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QCP Capital: Caution Advised on Chasing Price Higher, Scaling on Dips May Be a Better Strategy
BlockBeats News, July 14th, QCP Capital posted on its official channel stating that Bitcoin has recently continued its strong upward trend, breaking through $122,000 to hit a new all-time high. Technical breakthroughs and a large influx of institutional funds have been the main driving forces. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index has risen from 40 to 70 in three weeks, indicating a rapid shift in market sentiment from "fear" to "greed."
The data shows that net inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs exceeded $2 billion last week, showing strong institutional interest. Meanwhile, leverage long positions in perpetual contracts continue to increase, with the funding rate approaching 30%. The total open interest has exceeded $43 billion, one of the highest levels this year.
The options market has shown relatively rational behavior. Despite the continuous rise in spot prices, the increase in implied volatility has been moderate, reflecting a more mature market. The trend of risk reversals for the one-month period is stable, while the demand for call options in September and December is rising, indicating a market tendency to hedge against short-term volatility while maintaining bullish expectations in the medium to long term.
Despite Bitcoin's strong performance, given the high funding rates and lingering liquidation risks, it is advisable to remain cautious about chasing the price higher, and a strategy that considers pullbacks may be more optimal.
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