The head of Paradigm Research has stated that there is "water in the volume" of Polymarket trades, while the community has accused Paradigm of smearing a competitor.

By: theblockbeats.news|2025/12/09 06:15:56

BlockBeats News, December 9th, Paradigm's Head of Data, @notnotstorm, stated today that the prediction platform Polymarket has a double-counting issue in its trading volume, leading to inflated transaction volume data. This comment has sparked widespread criticism from the crypto community, accusing Paradigm of amplifying the controversy and providing a negative interpretation of Polymarket due to Paradigm's status as an investor in Kalshi, thus having a clear competitive position.

Bankr Co-Founder deployer stated that the issue of "double-counted" transaction volume stems from the data collection method of a third-party dashboard, rather than any flaw in Polymarket's own data. He emphasized that Polymarket's transaction volume records do not contain any fundamental errors.

Dragonfly's Head of Data, @hildobby, also mentioned that "at least as of 2024, all decent data dashboards have already accounted for this."

At WEEX, we recognize that the holiday season often brings a different trading experience for many users. As market participation slows, price behavior can feel less predictable and familiar trading rhythms may shift. For traders following AI news today or using AI trading tools, this period often highlights how market structure can influence model performance and short-term signals. Approaching these periods with clear expectations and a disciplined mindset can help traders better navigate seasonal market conditions.

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