund managers, DeFi curators execute strategies automatically through non-custodial smart contracts, allowing users to maintain full control of their assets. The article offered a new perspective on the specialization and risk management in the DeFi space.
Another widely circulated article, "Ethereum 2025: From Experiment to Global Infrastructure," provided a comprehensive summary of Ethereum's development over the past year. The article noted that 2025 is a crucial year for Ethereum's transition from an experimental project to global financial infrastructure. Through the Pectra and Fusaka hard forks, Ethereum achieved significant reductions in account abstraction and transaction costs.
Furthermore, the SEC's clarification of Ethereum's "non-securities" nature and the launch of tokenized funds on the Ethereum mainnet by traditional financial giants like JPMorgan marked Ethereum's gaining recognition from mainstream institutions. The article suggested that whether it is the continued growth of DeFi, the thriving L2 ecosystem, or the integration with the AI field, Ethereum's vision as the "world computer" is gradually becoming a reality.
The Solana Foundation engineering team released a fee layer solution called Kora this week.
Kora is a fee relayer and signatory node designed to provide the Solana ecosystem with a more flexible transaction fee payment method. Through Kora, users will be able to achieve gas-free transactions or choose to pay network fees using any stablecoin or SPL token. This innovation is seen as an important step in lowering the barrier of entry for new users and improving Solana network's availability.
Additionally, a deep research report on propAMM (proactive market maker) sparked community interest. The report's data analysis of propAMMs on Solana like HumidiFi indicated that Solana has achieved, or even surpassed, the level of transaction execution quality in traditional finance (TradFi) markets.
For example, on the SOL-USDC trading pair, HumidiFi is able to provide a highly competitive spread for large trades (0.4-1.6 bps), which is already better than the trading slippage of some mid-cap stocks in traditional markets.
Research suggests that propAMM is making the vision of the "Internet Capital Market" a reality, with Solana emerging as the prime venue for all of this to happen.
The competition in the perpetual contract DEX (Perp DEX) space is becoming increasingly heated.
In its latest official article, Hyperliquid has positioned its emerging competitor, Lighter, alongside centralized exchanges like Binance, referring to it as a platform utilizing a centralized sequencer. Hyperliquid emphasizes its transparency advantage of being "fully on-chain, operated by a validator network, and with no hidden state."
The community widely interprets this as Hyperliquid declaring "war" on Lighter. The technical differences between the two platforms have also become a focal point of discussion: Hyperliquid focuses on ultimate on-chain transparency, while Lighter emphasizes achieving "verifiable execution" through zero-knowledge proofs to provide users with a Central Limit Order Book (CLOB)-like trading experience.
This battle over the future direction of decentralized derivatives exchanges is expected to peak in 2026.
Meanwhile, discussions about Lighter's trading fees have surfaced. Some users have pointed out that Lighter charged as much as 81 basis points (0.81%) for a $2 million USD/JPY forex trade, far exceeding the near-zero spreads of traditional forex brokers.
Some argue that Lighter does not follow a B-book model that bets against market makers, instead anchoring its prices to the TradFi market, and the high fees may be related to the current liquidity or market maker balance incentives. Providing a more competitive spread for real-world assets (RWA) in the highly volatile crypto market is a key issue Lighter will need to address in the future.

The Secret Centralization Landscape of Stablecoin Payments: 85% of Transaction Volume Controlled by Top 1000 Wallets

Why Did Market Sentiment Completely Collapse in 2025? Decoding Messari's Ten-Thousand-Word Annual Report

Audiera Sees Massive Price Surge – Key Cryptocurrency Updates
Key Takeaways Audiera (BEAT) has witnessed significant growth, experiencing a 70.10% increase in the past week. Despite the…

Market Outlook: The Future of Cryptocurrency by 2026
Key Takeaways The report focuses on the impact of critical factors like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana, alongside regulatory…

Stability in the Crypto World: Understanding Stablecoin Usage and Its Implications
Key Takeaways Stablecoin use in payments has rapidly increased alongside blockchain technology advancements. Stablecoins USDT and USDC dominate…

Trump’s World Liberty Financial Token Ends 2025 Down Over 40%
Key Takeaways World Liberty Financial, a Trump family crypto project, faces substantial losses in 2025. The project initially…

Former SEC Counsel Explains What It Takes to Achieve Compliance in RWA Tokenization
Key Takeaways Shifts in the SEC’s regulatory approach to cryptocurrency are aiding the growth of compliance in Real-World…

Blockchains Quietly Prepare for Quantum Threat Amid Bitcoin’s Debate Over Timeline
Key Takeaways Many blockchains are preparing for potential threats from quantum computing by integrating post-quantum technologies. Ethereum views…

Ronin and ZKsync’s Onchain Metrics Experienced Notable Declines in 2025
Key Takeaways Some of the major blockchain networks, including Ronin and ZKsync, saw a significant reduction in onchain…
December 24th Market Key Intelligence, How Much Did You Miss?
Base's 2025 Report Card: Revenue Grows 30X, Solidifies L2 Leadership
The Trillion-Dollar Stablecoin Battle: Binance Decides to Step in Again
Are Those High-Raised 2021 Projects Still Alive?
Aave Community Governance Drama Escalates, What's the Overseas Crypto Community Talking About Today?
Key Market Information Discrepancy on December 24th - A Must-See! | Alpha Morning Report
Popular coins
Latest Crypto News
Customer Support:@weikecs
Business Cooperation:@weikecs
Quant Trading & MM:bd@weex.com
VIP Services:support@weex.com