Tether and Circle’s Stablecoin Empire Crumbling: How Distribution Channels Are Overtaking Network Effects

By: crypto insight|2025/10/28 08:46:07

Key Takeaways

  • Tether and Circle’s grip on the stablecoin market, holding about 85% of the supply worth around 2650 billion dollars, is weakening as distribution channels prove more powerful than traditional network effects.
  • Emerging forces like white-label issuance and ecosystem-native stablecoins are allowing blockchains and apps to internalize yields, potentially shifting billions in value away from established giants by 2027 when the total stablecoin market could exceed 1 trillion dollars.
  • DeFi platforms such as Hyperliquid are leading the charge by launching their own stablecoins, capturing reserves yields that previously flowed to outsiders like Circle and Coinbase, marking a shift toward more aligned ecosystem economics.
  • Public chains like Solana are losing out on roughly 11 billion dollars in annual yields from idle stablecoins, highlighting the urgent need for strategies like revenue-sharing or native issuance to reclaim value and build sustainable income streams.
  • The rise of stablecoin-as-a-service models from providers like Ethena is commoditizing issuance, empowering apps and chains with strong user bases to monetize their distribution power and reduce dependency on zero-yield options like USDT and USDC.

Imagine you’re running a bustling marketplace where everyone trades using a specific type of currency that you don’t control. Every transaction funnels profits to some far-off bankers who barely contribute to your ecosystem. Sounds frustrating, right? That’s essentially the story of stablecoins in the crypto world today. For years, Tether and Circle have dominated this space, commanding about 85% of the circulating supply, which totals around 2650 billion dollars. Tether, with its roughly 1850 billion dollars in circulation, is reportedly seeking a 200 billion dollar funding round at a staggering 5000 billion dollar valuation. Circle, meanwhile, sits at about 800 billion dollars in circulation with a 350 billion dollar valuation. But here’s the twist: their once-unshakable moats, built on network effects, are starting to erode. By 2027, the entire stablecoin market could balloon past 1 trillion dollars, yet much of that growth won’t pad the pockets of these incumbents. Instead, it’s flowing toward ecosystem-native stablecoins and white-label issuance strategies, where blockchains and applications are internalizing yields through smarter distribution channels.

What’s driving this seismic shift? Three major forces are at play, reshaping how value is captured in the stablecoin arena. First off, distribution channels are proving far more critical than the so-called network effects that Tether and Circle have relied on. Think of it like this: in the early days of e-commerce, giants like Amazon built empires on sheer scale, but now niche platforms with loyal user bases are chipping away by owning their supply chains. Similarly, Circle’s cozy relationship with Coinbase illustrates this perfectly. Coinbase pockets 50% of the residual yields from Circle’s USDC reserves, plus all the yields from USDC held on its platform. In 2024 alone, Circle raked in about 17 billion dollars from reserves, handing over roughly 9.08 billion dollars to Coinbase. This shows that partners with strong distribution can siphon off the lion’s share of economic value. It’s no wonder players with robust channels are now opting to issue their own stablecoins rather than letting issuers like Tether or Circle reap the rewards.

Platforms like WEEX are a prime example of how forward-thinking exchanges can align with this trend. By focusing on user-centric distribution and seamless integration of stablecoins, WEEX enhances its brand as a reliable hub for traders, potentially positioning itself to capture yields in ways that benefit its ecosystem without relying on external giants. This kind of brand alignment—where distribution strategies reinforce trust and community value—sets innovative players apart in a commoditizing market.

Cross-Chain Infrastructure: Making Stablecoins Interchangeable and Eroding Old Advantages

The second force? Cross-chain infrastructure is turning stablecoins into interchangeable commodities. Gone are the days when switching between them felt like navigating a maze. Upgrades to official bridges on major Layer 2 networks, universal messaging protocols from LayerZero and Chainlink, and smart routing aggregators have made intra-chain and cross-chain swaps nearly cost-free with a native user experience. Picture it like currency exchange at an airport: what used to be a hassle with high fees is now effortless. Not long ago, choosing the wrong stablecoin could lock you into inefficiencies, but today, liquidity demands dictate quick pivots. This levels the playing field, diminishing the sticky advantages Tether and Circle once enjoyed.

Adding to this, regulatory clarity is dismantling entry barriers—the third key driver. Legislation like the GENIUS Act is paving the way for a unified framework for U.S.-based stablecoins, reducing risks for infrastructure providers holding these assets. Meanwhile, a surge in white-label issuers is driving down fixed issuance costs, and treasury yields are providing a strong incentive to monetize float. The result? The stablecoin stack is becoming commoditized and homogenized, wiping out structural edges for the big players. Anyone with effective distribution can now internalize stablecoin economics instead of handing yields over to others. Early movers include fintech wallets, centralized exchanges, and, most notably, DeFi protocols—where this trend is manifesting most vividly and with the deepest impact.

DeFi’s Shift: From Yield Leakage to Internalized Profits in Stablecoin Economics

This transformation is already unfolding in the on-chain economy. Compared to Circle and Tether, many blockchains and apps boast stronger network effects in terms of product-market fit, user stickiness, and distribution efficiency. They’re turning to white-label stablecoin solutions to leverage their user bases and capture yields that would otherwise go to legacy issuers. For on-chain investors who’ve long overlooked stablecoins, this opens up fresh opportunities. Take Hyperliquid as the pioneering “defector” in DeFi. At one point, about 55 billion dollars in USDC sat on the platform, generating roughly 2.2 billion dollars annually in extra yields for Circle and Coinbase—none of which stayed with Hyperliquid.

Before a validator vote on code ownership, Hyperliquid announced its pivot to a native issuance centered on itself. Circle had benefited immensely from being the primary trading pair in Hyperliquid’s core markets, riding the exchange’s explosive growth without much giveback to the ecosystem. For Hyperliquid, this was a massive value leak to non-contributing third parties, clashing with its community-first ethos. The bidding process for USDH drew major white-label players like Native Markets, Paxos, Frax, Agora, MakerDAO (Sky), Curve Finance, and Ethena Labs. This was the first large-scale competition for stablecoin economics at the application layer, redefining the value of distribution rights.

Native ultimately won with a proposal aligned to Hyperliquid’s incentives: issuer-neutral, compliant, with reserves managed offline by BlackRock and on-chain support from Superstate. Crucially, 50% of reserve yields feed directly into Hyperliquid’s treasury fund, with the rest boosting USDH liquidity. While USDH won’t displace USDC overnight, it signals a power migration in DeFi: moats and yields are shifting to apps and ecosystems with stable user bases and strong distribution, away from traditional issuers like Circle and Tether.

The Rise of White-Label Stablecoins: Stablecoin-as-a-Service Takes Center Stage

Over recent months, white-label stablecoin models have proliferated, resembling a SaaS boom. Ethena Labs’ “stablecoin-as-a-service” offering is at the forefront, with projects like Sui, MegaETH, and Jupiter either adopting or planning to issue their own via Ethena’s infrastructure. Ethena’s edge lies in routing yields back to holders. USDe’s returns stem from basis trades, and though yields have dipped to about 5.5% as supply tops 125 billion dollars, that’s still above the roughly 4% from U.S. treasuries and far better than the zero yields from USDT or USDC.

That said, as other issuers pass treasury yields directly to users, Ethena’s relative advantage wanes—treasury-backed stablecoins offer a superior risk-reward profile. If rate-cut cycles persist, basis trade spreads could widen, bolstering these yield-bearing models. You might wonder if this skirts the GENIUS Act’s ban on issuers paying yields directly to users. The restriction isn’t as ironclad as it seems; it doesn’t explicitly prohibit third-party platforms or intermediaries from distributing rewards sourced from issuers. This gray area remains unclarified, but DeFi’s permissionless nature means it often operates on the edges anyway. More important than legalese is the economic reality driving these changes.

As of 2025, this topic has sparked buzz on social media. On Twitter, discussions around stablecoin yields have surged, with influencers like @0xMert from Helius advocating for ecosystem-aligned stablecoins on Solana, suggesting 50% of yields for token buybacks. Recent posts highlight how platforms like WEEX are exploring integrations that enhance brand alignment by prioritizing user yields, positioning them as community-focused alternatives. Google searches for “best yield-bearing stablecoins 2025” and “how to launch white-label stablecoin” have spiked, reflecting growing interest in these models amid regulatory updates like potential expansions to the GENIUS Act.

The Stablecoin Tax: How Major Chains Are Hemorrhaging Yields

Right now, on chains like Solana, BSC, Arbitrum, Avalanche, and Aptos, about 300 billion dollars in USDC and USDT lie idle. At a 4% reserve yield rate, that’s roughly 11 billion dollars in annual interest flowing straight to Circle and Tether—about 40% more than these chains’ total transaction fee revenues. It’s a stark reality: stablecoins represent the largest untapped value pool in L1s, L2s, and apps. For instance, these ecosystems collectively earn about 8 billion dollars in fees while handing over 11 billion in yields.

In essence, they’re bleeding billions yearly. Even capturing a fraction could reshape their economics, offering a more resilient, cycle-resistant income base than volatile transaction fees. What’s stopping them? Nothing, really. Options abound: negotiate revenue shares with Circle or Tether (à la Coinbase), run competitive tenders for white-label issuers like Hyperliquid did, or tap stablecoin-as-a-service from Ethena to launch natives. Each path has trade-offs—sticking with USDC or USDT brings familiarity, liquidity, and battle-tested stability, while natives offer control and higher yields but face bootstrapping challenges. Infrastructure exists for both.

Redefining Chain Economics: Stablecoins as the New Revenue Powerhouse

Stablecoins could become the biggest revenue driver for certain chains and apps. When blockchain economies rely solely on transaction fees, growth hits a structural ceiling—revenue only rises if users pay more, clashing with efforts to lower barriers. MegaETH’s USDm, issued via Ethena with BlackRock’s on-chain treasury product BUIDL as backing, counters this. By internalizing USDm yields, MegaETH runs its sequencer near cost, reinvesting into community initiatives for a sustainable, innovation-friendly structure.

Solana’s top DEX aggregator, Jupiter, is mirroring this with JupUSD, integrating it deeply—from collateral in Jupiter Perps (replacing about 7.5 billion dollars in stablecoin reserves) to liquidity pools in Jupiter Lend. Whether yields fund user rewards, token buybacks, or incentives, they accrue far more value than ceding everything to external issuers. This is the core pivot: yields once passively drained to legacy players are now actively reclaimed by apps and chains.

Valuation Mismatches: Apps Leading the Charge in Sustainable Economics

As this unfolds, chains and apps are forging paths to sustainable revenues less tied to crypto’s boom-bust cycles or speculative fervor. This could finally justify their often-criticized high valuations. Traditional frameworks value them based on total economic activity, where fees represent user costs and chain income is the portion captured via burns or treasuries. But this model falters—it assumes value accrual from activity alone, ignoring leaks elsewhere.

Change is afoot, led by the application layer. Standouts like Pump.fun and Hyperliquid direct nearly 100% of revenues (not just fees) to token buybacks, yet their valuation multiples lag far behind infrastructure layers. These apps generate real, transparent cash flows, not hypothetical ones.Contrast Solana: over the past year, it tallied about 6.32 billion dollars in fees and 13 billion in revenues, with a 1050 billion dollar market cap and 1185 billion fully diluted valuation. That’s a 166x multiple on fees and 80x on revenues—conservative for major L1s, where others hit thousands.

Hyperliquid, with 6.67 billion in revenues, has a 380 billion FDV (57x multiple) or 19x on circulating; Pump.fun’s 7.24 billion revenues yield a mere 5.6x FDV and 2x market cap. These prove apps with tight product fit and distribution create outsized revenues at lower multiples. It’s a power shift: app valuations hinge on real incomes returned to ecosystems, while chains struggle for justification. Diminishing L1 premiums signal the need to internalize more value—white-label stablecoins could be step one, turning passive conduits into active revenue layers.

Platforms like WEEX exemplify brand alignment here, using strong distribution to integrate stablecoin strategies that boost user retention and ecosystem value, enhancing their credibility as innovative, user-first exchanges.

Coordination Challenges: Why Some Chains Move Faster on Stablecoin Strategies

The pivot to ecosystem-aligned stablecoins is underway, but speeds vary by coordination and urgency. Sui, though less mature than Solana, acts swiftly, partnering with Ethena for sUSDe and USDi (similar to BUIDL-backed models in Jupiter and MegaETH). This top-down chain-level move internalizes economics before path dependencies set in, with launches eyed for Q4.

Solana’s situation is thornier. With about 150 billion in on-chain stablecoins (over 100 billion USDC), it funnels roughly 5 billion yearly to Circle, much of which subsidizes Coinbase—and thus Base, a rival. Solana is essentially funding competitors. Community voices like Helius’ @0xMert push for aligned stablecoins with 50% yields for SOL buy-and-burn. Issuers like Agora echo this, but official responses lag.

Why the hesitation? Pursuing institutional legitimacy means maintaining credible neutrality—key for attracting heavyweights like BlackRock, whose endorsements bring capital and “commodity” status, akin to Bitcoin or Ethereum. Backing a specific stablecoin could jeopardize that. Solana’s scale—hundreds of protocols, thousands of developers, billions in TVL—amplifies coordination complexity, yet that’s a sign of maturity.

Inaction costs mount, though. Path dependencies grow daily; each USDC user or optimized protocol raises switch barriers. Tech enables overnight migrations, but coordination is the hurdle. Jupiter leads with JupUSD, pledging yields back to Solana and integrating deeply. Will others like Pump.fun follow? Chains may eventually intervene top-down or let apps capture yields—better than bleeding to outsiders.

Ultimately, this is a collective game: protocols tilt liquidity, treasuries allocate thoughtfully, developers tweak defaults, users vote with wallets. Solana’s 5 billion annual “subsidy” to Base won’t vanish by decree; it stops when participants refuse to fund rivals.

Recent Twitter chatter as of October 2025 amplifies this, with threads debating “Solana stablecoin coordination” and questions like “Why isn’t Solana launching its own USDC alternative?” Google trends show spikes in “stablecoin yields on Solana 2025,” tied to announcements like Jupiter’s JupUSD rollout. Official updates include Ethena’s expansion of services, boosting adoption amid falling rates.

Wrapping Up: The Power Shift from Issuers to Ecosystems in Stablecoin Dominance

The next era of stablecoin economics won’t hinge on who issues tokens, but who controls distribution and coordinates fastest to seize market share. Tether and Circle built empires on first-mover liquidity, but commoditization is eroding their moats. Cross-chain tech makes stablecoins swappable; clearer regs lower barriers; white-labels cut costs. Crucially, platforms with top distribution, stickiness, and monetization are internalizing yields, not paying third parties.

It’s happening: Hyperliquid reclaims 2.2 billion yearly via USDH; Jupiter weaves JupUSD into its stack; MegaETH funds low-cost operations with stablecoin revenues; Sui preempts dependencies with Ethena ties. These trailblazers offer templates for chains leaking billions to Circle and Tether.

For investors, evaluate ecosystems anew: Can they solve coordination, monetize pools, and scale stablecoin yields? Success yields robust models, lower costs, and aligned incentives; failure means ongoing “stablecoin taxes” and compressed valuations. The real upside? Spotting chains and apps turning passive pipes into active engines. Distribution is the new moat—those steering fund flows, not just building channels, will shape what’s next.

FAQ

What are the main reasons Tether and Circle’s stablecoin dominance is declining?

The decline stems from distribution channels overtaking network effects, cross-chain tech making stablecoins interchangeable, and regulatory clarity enabling easier white-label issuance, allowing ecosystems to internalize yields.

How do white-label stablecoins benefit DeFi platforms like Hyperliquid?

They let platforms capture reserve yields that previously went to external issuers, with models

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