U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Data to be Released Tonight, U.S. Stocks May Experience Significant Volatility as a Result

By: theblockbeats.news|2025/07/03 05:26:44

BlockBeats News, July 3rd, JPMorgan's trading department conducted a simulation exercise showing that if the job data announced on Thursday is similar to the weak trend in the earlier ADP report, the U.S. stock market is likely to experience a significant sell-off. JPMorgan has set out market reactions in different scenarios:

Job Addition 85K-105K: S&P 500 Index may fall 0.25%-1.5%;

Below 85K: S&P 500 Index is at risk of a sharp decline of 2%-3%;

The report warned: "In the worst-case scenario, the market will face stagflation (sluggish economic growth accompanied by high inflation) risk, at which point both fiscal and monetary policy may be ineffective." The report specifically noted: "As long as non-farm payroll data is above 100K, the stock market will still receive support." Of course, job data has also had better-than-expected performance in the past and could happen again. JPMorgan's prediction:

Job Addition 125K-145K: S&P 500 Index may rise 0.75%-1.25%;

Above 145K: S&P 500 Index gains could expand to 1%-1.5%. (Jinshi)

WEEX Labs, the innovation arm of the global crypto exchange WEEX, launched the preliminary round of its flagship AI trading hackathon, AI Wars: WEEX Alpha Awakens, on January 12, 2026. Backed by world-class sponsors including AWS, the prize pool has reached $1.88 million, with a Bentley Bentayga S awaiting the champion in Dubai. Already, 788 elite teams worldwide are battling for a spot in the finals. This is more than a hackathon — it is a real-market stress test for AI trading. Registration remains open until January 18. If you want your AI to face real volatility, this is your moment.

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