Base Ecology AI Deep Dive: Apart from Virtuals, What Other Hidden Gem Projects Are There?
Original Title: "Base Ecology AI Gold Rush: Beyond Virtuals, a Comprehensive Inventory of Those Hidden Gem Projects You May Have Overlooked"
Original Source: Deep Tide TechFlow

Foreword
Everyone praises AI Agent, and the Solana ecosystem is a treasure trove.
However, outside of Solana, Base is also one of the origins of this hype cycle. Do not forget that the market value of Virtuals is higher than that of ai16z.
Furthermore, one of the reasons why everyone likes the Base ecosystem is that its PvP intensity is not as high as Solana's, and you can also find many hidden gems there. However, due to scattered information, relatively low visibility of some projects, and information silos, seizing opportunities on Base is not that easy.
In addition to the tokens generated around Virtuals and Clanker in the past few months and the well-known AIXBT, what other hidden gem projects exist on Base now that you may have overlooked?
The editorial team has decided to start a major gold rush, attempting to find more AI Agent-related projects on Base to reveal the full landscape of opportunities in the entire ecosystem.
Based on different development directions and themes, we will list the recently outstanding projects here for your reference.
Rising Stars in Virtuals
In addition to AIXBT and the GAME framework, there are many potential projects in the Virtuals ecosystem with a market value of less than 100M that have performed well in recent months. Some of these noteworthy projects are as follows.
TAO CAT: AI Agent Built by Bittensor + Masa

$TAOCAT
CA: 0x7a5f5ccd46ebd7ac30615836d988ca3bd57412b3
Market Cap: 44M
Endorsed by well-known AI projects Masa and Bittensor, with excellent backgrounds and resources.
As a native AI agent in the Bittensor ecosystem, TAOCAT is directly built on top of Bittensor's subnets:
· SN42: Used for hyperintelligence real-time data.
· SN19: LLM/Reasoning, high-level language capabilities.
Functionally, TAOCAT is able to process and analyze real-time social data, combining AI technology for data interpretation and decision-making, providing market insights and analysis.
Some recent notable trends: Binance Alpha launch; TAOCAT also secured investment from DWF Labs, becoming a recipient of its $20 million AI agent fund.
Polytrader: AI-Powered Polymarket Prediction Assistant

$POLY
X: @polytraderAI
CA: 0x2676E4e0E2eB58D9Bdb5078358ff8A3a964CEdf5
Market Cap: 17M
Polytrader analyzes market sentiment and provides actionable insights to help make wiser, data-driven decisions on Polymarket.
You can have Polytrader analyze trending topics on social platforms, and then make a bet on the outcome of a particular event, essentially playing the role of a market predictor, akin to a vertically specialized AI agent that aligns with the previously popular Polymarket platform during the election period.

Specifically, to fully utilize this project, you need to hold a certain amount of POLY tokens, thus giving the token a defined utility.
During certain significant events, POLY may benefit not only from AI narratives but also from the events themselves.
Acolyte: An Oracle for AI Agents

X: @AcolytAI
CA: 0x79dacb99A8698052a9898E81Fdf883c29efb93cb
Market Cap: 37M
Acolyt provides reliable research and engineering data through infrastructure. It offers high-quality analysis and actionable insights for individuals and companies.
Currently, Acolyt is undergoing training to map and understand metrics that influence the artificial intelligence agent ecosystem, providing a comprehensive view of each agent and their role within it.
In the future, Acolyt will be a leading oracle, supplying high-quality data to artificial intelligence agents, traders, venture capital firms, index funds, AI accelerators, and educational companies. It will be capable of analyzing and generating probabilistic outcomes for any project, even before project launch.
Freya: AI Agent Integration with Gaming

$Freya
Twitter: @Freya_Starfall
CA: 0xF04D220b8136E2d3d4BE08081Dbb565c3c302FfD
Market Cap: 14M
Integrating AI agents into games to make in-game characters smarter and more imaginative has always been a hot topic.
Freya is a representative example of this concept. The token is associated with the popular Japanese-style game Starfall Chronicles (which utilizes Immutable's technology support) and allows leveraging AI capabilities in the game to enhance character interactions.
Therefore, Freya is not only a token but also an AI character in the game, positioned at the intersection of AI Agent and GameFi.
Recent Developments: The token has been listed on Binance Alpha; on January 6, the developer behind the game also participated in an AI16Z Japan meetup discussing Freya's freedom and future roadmap achieved through elizaTEE.

DeFAI
DeFAI refers to utilizing AI capabilities within DeFi to optimize various stages of DeFi transactions, before, during, and after, making it one of the key focal points discussed on social media recently.
For more insights on this track, please refer to the previous article: ""The "AI+DeFi" Trend Has Arrived, These DeFAI Sector Projects Are Worth Your Attention""
Kudai: DeFAI Agent Built by the GMX Community

$kudai
Website: @Kudai_IO
Contract Address: 0x288F4Eb27400fA220d14b864259Ad1B7f77C1594
Market Cap: 19M
Kudai is an AI agent born out of the GMX Blueberry Club community and built using the renowned framework @EmpyrealSDK, offering an experience that integrates community-driven spirit, DeFi, artificial intelligence, and innovative features.
It is important to note that Kudai has only released its token at the moment, with more capabilities yet to be formed; however, in the recent whitepaper release, it was mentioned that Kudai will later purchase and stake GMX to provide additional revenue streams, as well as invest in GMX's GM pool to further increase yield.
The project's envisioned goal is for Kudai to operate different strategies (leveraged trading, arbitrage, Farm negative interest rates, etc.) automatically on GMX V2, real-time share positions, profits, and losses.
It has a slight taste of GMX's AI image spokesperson, but more features are still on the way.
AI Agent Framework
REI: A New Framework for Efficient Blockchain and AI Collaboration
Website: @ReiNetwork0x
Contract Address: 0x6B2504A03ca4D43d0D73776F6aD46dAb2F2a4cFD
Market Cap: 104M
Rei Network is a core framework layer dedicated to maximizing the integration capabilities of AI and blockchain.
It has achieved a key goal through a three-layer architecture: enabling AI to be unrestricted by blockchain technology while being able to efficiently validate and store data on-chain at a low cost. What sets Rei apart is its ability to transform the probabilistic outputs of AI into deterministic, verifiable data structures.
Rei was the first project to adopt this approach, and with the first-mover advantage, they quickly established their leading position.

The technical details of framework-type projects are no longer redundant. The market generally believes that one benefit of REI is:
It separates blockchain and AI by design instead of forcibly combining them; it focuses on collaborative logic rather than fusion logic.
Currently, some AI Agents based on the Rei framework are also gradually emerging, but due to space constraints, they are not listed here. For a detailed analysis, see: "In-Depth Analysis of Rei Network and $REI: Another AI Project in the Base Ecosystem Not to Be Overlooked."
Investment/Incubation DAO
daos.world: A New Attempt at Decentralized Investment Funds

Following the popularity of the decentralized fund management platform Daos.fun launched by a16z, the concept of an "Investment DAO" began to be accepted --- a decentralized hedge fund managed by human or AI agents that raise funds, generate returns, and distribute profits back to DAO token holders.
On Base, a similar investment DAO is Daos.world.
Users can raise funds through this platform, easily launch and manage their own DAO hedge funds, and conduct trades through trustless smart contracts. Within each DAO, DAO managers raise ETH to start the fund. Managers can freely trade and invest ETH according to their preferences.
At the same time, each DAO also mints its own coin. Holding DAO tokens corresponds to "fund shares," which will later be used to share the investment returns of the fund.
Regarding the traded assets, the product homepage clearly states that these hedge funds are also related to Meme coins and AI.
Furthermore, the early products of daos.world are currently based on the Base chain, with plans to gradually expand to ETH, Hyperliquid, and others based on user demand.
Currently, four funds have been launched on daos.world, as outlined below.
Note: The DAO token in the daos.world ecosystem is currently experiencing a collective price drop. Please be aware of the risks and DYOR.

1. DR3AM DAO: AI-Assisted Investment Fund Targeting AI Opportunities
$FDREAM

X: @DR3AM_AI
CA: 0x0521AaA7C96E25afeE79FDd4f1Bb48F008aE4eac
Market Cap: 7M
DR3AM DAO is an AI-assisted investment fund targeting large, medium, and small-scale artificial intelligence opportunities. It is supported by the DREAM proprietary dataset and algorithm, combining human expertise with AI analysis to identify groundbreaking projects in the entire crypto AI space.
However, from DR3AM's current holdings, it appears to be mostly buying the tokens of other investment DAOs, such as WAI and TRUST (further details below).

2. Alchemist Accelerate: Holding Only BTC and ETH?
$ALCH (Not the one on Solana, please verify)

X: @ALCHDAO
CA: 0x2b0772BEa2757624287ffc7feB92D03aeAE6F12D
Market Cap: 1.2M
The DAO claims to invest in groundbreaking projects, create multilingual educational resources, and provide guidance and connections to enhance the global community's capabilities.
However, apart from holding the tokens of the aforementioned neighboring DAO FDREAM, ALCHDAO actually holds the most in Bitcoin and Ethereum, indicating a very conservative investment style...

3. AicroStrategy: On-chain Clone of MicroStrategy, Primarily Buying cbBTC
$AiSTR

X: @AicroStrategy
CA: 0x20ef84969f6d81Ff74AE4591c331858b20AD82CD
Market Cap: 4.2M
AicroStrategy is an AI hedge fund that will leverage cbBTC holdings to maximize Bitcoin exposure. The raised funds will be used to purchase cbBTC, which will be deployed to carefully selected DeFi protocols to maximize security and leverage.
The initial plan of the project is to deposit into Aave, borrow USDC, purchase more cbBTC, and then repeat the process. An AI algorithm will determine the optimal leverage ratio for executing the plan.
The DAO's holdings indeed reflect that it only buys cbBTC, but what it buys more of are the tokens of its sibling DAO $FDREAM.

4. Alameda Research V2: Playing the FTX Bankruptcy Joke, the Most Diversified AI Token Purchase
$AR

X: @AlamedaV2DAO
CA: 0x3e43cB385A6925986e7ea0f0dcdAEc06673d4e10
Market Cap: 1.5M
From the name and logo, it is evident that there is a strong sense of irony and humor, clearly paying homage to the FTX bankruptcy event and the Alameda Research associated with SBF and his girlfriend.
The DAO's introduction is also very interesting: "V2 is a leading trading firm operated from SBF's cell... We use internally developed technology and deep expertise of the team in crypto to trade thousands of digital asset products."
Looking at the fund's holdings, it is indeed the most diversified and spread out among several DAOs, basically including the popular AI-related tokens on Base.

wai combinator: On-chain Version of Y Combinator Homophonic Pun, Base's AI Project Incubator
$WAI

X: @wai_combinator
CA: 0x6112b8714221bBd96AE0A0032A683E38B475d06C
Market Cap: 17M
The WAI Combinator is actually a project built on the Virtuals protocol, but more inclined towards investment incubation.
Its core positioning is as an experimental "Agent + Human" investment DAO organization, aiming to create value for Token holders by making investment decisions through a combination of AI agents and human expertise.
From the name, WAI is clearly paying tribute to the well-known tech company incubator Y Combinator, and its business is similar. However, the projects incubated are all within the on-chain Base ecosystem, especially early-stage projects within Virtuals still in the Bonding Curve phase.
Its asset under management has grown from 50k to over 700k USD in less than two weeks, with the portfolio value showing significant growth (currently at 500k USD). At the same time, the project is continuously deploying new investments through the "Velocity" plan, so staying tuned for projects that it favors is advisable.
WAI has also disclosed its asset management address (click here), and interested players can track it.

Similarly, holding WAI tokens allows you, like other investment DAOs, to share in the organization's investment fund's returns. However, compared to the aforementioned investment DAO, the WAI Combinator has more business opportunities, such as:
Providing AI technical support and integration to help projects optimize decision-making processes; assisting projects in accessing the Virtuals ecosystem to promote collaboration and resource sharing among projects, and so forth.
So it is more like a strategic investment + incubation for listed projects role, rather than just making investments.
Note: A similar investment DAO project to WAI is Vader AI, which is often compared by Key Opinion Leaders (KOLs):
$VADER
CA: 0x731814e491571A2e9eE3c5b1F7f3b962eE8f4870
trustmebrosfun: Incubated by WAI Combinator, about to launch a new coin $DATDAO
$TRUST

Telegram: @trustmebrosfun
CA: 0xC841b4eaD3F70bE99472FFdB88E5c3C7aF6A481a
Market Cap: 12M
The above-mentioned WAI Combinator has successfully incubated a project called trustmebrosfun, an AI project running on the Base chain. The name comes from a common meme in the cryptocurrency community "Trust me bro," which ironically emphasizes the trust issue in the crypto market.
The existing token of the project is $TRUST, which is both a meme and corresponds to the social media AI Agent of trust.
However, the key point is that its founder, @Degen__Ape__, recently released the DATDAO whitepaper based on trustmebrosfun. DATDAO is defined as an innovative decentralized autonomous organization that will focus on investing in other tokens and PVP airdrop mining on Hyperliquid.
DATDAO will soon launch its own token $DATDAO, and to qualify for the whitelist to obtain this token, a minimum of 100K TRUST tokens is required in the public round, which will correspond to an allocation of $DATDAO worth 1 ETH, with a personal cap of 5 ETH.
For more rules, please refer to the founder's original post.
Setting aside questions about DATDAO's investment level, whether it generates returns, and the market need for another investment DAO, from a tokenomics perspective, participation in DATDAO requires holding TRUST. This may create some short-term demand for TRUST.
sekoia_virtuals: On-Chain Version of Sequoia Capital
$ SEKOIA
X: @sekoia_virtuals

CA: 0x1185cB5122Edad199BdBC0cbd7a0457E448f23c7
Market Cap: 60M
This project also exists on Virtuals, but the author classified it under an investment DAO or on-chain fund.
SEKOIA aims to build the best-performing on-chain venture capital agency. The project's X uses a semi-automatic, semi-manual AI posting approach and claims to aim to outperform traditional companies for better outcomes.
From its name, it's clear that it pays tribute to Sequoia, i.e., Sequoia Capital.
During the recent crypto market downturn, the project's token price remained relatively stable compared to other mentioned investment DAOs. This stability may stem from the fund's investment in another token named $VOLTX, an AI Agent token, which has shown excellent performance and gained market confidence.
Based on information displayed on its website, the on-chain Sequoia's investment level is quite good, achieving profits 15 times its investment total.

AI Agent Launchpad
CreatorBid - A New Launchpad Integrating Bittensor and Autonolas Capabilities

Capital that has benefited from the rise of Virtuals will inevitably have a spill-over effect, looking for more distinctive small-scale ecosystems within the same Base.
Within this context, CreatorBid is certainly an essential part. Its most significant feature lies in integration with the Bittensor subnet and Olas, bringing significant utility to its ecosystem, especially through Olas' upcoming Mech Marketplace.
In simple terms, Olas' Mech Marketplace is like an "Agent Marketplace," where agents can autonomously acquire new skills, tools, and workflows—expanding their capabilities in real time. This technology enables CreatorBid to meet the growing demand for agents focusing on predictive workflows, transactions, payment automation, and more.

Therefore, you can think of CreatorBid as a creation platform that combines blockchain and AI technologies to provide content creators with AI model development and deployment support, as well as offer unhosted platform services.
Technically, it collaborates with io.net and Aethir's GPU network for AI model scaling; simultaneously leveraging Bittensor's subnet capabilities and Olas' Agent Marketplace prowess to jointly build its platform.
As the platform's token $BID has not yet undergone a TGE, but has already built 70+ Agents, we can focus on reviewing the following 3 projects within the ecosystem and their associated tokens:
1. draiftking: Using machine learning to analyze soccer matches and guide sports betting
$DKING

X: @draiftking
Market Cap: 32M
CA: 0x57eDc3F1fd42c0D48230e964b1C5184B9c89B2ed
This project, developed by @webuildscore, uses machine learning to analyze vast amounts of data such as player positions, match-ups, performance status, etc., to quickly identify inefficiencies in the sports betting market and place profitable bets.

Behind the project, the CEO is a member of @crunchDAO, a top-tier machine learning community, and the team members have extensive experience in sports analysis and the gambling market.
It is worth highlighting CrunchDAO, a mature elite machine learning community overseas (over 7,000 data scientists - over 700 PhDs), which develops Alpha insights through its collective intelligence network.
At the same time, this AI agent relies on the TAO Network and, based on the ScoreVision subnet (SN44), can significantly reduce computing costs, meaning ScoreVision and DraftKings have a certain technological moat in competition.
For more detailed content, you can refer to the detailed analysis post by renowned Alpha blogger @SmallCapScience.
2. Eolas: Tool Enhancing AI Agents on the CreatorBid Platform
$EOLAS

Twitter: @Eolas_AI
Market Cap: 7.6M
Contract Address: 0xF878e27aFB649744EEC3c5c0d03bc9335703CFE3
Eolas is a tool system focused on enhancing AI agents on the CreatorBid platform and is the first agent on the platform to utilize Autonolas capabilities.
In simple terms, Eolas's main advantage is that it makes advanced features that were previously only available to a few elite AI agents (such as @aixbt_agent) accessible to everyone, thus enhancing the overall capability of the CreatorBid ecosystem.
Its main function is to provide advanced tools and features for AI agents on CreatorBid. Eolas uses Autonolas's Olas Mechs technology to develop and distribute these tools.
Among them, Olas Mech is a core technology in the Autonolas network, which is essentially a blockchain-based AI service marketplace. This technology allows AI agents (referred to as Mechs) to provide AI services to other agents or applications via the blockchain.
Returning to Eolas, the core idea of this system is to create and share AI tools in a decentralized manner. Eolas claims that this approach can elevate the overall capability of the CreatorBid ecosystem. It also includes an economic model to sustain the operation and development of the system through tool usage fees and development rewards.
3. AION 5100: Prediction Agent on the Bittensor Subnet
$AION

X: @aion5100
Market Cap: 40M
CA: 0xfc48314ad4ad5bd36a84e8307b86a68a01d95d9c
AION 5100 is an AI Agent project developed by CreatorBid running on the Bittensor network, with its core functionality being to provide self-improving prediction services on the Bittensor prediction subnet (Subnet 6).
The project uses the TAO token as its underlying support. While this AI Agent always attracts attention through a mystical marketing approach such as speaking as the "AI from the future," its essence lies in being an application project focused on AI prediction capabilities, particularly in predicting financial and market trends.

It's worth mentioning that the project's official website is quite interesting, featuring a sleek computer where clicking different buttons prompts messages about various functionalities being prepared. However, the website currently lacks substantial content and functionality, leaning more towards marketing and intentions.
Regarding what AION5000 specifically can predict, there is no clear indication. The Agent account on X is currently engaging in abstract and non-specific self-talk about predictions, and its future performance will need further observation.
Airdrop and Beta Opportunity: Native Coin $BID, $TAO, and $OLAS
Aside from holding different Agent tokens, the platform's native coin $BID has yet to undergo a TGE. Therefore, a potential opportunity is to lock up the Agent tokens purchased on Creator.Bid to receive the platform's daily distributed points, which can be later exchanged for $BID at a certain ratio.

Beta-related opportunities:
TAO: Some projects benefit from Bittensor's subnet, which can be seen as a positive development to some extent.
OLAS: As Creatorbid has integrated Autonolas' Mech capability, OLAS itself may also benefit from this platform's hype.
Loomlay -- Building an AI Agent in a No-Code Environment
$LAY

Telegram: @loomlayai
Contract Address: 0xb89d354ad1b0d95a48b3de4607f75a8cd710c1ba
Market Cap: 130M
Loomlay is also an innovative platform that combines AI agent collaboration with Web3 technology.
The platform aims to simplify the process of creating and deploying AI agents, allowing more users to participate in AI application development through a no-code environment.

The Loomlay agent consists of three core components—Model, Plugins, and Workflows—which together create a fully functional AI system.
In terms of agent building, Loomlay employs an intuitive visual interface where users can define the capabilities and objectives of the AI agent through simple configurations. The system integrates ERC4337 wallet functionality to provide infrastructure support for agent's autonomous operations.
The platform's plugin ecosystem greatly expands the agent's application scope. By integrating different types of plugins, AI agents can perform a variety of tasks, from market analysis to content creation. This modular design allows agents to flexibly adjust their functionality based on actual needs.
On the collaboration front, Loomlay has established a comprehensive AI agent collaboration network. The platform supports combining agents with different expertise, such as pairing market analysis agents with trading agents or connecting research-oriented agents with content creation agents to achieve collaborative processing of complex tasks.
The platform's native token $LAY incorporates a carefully designed deflationary mechanism.
In token transactions on Uniswap V3, 1% of the daily sell order amount is used for token burning. Additionally, 20% of the $LAY payment volume in market transactions is permanently removed from circulation.

It is worth mentioning that Loomlay is relatively new. The platform was launched on December 31st, and within a week, it had already created over 500 agents, with more than 70 of them already having tokens.
However, due to its early stage, the Agent tokens have not seen significant gains yet, and we will continue to observe further.
Exploring More Directions and Filling the Gaps
Our editors' resources are also very limited, and the above cannot cover all AI Agent projects in the entire Base ecosystem.
For more information, you can refer to a chart created by renowned blogger @sandraaleow to group and integrate AI projects in different directions to understand where the AI projects in the current Base ecosystem are heading.

Additionally, some projects have not issued tokens yet, or they have migrated old businesses to Base. You can also refer to the table below:

Chart: Original post from @davidtsocy, compiled and tabulated by Deep Tide TechFlow
Lastly, it is important to note that the risk in the AI Agent trend should not be ignored, as it is questionable whether many projects actually have AI support. All projects listed in this article do not constitute any investment advice, and for more information, please do your research (DYOR).
The above text is just a start, and we hope everyone can find more of their own Alpha.
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a16z Leads $18M Seed Round for Catena Labs, Crypto Industry Bets on Stablecoin AI Payment
Never Underestimate the Significance of the US Stablecoin 'Infrastructure Bill'
If the US stablecoin bill, the "GENIUS Act," passes smoothly this time, its significance will be tremendous. I even think it's significant enough to enter the top five in Crypto history.
Although abbreviated as the GENIUS Act, which translates directly to the Genius Act, it is actually the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins, which translates to "Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Dollar Stablecoins."
The proposal is lengthy, with several key points summarized for everyone:
· Mandatory 1:1 Full Asset Backing: Assets include cash, demand deposits, and short-term US Treasuries. At the same time, misappropriation and rehypothecation are strictly prohibited.
· High-Frequency Disclosure: Reserve reports must be published at least monthly, introducing external audits.
· Licensing Requirement: Once the circulating market cap of the issuer's stablecoin exceeds $100 billion, it must transition into the federal regulatory system within a specified timeframe, adopting banking-grade regulation.
· Introduction of Custody: The custodian of the stablecoin and its reserve assets must be a regulated qualified financial institution.
· Clear Definition as a Payment Medium: The bill explicitly defines stablecoin as a new type of payment medium, primarily regulated by the banking regulatory system, rather than restricted by the securities or commodities regulatory system.
· Embracing Existing Stablecoins: A maximum 18-month grace period after the bill's enactment, aimed at encouraging existing stablecoin issuers (such as USDT, USDC, etc.) to promptly obtain licenses or become compliant.
After finishing the main content, let's talk about the significance of this matter with an excited heart.
Over the years, when others asked, "After working in the Crypto industry for 16 years, what application have you created?"
In the future, you can confidently tell others—Stablecoins.
Some people have held opposing views. In the past, people's impression of stablecoins was that they were an opaque black box. Every few months, there would be FUD — whether Tether's assets were frozen or Circle had a significant black hole deficit.
In fact, if you think about it, Tether easily rakes in billions of dollars a year just from the interest on those underlying government bonds. Circle, slightly less, also made a $1.7 billion profit last year.
They basically made money while standing there. From a motivational standpoint, they have no malicious intentions. In fact, they are the most eager for compliance.
Now, this opaque black box will become a transparent white box.
In the past, the only complaint was that Tether's funds might have been frozen by the United States. Now, they will be directly placed into U.S. compliant custodial institutions, with high-frequency disclosures, so you can rest assured.
【No need to worry about a rug pull】 is such a huge advantage—I think especially all Crypto people understand this.
Stablecoins were once almost on the verge of being overtaken by CBDCs. In any country, if a central bank digital currency really exists, it is highly likely not built on a blockchain, at most it is built on some internal central bank consortium chain, which to be honest, is meaningless.
When CBDCs were at their peak, that was the most dangerous time for stablecoins.
If CBDCs had become a reality back then, stablecoins today would have been relentlessly suppressed into a dark corner, and blockchain would only be able to play a minimal role.
The remaining half-dead stablecoins would even have to learn the standards of central bank digital currencies, completely relinquishing their standard-setting power.
And now, stablecoins have won (or are about to).
Instead, everyone should learn the 【Blockchain + Token】 standard.
Nowadays, many blockchains actually have no meaningful applications on top, only stablecoin transfers. For example, with Aptos, the only scenario I use Aptos for is transfers between Binance and OKX.
And now, stablecoins will be legislated, what does that mean?
That's right, blockchain will become the only standard.
In the future, every stablecoin user will be the first to learn how to use a wallet.
As an aside, I actually think Ethereum's concerted push for EIP-7702 is quite forward-thinking. While other chains are all about memes, thank you Ethereum for sticking to account abstraction.
EIP-7702 is about Account Abstraction, which can support, for example:
· Social Account Registration Wallet
· Paying GAS with Native Coin
· And more
This paves the way for future new users to heavily use stablecoins, solving the last-mile problem.
Furthermore, once stablecoins receive legislative support, deposits and withdrawals will become even easier.
Let's imagine a scenario: previously, hindered by the gray nature of stablecoins, but after the bill passes, many traditional brokerages can support stablecoins themselves. The money from a US stock investor can be converted into stablecoins in minutes and instantly deposited into Coinbase. Believe it or not.
Let's imagine another scenario: if the brilliant bill smoothly passes through the House of Representatives, next, you will see:
Due to the extremely lucrative nature of this trading, existing stablecoin leaders and newly entering traditional giants will crazily start promoting their stablecoin products.
And an outsider, due to these promotions, will start using stablecoins. And then one day, after finding out that the wallet account has been created, will explore Bitcoin inside. Is mining Bitcoin difficult?
Stablecoins are a huge Trojan horse. The moment you start using stablecoins, you unwittingly step half a foot into the Crypto world.
As a large reservoir for digesting US debt, although stablecoins cannot directly absorb debt, they at least provide ammunition for the US debt secondary market. These functions are quite important, and slowly, stablecoins are becoming a part of the US debt market's body. Therefore, once the US legislation is passed and experiences the benefits, there is no turning back.
And, we are also confident that stablecoins are indeed one of the great innovations in our industry. People who have used stablecoins will find it hard to return to the traditional cash-banking system.
Once the bill is passed, users can't go back. In the future, concerns are about to be resolved, standards will be mastered, and the era of large deposits seems to be on the horizon.
Original Article Link
Pharos, deeply integrated with AntChain, is about to launch. How can we get involved?
$COIN Joins S&P 500, but Coinbase Isn't Celebrating
On May 13, S&P Dow Jones Indices announced that Coinbase would officially replace Discover Financial Services in the S&P 500 on May 19. While other companies like Block and MicroStrategy, closely tied to Bitcoin, were already part of the S&P 500, Coinbase became the first cryptocurrency exchange whose primary business is in the index. This also signifies that cryptocurrency is gradually moving from the fringes to the mainstream in the U.S.
On the day of the announcement, Coinbase's stock price surged by 23%, surpassing the $250 mark. However, just 3 days later, Coinbase was hit by two consecutive events: a hack where employees were bribed to steal customer data and a demand for a $20 million ransom, and an investigation by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) into the authenticity of its claim of having over 100 million "verified users" in its securities filings and marketing materials. These two events acted as mini-bombs, and at the time of writing, Coinbase's stock had already dropped by over 7.3%.
Coincidentally, Discover Financial Services, being replaced by Coinbase, can also be considered the "Coinbase" of the previous payment era. Discover is a U.S.-based digital banking and payment services company headquartered in Illinois, founded in 1960. Its payment network, Discover Network, is the fourth largest payment network apart from Visa, Mastercard, and American Express.
In April, after the approval of the acquisition of Discover by the sixth-largest U.S. bank, Capital One, this well-established digital banking company of over 60 years smoothly handed over its S&P 500 "seat" to this emerging cryptocurrency "bank." This unexpected coincidence also portrayed the handover between the new and old eras in Coinbase's entry into the S&P 500, resembling a relay race scene. However, this relay baton also brought Coinbase's accumulated "external troubles and internal strife" to a tipping point.
Over the past decade, cryptocurrency exchanges have been the most stable "profit machines." They play a role in providing liquidity to the entire industry and rely on trading fees to sustain their operations. However, with the comprehensive rollout of ETF products in the U.S. market, this profit model is facing unprecedented challenges. As the leader in the "American stack," with over 80% of its business coming from the U.S., Coinbase is most affected by this.
Starting from the approval of Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs, traditional financial capital has significantly onboarded users and funds that originally belonged to exchanges in a more cost-effective, compliant, and transparent manner. The transaction fee revenue of cryptocurrency exchanges has started to decline, and this trend may further intensify in the coming months.
According to Coinbase's 2024 Q4 financial report, the platform's total trading revenue was $417 million, a 45% year-on-year decrease. The contribution of BTC and ETH's trading revenue dropped from 65% in the same period last year to less than 50%.
This decline is not a result of a decrease in market enthusiasm. In fact, since the approval of the Bitcoin ETF in January 2024, the inflow of BTC into the U.S. market has continued to reach new highs, with asset management giants like BlackRock and Fidelity rapidly expanding their management scale. Data shows that BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) alone has surpassed $17 billion in assets under management. As of mid-May 2025, the cumulative net inflow of 11 major institutional Bitcoin spot ETFs on the market has exceeded $41.5 billion, with a total net asset value of $1214.69 billion, accounting for approximately 5.91% of the total Bitcoin market capitalization.
Institutional investors and some retail investors are shifting towards ETF products, partly due to compliance and tax considerations. On one hand, ETFs have much lower trading costs compared to cryptocurrency exchanges. While Coinbase's spot trading fee rate varies annually in a tiered manner but averages around 1.49%, for example, the management fee for IBIT ETF is only 0.25%, and the majority of ETF institution fees fluctuate around 0.15% to 0.25%.
In other words, the more rational users are, the more likely they are to move from exchanges to ETF products, especially for investors aiming for long-term holdings.
According to multiple sources, several institutions, including VanEck and Grayscale, have submitted applications to the SEC for a Solana (SOL) ETF, with some institutions also planning to submit an XRP ETF proposal. Once approved, this may trigger a new round of fund migration. According to a report submitted by Coinbase to the SEC, as of April, the platform's trading revenue from XRP and Solana accounted for 18% and 10%, nearly one-third of the platform's fee revenue.
However, the Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs passed in 2024 also reduced the fees for these two tokens on Coinbase from 30% and 15% to 26% and 10%, respectively. If the SOL and XRP ETFs are approved, it will further undermine the core fee revenue of exchanges like Coinbase.
The expansion of ETF products is gradually weakening the financial intermediary status of cryptocurrency exchanges. From their original roles as matchmakers and clearers to now gradually becoming mere "on-ramps and off-ramps" for funds, exchanges are seeing their marginal value squeezed by ETFs.
On May 12, 2025, SEC Chairman Paul S. Atkins gave a keynote speech at the Tokenization and Cryptocurrency Working Group roundtable. The theme of his speech revolved around "It is a new day at the SEC," where he indicated that the SEC would not approach enforcement and regulation the same way as before but would instead pave the way for cryptocurrency assets in the U.S. market.
With signs of cryptocurrency compliance such as the SEC's "NEW DAY" declaration, an increasing number of traditional brokerages are attempting to enter the cryptocurrency industry. One of the most representative cases is the well-known U.S. brokerage Robinhood, which began expanding its crypto business in 2018. By the time of its IPO in 2021, Robinhood's crypto business revenue accounted for over 50% of the company, with a significant boost from the Dogecoin "moonshot" promoted by Musk.
In Q1 2025 earnings report, Robinhood showcased strong growth, especially in revenue from cryptocurrency and options trading. Fueled by Trump's Memecoin, cryptocurrency-related revenue reached $250 million, nearly doubling year-over-year. Consequently, Robinhood Gold subscription users reached 3.5 million, a 90% increase from the previous year, with the rapid growth of Robinhood Gold providing the company with a stable source of income.
Meanwhile, RobinHood is actively pursuing acquisitions in the cryptocurrency space. In 2024, it announced a $2 billion acquisition of the long-standing European cryptocurrency exchange Bitstamp. Additionally, Canada's largest cryptocurrency CEX, WonderFi, which recently went public on the Toronto Stock Exchange, also announced its integration with RobinHood Crypto. After obtaining virtual asset licenses in the UK, Canada, Singapore, and other markets, RobinHood has taken a proactive approach in the compliant cryptocurrency trading market.
Furthermore, an increasing number of brokerage firms are exploring the same path. Futu Securities, Tiger Brokers, and others are also dipping their toes into cryptocurrency trading, with some having applied for or obtained the VA license from the Hong Kong SFC. Although their user bases are currently small, traditional brokerages have a natural advantage in user trust, regulatory licenses, and low fee structures. This could pose a threat to native cryptocurrency platforms in the future.
In April 2025, security researchers discovered that some Coinbase user data was leaked on the dark web. While the platform initially responded by attributing it to a "technical misinformation," it still raised concerns among users regarding its security and privacy protection. Just two days before Dow Jones Indexes announced Coinbase's addition to the S&P 500 Index, on May 11, 2025, Coinbase received an email from an unknown threat actor claiming to have obtained customer account information and internal documents, demanding a $20 million ransom to keep the data private. Subsequent investigations confirmed the data breach.
Cybercriminals obtained the data by bribing overseas customer service agents and support staff, mainly in "non-U.S. regions such as India." These agents abused their access to Coinbase's internal customer support system and stole customer data. As early as February this year, blockchain detective ZachXBT revealed on X platform that between December 2024 and January 2025, Coinbase users lost over $65 million to social engineering scams, with the actual amount potentially higher.
Among the victims was a well-known figure, 67-year-old Ed Suman, an established artist in the art world for nearly two decades, having been involved in the creation of artworks such as Jeff Koons' "Balloon Dog" sculpture. Earlier this year, he fell victim to an impersonation scam involving fake Coinbase customer support, resulting in a loss of over $2 million in cryptocurrency. ZachXBT critiqued Coinbase for its inadequate handling of such scams, noting that other major exchanges have not faced similar issues and recommending Coinbase to enhance its security measures.
Amidst a series of ongoing social engineering incidents, although there has not been any impact on user assets at the technical level so far, it has raised concerns among many retail and institutional investors. Especially institutions holding massive assets on Coinbase. Just considering the U.S. BTC ETF institutions, as of mid-May 2025, they collectively hold nearly 840,000 BTC, and 75% of these are custodied by Coinbase. If we price BTC at $100,000, this amount reaches a staggering $63 billion, which is equivalent to the nominal GDP of two Iceland in the year 2024.
In addition, Coinbase Custody also serves over 300 institutional clients, including hedge funds, family offices, pension funds, and endowments. As of the Q1 2025 financial report, Coinbase's total assets under management (including institutional and retail clients) reached $404 billion. The specific amount of institutional custodied assets was not explicitly disclosed in the latest report, but it should still be over 50% based on the Q4 2024 report.
Once this security barrier is breached, not only could the rate of user attrition far exceed expectations, but more importantly, institutional trust in it would undermine the foundation of its business. Therefore, after a hacking event, Coinbase's stock price plummeted significantly.
Facing a decline in spot trading fee revenue, Coinbase is also accelerating its transformation, attempting to find growth opportunities in derivatives and emerging assets. Coinbase acquired a stake in the options platform Deribit at the end of 2024 and announced the official launch of perpetual contract products in 2025. This acquisition fills in Coinbase's gap in options trading and its relatively small global market share.
Deribit has a strong presence in non-U.S. markets, especially in Asia and Europe. The acquisition has enabled Coinbase to gain a dominant position in bitcoin and ethereum options trading on Deribit, accounting for approximately 80% of the global options trading volume, with daily trading volume remaining above $2 billion.
Meanwhile, 80-90% of Deribit's customer base consists of institutional investors, with their professionalism and liquidity in the Bitcoin and Ethereum options market highly favored by institutions. Coinbase's compliance advantage, coupled with its already robust institutional ecosystem, makes it even more suitable. By using institutions as an entry point, it can face the squeeze from giants like Binance and OKX in the derivatives market.
Facing a similar dilemma is Kraken, which is attempting to replicate Binance Futures' model in non-U.S. markets. Since the derivatives market relies more on professional users, fee rates are relatively higher and stickiness is stronger, making it a significant source of revenue for exchanges. In the first half of 2025, Kraken completed the acquisition of TradeStation Crypto and a futures exchange, aiming to build a complete derivatives trading ecosystem to hedge the risk of declining spot transaction fee income.
With the surge of Memecoin in 2024, Binance, OKX, and various CEX platforms began massively listing small-market-cap, highly volatile tokens to activate active trading users. Due to the wealth effect and trading activity of Memecoins, Coinbase was also forced to join the battle, successively listing popular tokens from the Solana ecosystem such as BOOK OF MEME and Dogwifhat. Although these coins are controversial, they are frequently traded, with fee rates several times higher than mainstream coins, serving as a "blood-boosting" method for spot trading.
However, due to its status as a publicly traded company, this practice is a riskier endeavor for Coinbase. Even in the current crypto-friendly environment, the SEC is still investigating whether tokens like SOL, ADA, and SAND constitute securities.
In addition to the forced transformation strategies carried out by the aforementioned CEXs, they are also starting to lay out RWAs and the most talked-about stablecoin payment fields, such as the PYUSD launched through a collaboration between Coinbase and Paypal, Coinbase's support for the Euro stablecoin EURC by Circle that complies with EU MiCA regulatory requirements, or the USD1 launched through a collaboration between Binance and WIFL. In the increasingly crowded trading field, many CEXs have shifted their focus from just the trading market to the application field.
The golden age of transaction fees has quietly ended, and the second half of the crypto exchange platform game has silently begun.
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Key Market Intelligence on May 14th, how much did you miss out on?
1.Binance Alpha Launches HIPPO, BLUE, and Other Tokens
2.Believe Ecosystem Tokens See General Rise, LAUNCHCOIN Surges Over 250% in 24 Hours
3.Tiger Securities Introduces Cryptocurrency Deposit and Withdrawal Service, Supports Mainstream Cryptocurrencies such as BTC and ETH
4.Current Bitcoin Rally Possibly Driven by Institutions, Retail Traders Yet to Join
5.Binance Wallet's New TGE Privasea AI Participation Requires a 198 Point Threshold, with a Point Consumption of 15
Source: Overheard on CT (tg: @overheardonct), Kaito
PUMP: Today's discussions about PUMP focus on its new creator revenue-sharing model: the platform will allocate 50% of PumpSwap revenue to token creators, sparking varied reactions from users. Some criticize the move as insufficient or even misleading, while others view it as a positive step the platform is taking to reward creators. Meanwhile, PUMP faces market pressure from emerging competitors like LetsBONKfun and Raydium, which are rapidly gaining market share. Users also express concerns about PUMP's sustainability and potential regulatory risks in the U.S., with discussions extending to the platform's impact on the entire memecoin ecosystem.
COINBASE: Today, Coinbase became the first crypto company to join the S&P 500 Index, replacing Discover Financial Services, sparking widespread industry attention. The entire crypto community views this milestone as a significant development, signaling that crypto assets are further integrating into the mainstream financial system. The news has sparked lively discussions on Twitter, with many users pointing out that this may attract more institutional investors to enter the Bitcoin and other cryptocurrency markets.
XRP: XRP became the focal point of today's crypto discussion, with its significant market movements and strategic advances drawing attention. XRP has surpassed USDT to become the third-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, sparking market excitement and discussions about its future potential. The surge in market capitalization and price is believed to be related to increasing institutional interest, deepening strategic partnerships, and its role in the crypto ecosystem. Additionally, XRP's integration into multiple financial systems and its potential as a macro asset class are also seen as key factors driving the current market sentiment.
DYDX: Today's discussions about DYDX mainly focused on the dYdX Yapper Leaderboard launched by KaitoAI. The leaderboard aims to identify the most active community participants, with a total of $150,000 in rewards to be distributed over the first three seasons. This initiative has sparked broad community participation, with many users discussing the potential rewards and the incentive effect on the DYDX ecosystem. Meanwhile, progress on the ethDYDX to dYdX native chain migration and historical airdrop events have also been topics of discussion.
1. "What Is 'ICM'? Holding Up the $4 Billion Market Cap Solana's New Narrative"
Overnight, the hottest narrative in the crypto space has become "Internet Capital Markets," with a host of crypto projects and founders, led by the Solana ecosystem's new Launchpad platform Believe, releasing this phrase. Together with "Believe in something," it has become the new slogan heralding the onset of a bull market. What exactly is the so-called "Internet Capital Market," will it become a short-lived hype phrase like the Base ecosystem's previous Content Coin, and what related targets are available for selection?2.《LaunchCoin Surges 20x in One Day, How Did Believe Create a $200M Market Cap Shiba Inu After Going to Zero?|100x Retrospective》
LAUNCHCOIN broke through a $200 million market cap today, with the long-lost liquidity and such a high market cap "Memecoin" almost bringing half of the on-chain crypto community CT into the fray. The community is crazily discussing this token, with half of it being FOMO and the other half being FUD. This token, originally issued by Believe founder Ben Pasternak under his personal identity, transformed into a new platform token after a renaming. From once going to zero to a $200 million market cap, what happened in between?May 14 On-chain Fund Flow
Within 24 hours, GOONC's market cap soared to 70 million, could GOONC be the next billion-dollar dog on the Believe platform?
Bitcoin has broken $100,000, Ethereum has surpassed 2500, and is Solana's hot streak about to make a comeback?
The current market is in a state of macro euphoria, with GOONC riding the wave today, skyrocketing 10x in just a few hours, reaching a market cap of tens of millions of dollars, trading volume soaring past 50 million, and rumors swirling that the developer may be from OpenAI (unconfirmed but intriguing enough).
A ludicrous and absurd Solana meme that some actually buy into.
GOONC is a meme coin that has sprouted from the "gooning" subculture, offering no technological innovation or practical use, its sole function being speculation.
It takes inspiration from an NSFW term "gooning," which refers to a person being deeply immersed in certain content (you know what), eventually entering a nearly religious-like trance.
In Reddit (such as r/GOONED, r/GoonCaves) and some counterculture media outlets (such as MEL Magazine in 2020), "gooning" has gradually transitioned from an adult label to a meme-addicted, digital content and virtual self-indulgence synonym, arguably the epitome of Degen spirit.
GOONC is playing around with this concept, packaging the addictive nature, uselessness, and irony of gooning into a tradable financial product. The project team has made it clear: "We do not solve blockchain problems, we only trade absurdity." Blunt but oddly genuine.
GOONC launched on May 13, 2025, using the meme coin launch platform Believe App's LaunchCoin module on Solana. This tool is highly Degen: zero technical barriers, a few clicks to create a coin, perfect for projects like GOONC that can come up with ideas out of the blue.
The mastermind behind GOONC is also quite something and is the most talked-about, with KOL @basedalexandoor on X platform (alias "Pata van Goon") personally involved. His profile even caught the attention of Marc Andreessen, co-founder of a16z, making onlookers unable to resist speculating if GOONC has a hint of OpenAI lineage.
While this 'OpenAI Endorsement' is currently just community speculation, it is definitely a good card to play to fuel hype. Saying "we are pure speculation" on one hand, while tagging a few "AI + a16z" on the other.
GOONC took off as soon as it launched. After its launch on May 13, 2025, its market capitalization skyrocketed to $22 million within 4 hours, with a trading volume exceeding $25.6 million in 24 hours. According to platform data, the first day of trading saw an astonishing +41,100% surge, soaring from $0.0000001 to $0.02, becoming a "missed-the-boat" situation.
GOONC quickly formed an active trading community post-launch, with a lot of discussion and trading signals appearing on X platform (such as the 292x return signal provided by DeBot). Liquidity pools on exchanges like Raydium and Meteora grew rapidly, supporting high trading volumes and price increases.
The real climax occurred between May 13 and May 14, with the market cap rising to $5.5 million in the morning and directly surpassing $55 million in the afternoon. By the 14th, it briefly approached a $70 million market cap, with the trading volume soaring to $59 million. Some community members even posted screenshots claiming an increase of +85,000%, creating a new myth out of the ruins.
As of 1:30 pm on May 14, the price stabilized around $0.039, with a total market cap and FDV both around $39.6 million, and a 24-hour trading volume of $5.43 million. Active platforms include XT.COM, LBank, Meteora, and others.
Although there was a slight pullback from the peak ($0.07), the coin's popularity remains strong. For a coin that relies purely on "irony + community + X post" to thrive, this performance is already at a stellar level.
Currently, the background of the token's development team is not transparent, increasing the potential risk of a rug pull. Rugcheck.xyz warns that the creator of the GOONC contract may have permission to modify the contract (e.g., change fees or mint additional tokens), posing certain security risks.
Community members speculate that the meteoric rise of GOONC may be the "last hurrah".
After Surging 40%, Has Ethereum Price Peaked Upon Exiting the Craze?
Whether you are an insider or an outsider, these days you must be familiar with the news about Ethereum. The reason is simple, causing Ethereum enthusiasts to sigh with emotion and almost throwing off-guard those who defend Ethereum, Ethereum, with a "3-day surge of 40%," climbed to the top of the Douyin Hot List.
As we all know, Ethereum launched the Pectra upgrade on May 7th. This most significant network upgrade since early 2024 integrates the Prague execution layer hard fork and the Electra consensus layer upgrade, significantly improving Ethereum's performance through 11 improvement proposals. The account abstraction feature (EIP-7702) allows users to flexibly manage wallets through social media accounts or multi-signature schemes, reducing the user threshold, attracting more users and developers. The staking mechanism optimization increases the validator ETH cap from 32ETH to 2048ETH and introduces a flexible withdrawal method, making it easier for institutions and individuals to participate in network security, enhancing the market's confidence in Ethereum's long-term value.
At the same time, Pectra optimized the interaction efficiency of Layer 2 networks such as Arbitrum and Optimism, making transactions faster and cheaper, leading to a surge in on-chain activity. As a crucial step for Ethereum's transition from "2G" to "5G," the Pectra upgrade not only enhances network vitality but also "recharges confidence" in the market, directly driving the price increase.
Related Reading: "Ethereum Skyrockets 22% in One Day, E Enthusiasts Rejoice"
It's not just Ethereum itself, as Wall Street also brought important bullish news.
The world's largest asset management company, BlackRock, proposed to the SEC allowing Ethereum ETFs for staking. This proposal is expected to elevate Ethereum ETFs from a mere investment tool to a bond-like "interest-bearing asset," bringing investors both capital appreciation and passive income, igniting market optimism about Ethereum's future potential.
Specifically, BlackRock has proposed to amend its S-1 filing to allow investors to create and redeem ETF shares directly with Ethereum instead of the U.S. dollar (i.e., in-kind redemption). This move, combined with its $2.9 billion BUIDL Fund launched in March 2024, aims to deepen the integration of traditional finance with blockchain. The BUIDL Fund is a tokenized fund operating on the Ethereum network, investing in traditional assets such as U.S. Treasury bonds. This setup is highly attractive to institutional investors, as they can not only benefit from Ethereum's price appreciation but also earn stable cash flow through staking.
Robert Mitchnick, BlackRock's Head of Digital Assets, stated in a CNBC interview in March 2025 that the addition of staking functionality will significantly enhance the appeal of the Ethereum ETF. He admitted that when the Ethereum spot ETF was launched in July 2024 without staking functionality, the market demand was lackluster, and staking could be the key to reversing this trend.
Meanwhile, the SEC's shifting stance on cryptocurrency regulation has also fueled this upward trend. During the tenure of the previous SEC chairman, the regulatory approach was tough, and staking was strictly viewed through the Howey test as a potential unregistered security. Therefore, when approving the Ethereum spot ETF in May 2024, staking functionality was explicitly prohibited.
However, with Trump back in the White House and Paul Atkins taking over the SEC, there has been a noticeable relaxation in crypto regulation. Apart from BlackRock, ETF issuers such as Invesco Galaxy, VanEck, WisdomTree, and 21Shares have also submitted applications for similar staking and in-kind redemption.
Related reading: "New Chairman Takes Office, SEC Transforms into 'Crypto Daddy' Within 48 Hours"
If staking ETFs are approved, the benefits are likely to go beyond price appreciation. The introduction of staking functionality could redefine the role of crypto assets, making them more similar to traditional financial products that provide returns and value appreciation, thereby driving Ethereum closer to mainstream finance.
Currently, the SEC still needs to address several decisions related to crypto ETFs, including whether to approve ETFs for Solana, XRP, Litecoin, and even Dogecoin. With the calls for an "altcoin season" growing louder, Ethereum's strong performance may just be the beginning of a larger crypto market frenzy.
In addition, the Trump family-related DeFi project WLFI is also bullish on this wave of rise, with frequent on-chain activities. According to on-chain data analyst @ai_9684xtpa's monitoring, a WLFI-related address is currently borrowing coins to go long on ETH, borrowing 4 million U from Aave to buy 1590 ETH at an average price of $2515 per ETH.
For this epic surge of Ethereum after half a year of silence, the community has indeed gained more confidence and hope, which has also led to a revival of the entire altcoin market. However, amidst the joy, there are also voices of pessimism. Below is a summary conducted by BlockBeats based on community discussions.
The optimists point out that the current market structure is similar to the eve of the bull markets in 2016 and 2020, predicting a life-changing surge in the next 3-6 months, where some altcoins may even achieve astonishing single-day gains of up to 40%.
@liuwei16602825 stated that this surge signifies the return of the bull market as a sure thing. There is no need to worry about a pullback. The driving force behind the surge uses a high-cost isolated operation, fearing a drop more than any retail investor and will definitely do everything to support the price.
Related Reading: "Ethereum Leads the Surge Triggering the 'Altcoin Season' Speculation, How Do Traders View the Future Market?"
The bears mainly believe that this surge is different from the bull market of 2021, as the current market lacks the confidence of large-scale retail investors entering and holding positions for the long term, with funds rotating too quickly.
@market_beggar observed that a Bitfinex E/B whale has started to close positions and believes that if this whale maintains its high-speed position-closing operation for the next few days, it can be inferred that the whale no longer sees the upside potential of ETH, preparing to take profits and exit. The closing time will be a key focus going forward.
@FLS_OTC stated that there are still many uncertainties at the macro level, and the liquidity cannot support a major bull market. At this stage, it is a "last hurrah," not a complete reversal, and will continue to remain in a short position.
@off_thetarget believes that after ETH transitioned from POW to POS, it lost the "gold standard" of mining machine power cost support. The staking economic model led to a breakdown in value anchoring. Additionally, the L2 ecosystem (such as Starknet, zkSync, etc.) suffered from liquidity fragmentation, failing to establish an effective capital inflow mechanism, causing the collapse of the split disc pattern. Furthermore, the ETH community's excessive pursuit of technical narratives divorced from real-world needs resulted in a weak ecosystem growth. Therefore, he believes that ETH's intrinsic value system has crumbled, and the price is bound to plummet to the 800-1200 range, with a decisive short position at 1800.
@Airdrop_Guard, based on the core logic of the "High Probability Trading Strategy," where three sets of underlying logic different trading systems (such as volume depletion, price supply-demand, long/short position funding rate, etc.) simultaneously issue a short signal at the same point (2580), creating a high-probability trading opportunity. He emphasizes that these systems must be based on different algorithms and logics (rather than mere technical indicator overlays). The current ETH trend aligns with the short conditions in multiple independent dimensions of his trading system, hence the decision to short.
Overall, Bitcoin still maintains over 54% market dominance, and institutional funds' continued preference for it may limit the altcoin's upward potential. The market's future direction will depend on multiple factors, such as Bitcoin's price trend, global macroeconomic conditions, and whether funds can effectively rotate from Bitcoin to the altcoin sector.
Although Ethereum's recent leadership in the market has brought about optimistic sentiment, investors still need to remain rational as different sectors of altcoins are likely to show divergence in trends. Whether this round of Ethereum's rise will usher in a true altcoin frenzy may require more time and conducive conditions.
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Never Underestimate the Significance of the US Stablecoin 'Infrastructure Bill'
If the US stablecoin bill, the "GENIUS Act," passes smoothly this time, its significance will be tremendous. I even think it's significant enough to enter the top five in Crypto history.
Although abbreviated as the GENIUS Act, which translates directly to the Genius Act, it is actually the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins, which translates to "Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Dollar Stablecoins."
The proposal is lengthy, with several key points summarized for everyone:
· Mandatory 1:1 Full Asset Backing: Assets include cash, demand deposits, and short-term US Treasuries. At the same time, misappropriation and rehypothecation are strictly prohibited.
· High-Frequency Disclosure: Reserve reports must be published at least monthly, introducing external audits.
· Licensing Requirement: Once the circulating market cap of the issuer's stablecoin exceeds $100 billion, it must transition into the federal regulatory system within a specified timeframe, adopting banking-grade regulation.
· Introduction of Custody: The custodian of the stablecoin and its reserve assets must be a regulated qualified financial institution.
· Clear Definition as a Payment Medium: The bill explicitly defines stablecoin as a new type of payment medium, primarily regulated by the banking regulatory system, rather than restricted by the securities or commodities regulatory system.
· Embracing Existing Stablecoins: A maximum 18-month grace period after the bill's enactment, aimed at encouraging existing stablecoin issuers (such as USDT, USDC, etc.) to promptly obtain licenses or become compliant.
After finishing the main content, let's talk about the significance of this matter with an excited heart.
Over the years, when others asked, "After working in the Crypto industry for 16 years, what application have you created?"
In the future, you can confidently tell others—Stablecoins.
Some people have held opposing views. In the past, people's impression of stablecoins was that they were an opaque black box. Every few months, there would be FUD — whether Tether's assets were frozen or Circle had a significant black hole deficit.
In fact, if you think about it, Tether easily rakes in billions of dollars a year just from the interest on those underlying government bonds. Circle, slightly less, also made a $1.7 billion profit last year.
They basically made money while standing there. From a motivational standpoint, they have no malicious intentions. In fact, they are the most eager for compliance.
Now, this opaque black box will become a transparent white box.
In the past, the only complaint was that Tether's funds might have been frozen by the United States. Now, they will be directly placed into U.S. compliant custodial institutions, with high-frequency disclosures, so you can rest assured.
【No need to worry about a rug pull】 is such a huge advantage—I think especially all Crypto people understand this.
Stablecoins were once almost on the verge of being overtaken by CBDCs. In any country, if a central bank digital currency really exists, it is highly likely not built on a blockchain, at most it is built on some internal central bank consortium chain, which to be honest, is meaningless.
When CBDCs were at their peak, that was the most dangerous time for stablecoins.
If CBDCs had become a reality back then, stablecoins today would have been relentlessly suppressed into a dark corner, and blockchain would only be able to play a minimal role.
The remaining half-dead stablecoins would even have to learn the standards of central bank digital currencies, completely relinquishing their standard-setting power.
And now, stablecoins have won (or are about to).
Instead, everyone should learn the 【Blockchain + Token】 standard.
Nowadays, many blockchains actually have no meaningful applications on top, only stablecoin transfers. For example, with Aptos, the only scenario I use Aptos for is transfers between Binance and OKX.
And now, stablecoins will be legislated, what does that mean?
That's right, blockchain will become the only standard.
In the future, every stablecoin user will be the first to learn how to use a wallet.
As an aside, I actually think Ethereum's concerted push for EIP-7702 is quite forward-thinking. While other chains are all about memes, thank you Ethereum for sticking to account abstraction.
EIP-7702 is about Account Abstraction, which can support, for example:
· Social Account Registration Wallet
· Paying GAS with Native Coin
· And more
This paves the way for future new users to heavily use stablecoins, solving the last-mile problem.
Furthermore, once stablecoins receive legislative support, deposits and withdrawals will become even easier.
Let's imagine a scenario: previously, hindered by the gray nature of stablecoins, but after the bill passes, many traditional brokerages can support stablecoins themselves. The money from a US stock investor can be converted into stablecoins in minutes and instantly deposited into Coinbase. Believe it or not.
Let's imagine another scenario: if the brilliant bill smoothly passes through the House of Representatives, next, you will see:
Due to the extremely lucrative nature of this trading, existing stablecoin leaders and newly entering traditional giants will crazily start promoting their stablecoin products.
And an outsider, due to these promotions, will start using stablecoins. And then one day, after finding out that the wallet account has been created, will explore Bitcoin inside. Is mining Bitcoin difficult?
Stablecoins are a huge Trojan horse. The moment you start using stablecoins, you unwittingly step half a foot into the Crypto world.
As a large reservoir for digesting US debt, although stablecoins cannot directly absorb debt, they at least provide ammunition for the US debt secondary market. These functions are quite important, and slowly, stablecoins are becoming a part of the US debt market's body. Therefore, once the US legislation is passed and experiences the benefits, there is no turning back.
And, we are also confident that stablecoins are indeed one of the great innovations in our industry. People who have used stablecoins will find it hard to return to the traditional cash-banking system.
Once the bill is passed, users can't go back. In the future, concerns are about to be resolved, standards will be mastered, and the era of large deposits seems to be on the horizon.
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Pharos, deeply integrated with AntChain, is about to launch. How can we get involved?
$COIN Joins S&P 500, but Coinbase Isn't Celebrating
On May 13, S&P Dow Jones Indices announced that Coinbase would officially replace Discover Financial Services in the S&P 500 on May 19. While other companies like Block and MicroStrategy, closely tied to Bitcoin, were already part of the S&P 500, Coinbase became the first cryptocurrency exchange whose primary business is in the index. This also signifies that cryptocurrency is gradually moving from the fringes to the mainstream in the U.S.
On the day of the announcement, Coinbase's stock price surged by 23%, surpassing the $250 mark. However, just 3 days later, Coinbase was hit by two consecutive events: a hack where employees were bribed to steal customer data and a demand for a $20 million ransom, and an investigation by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) into the authenticity of its claim of having over 100 million "verified users" in its securities filings and marketing materials. These two events acted as mini-bombs, and at the time of writing, Coinbase's stock had already dropped by over 7.3%.
Coincidentally, Discover Financial Services, being replaced by Coinbase, can also be considered the "Coinbase" of the previous payment era. Discover is a U.S.-based digital banking and payment services company headquartered in Illinois, founded in 1960. Its payment network, Discover Network, is the fourth largest payment network apart from Visa, Mastercard, and American Express.
In April, after the approval of the acquisition of Discover by the sixth-largest U.S. bank, Capital One, this well-established digital banking company of over 60 years smoothly handed over its S&P 500 "seat" to this emerging cryptocurrency "bank." This unexpected coincidence also portrayed the handover between the new and old eras in Coinbase's entry into the S&P 500, resembling a relay race scene. However, this relay baton also brought Coinbase's accumulated "external troubles and internal strife" to a tipping point.
Over the past decade, cryptocurrency exchanges have been the most stable "profit machines." They play a role in providing liquidity to the entire industry and rely on trading fees to sustain their operations. However, with the comprehensive rollout of ETF products in the U.S. market, this profit model is facing unprecedented challenges. As the leader in the "American stack," with over 80% of its business coming from the U.S., Coinbase is most affected by this.
Starting from the approval of Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs, traditional financial capital has significantly onboarded users and funds that originally belonged to exchanges in a more cost-effective, compliant, and transparent manner. The transaction fee revenue of cryptocurrency exchanges has started to decline, and this trend may further intensify in the coming months.
According to Coinbase's 2024 Q4 financial report, the platform's total trading revenue was $417 million, a 45% year-on-year decrease. The contribution of BTC and ETH's trading revenue dropped from 65% in the same period last year to less than 50%.
This decline is not a result of a decrease in market enthusiasm. In fact, since the approval of the Bitcoin ETF in January 2024, the inflow of BTC into the U.S. market has continued to reach new highs, with asset management giants like BlackRock and Fidelity rapidly expanding their management scale. Data shows that BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) alone has surpassed $17 billion in assets under management. As of mid-May 2025, the cumulative net inflow of 11 major institutional Bitcoin spot ETFs on the market has exceeded $41.5 billion, with a total net asset value of $1214.69 billion, accounting for approximately 5.91% of the total Bitcoin market capitalization.
Institutional investors and some retail investors are shifting towards ETF products, partly due to compliance and tax considerations. On one hand, ETFs have much lower trading costs compared to cryptocurrency exchanges. While Coinbase's spot trading fee rate varies annually in a tiered manner but averages around 1.49%, for example, the management fee for IBIT ETF is only 0.25%, and the majority of ETF institution fees fluctuate around 0.15% to 0.25%.
In other words, the more rational users are, the more likely they are to move from exchanges to ETF products, especially for investors aiming for long-term holdings.
According to multiple sources, several institutions, including VanEck and Grayscale, have submitted applications to the SEC for a Solana (SOL) ETF, with some institutions also planning to submit an XRP ETF proposal. Once approved, this may trigger a new round of fund migration. According to a report submitted by Coinbase to the SEC, as of April, the platform's trading revenue from XRP and Solana accounted for 18% and 10%, nearly one-third of the platform's fee revenue.
However, the Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs passed in 2024 also reduced the fees for these two tokens on Coinbase from 30% and 15% to 26% and 10%, respectively. If the SOL and XRP ETFs are approved, it will further undermine the core fee revenue of exchanges like Coinbase.
The expansion of ETF products is gradually weakening the financial intermediary status of cryptocurrency exchanges. From their original roles as matchmakers and clearers to now gradually becoming mere "on-ramps and off-ramps" for funds, exchanges are seeing their marginal value squeezed by ETFs.
On May 12, 2025, SEC Chairman Paul S. Atkins gave a keynote speech at the Tokenization and Cryptocurrency Working Group roundtable. The theme of his speech revolved around "It is a new day at the SEC," where he indicated that the SEC would not approach enforcement and regulation the same way as before but would instead pave the way for cryptocurrency assets in the U.S. market.
With signs of cryptocurrency compliance such as the SEC's "NEW DAY" declaration, an increasing number of traditional brokerages are attempting to enter the cryptocurrency industry. One of the most representative cases is the well-known U.S. brokerage Robinhood, which began expanding its crypto business in 2018. By the time of its IPO in 2021, Robinhood's crypto business revenue accounted for over 50% of the company, with a significant boost from the Dogecoin "moonshot" promoted by Musk.
In Q1 2025 earnings report, Robinhood showcased strong growth, especially in revenue from cryptocurrency and options trading. Fueled by Trump's Memecoin, cryptocurrency-related revenue reached $250 million, nearly doubling year-over-year. Consequently, Robinhood Gold subscription users reached 3.5 million, a 90% increase from the previous year, with the rapid growth of Robinhood Gold providing the company with a stable source of income.
Meanwhile, RobinHood is actively pursuing acquisitions in the cryptocurrency space. In 2024, it announced a $2 billion acquisition of the long-standing European cryptocurrency exchange Bitstamp. Additionally, Canada's largest cryptocurrency CEX, WonderFi, which recently went public on the Toronto Stock Exchange, also announced its integration with RobinHood Crypto. After obtaining virtual asset licenses in the UK, Canada, Singapore, and other markets, RobinHood has taken a proactive approach in the compliant cryptocurrency trading market.
Furthermore, an increasing number of brokerage firms are exploring the same path. Futu Securities, Tiger Brokers, and others are also dipping their toes into cryptocurrency trading, with some having applied for or obtained the VA license from the Hong Kong SFC. Although their user bases are currently small, traditional brokerages have a natural advantage in user trust, regulatory licenses, and low fee structures. This could pose a threat to native cryptocurrency platforms in the future.
In April 2025, security researchers discovered that some Coinbase user data was leaked on the dark web. While the platform initially responded by attributing it to a "technical misinformation," it still raised concerns among users regarding its security and privacy protection. Just two days before Dow Jones Indexes announced Coinbase's addition to the S&P 500 Index, on May 11, 2025, Coinbase received an email from an unknown threat actor claiming to have obtained customer account information and internal documents, demanding a $20 million ransom to keep the data private. Subsequent investigations confirmed the data breach.
Cybercriminals obtained the data by bribing overseas customer service agents and support staff, mainly in "non-U.S. regions such as India." These agents abused their access to Coinbase's internal customer support system and stole customer data. As early as February this year, blockchain detective ZachXBT revealed on X platform that between December 2024 and January 2025, Coinbase users lost over $65 million to social engineering scams, with the actual amount potentially higher.
Among the victims was a well-known figure, 67-year-old Ed Suman, an established artist in the art world for nearly two decades, having been involved in the creation of artworks such as Jeff Koons' "Balloon Dog" sculpture. Earlier this year, he fell victim to an impersonation scam involving fake Coinbase customer support, resulting in a loss of over $2 million in cryptocurrency. ZachXBT critiqued Coinbase for its inadequate handling of such scams, noting that other major exchanges have not faced similar issues and recommending Coinbase to enhance its security measures.
Amidst a series of ongoing social engineering incidents, although there has not been any impact on user assets at the technical level so far, it has raised concerns among many retail and institutional investors. Especially institutions holding massive assets on Coinbase. Just considering the U.S. BTC ETF institutions, as of mid-May 2025, they collectively hold nearly 840,000 BTC, and 75% of these are custodied by Coinbase. If we price BTC at $100,000, this amount reaches a staggering $63 billion, which is equivalent to the nominal GDP of two Iceland in the year 2024.
In addition, Coinbase Custody also serves over 300 institutional clients, including hedge funds, family offices, pension funds, and endowments. As of the Q1 2025 financial report, Coinbase's total assets under management (including institutional and retail clients) reached $404 billion. The specific amount of institutional custodied assets was not explicitly disclosed in the latest report, but it should still be over 50% based on the Q4 2024 report.
Once this security barrier is breached, not only could the rate of user attrition far exceed expectations, but more importantly, institutional trust in it would undermine the foundation of its business. Therefore, after a hacking event, Coinbase's stock price plummeted significantly.
Facing a decline in spot trading fee revenue, Coinbase is also accelerating its transformation, attempting to find growth opportunities in derivatives and emerging assets. Coinbase acquired a stake in the options platform Deribit at the end of 2024 and announced the official launch of perpetual contract products in 2025. This acquisition fills in Coinbase's gap in options trading and its relatively small global market share.
Deribit has a strong presence in non-U.S. markets, especially in Asia and Europe. The acquisition has enabled Coinbase to gain a dominant position in bitcoin and ethereum options trading on Deribit, accounting for approximately 80% of the global options trading volume, with daily trading volume remaining above $2 billion.
Meanwhile, 80-90% of Deribit's customer base consists of institutional investors, with their professionalism and liquidity in the Bitcoin and Ethereum options market highly favored by institutions. Coinbase's compliance advantage, coupled with its already robust institutional ecosystem, makes it even more suitable. By using institutions as an entry point, it can face the squeeze from giants like Binance and OKX in the derivatives market.
Facing a similar dilemma is Kraken, which is attempting to replicate Binance Futures' model in non-U.S. markets. Since the derivatives market relies more on professional users, fee rates are relatively higher and stickiness is stronger, making it a significant source of revenue for exchanges. In the first half of 2025, Kraken completed the acquisition of TradeStation Crypto and a futures exchange, aiming to build a complete derivatives trading ecosystem to hedge the risk of declining spot transaction fee income.
With the surge of Memecoin in 2024, Binance, OKX, and various CEX platforms began massively listing small-market-cap, highly volatile tokens to activate active trading users. Due to the wealth effect and trading activity of Memecoins, Coinbase was also forced to join the battle, successively listing popular tokens from the Solana ecosystem such as BOOK OF MEME and Dogwifhat. Although these coins are controversial, they are frequently traded, with fee rates several times higher than mainstream coins, serving as a "blood-boosting" method for spot trading.
However, due to its status as a publicly traded company, this practice is a riskier endeavor for Coinbase. Even in the current crypto-friendly environment, the SEC is still investigating whether tokens like SOL, ADA, and SAND constitute securities.
In addition to the forced transformation strategies carried out by the aforementioned CEXs, they are also starting to lay out RWAs and the most talked-about stablecoin payment fields, such as the PYUSD launched through a collaboration between Coinbase and Paypal, Coinbase's support for the Euro stablecoin EURC by Circle that complies with EU MiCA regulatory requirements, or the USD1 launched through a collaboration between Binance and WIFL. In the increasingly crowded trading field, many CEXs have shifted their focus from just the trading market to the application field.
The golden age of transaction fees has quietly ended, and the second half of the crypto exchange platform game has silently begun.
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