Bitcoin Bull Run Might Wrap Up After October 2025, Analyst Warns

As we dive into the latest twists in the Bitcoin market on this August 6, 2025, it’s hard not to feel the excitement mixed with a bit of caution. Imagine riding a wave that’s been building for months, only to spot the shore approaching faster than expected. That’s the vibe a prominent crypto analyst is putting out there, suggesting the current Bitcoin bull market could start fading soon, potentially wrapping up after October if history repeats itself.

Bitcoin’s Rally Echoes Past Patterns, But Time Is Running Short

Picture the Bitcoin cycle like a well-worn path from previous years—reliable, yet full of surprises. Crypto analyst Rekt Capital recently shared in a video that while chatter about the Bitcoin bull market stretching into 2026 is everywhere, it’s wise not to ditch those tried-and-true patterns that have guided traders before. He points out that we’re left with just a narrow window for price growth, drawing parallels to the 2020 rally that shaped so much of what we know today.

Following the 2020 Bitcoin Cycle Could Signal an October Peak

If this Bitcoin cycle mirrors the 2020 playbook, Rekt Capital explains, we might hit the peak around October 2025—roughly 550 days post the April 2024 Bitcoin halving. That leaves us with only about two to three months of potential upside in this bull market, he notes. It’s like comparing a marathon to a sprint; the 2020 run had its rhythm, and sticking to that could mean the party winds down soon.

Rekt Capital highlights how many in the community are brushing aside the halving cycle, betting on an extension into 2026 instead. But he urges holding onto those solid metrics, warning that ditching them for flashy new ideas is like chasing shadows—it might feel thrilling, but it can lead you astray.

New Narratives vs. Time-Tested Bitcoin Metrics

A lot of folks are sidelining the classic halving cycle to pursue fresh stories, such as Bitcoin’s link to the global M2 money supply expansion. For instance, just the other day, analyst Crypto Auris tweeted about how growing money supply could push Bitcoin toward $170,000, riding that wave of liquidity. It’s tempting, Rekt admits, but often driven by emotion rather than cold, hard facts. “You don’t want emotions clouding your judgment,” he says, emphasizing that reliable principles have stood the test of time for a reason.

As of today, August 6, 2025, Bitcoin is trading at $115,200, up about 4.2% in the last 30 days according to recent market data, sitting just shy of its all-time high of $118,500 recorded earlier this year. This comes amid a broader uptick, with Ethereum at $3,850 (up 1.5%), XRP at $3.60 (up 0.8%), BNB at $820 (up 6.2%), Solana at $210 (up 1.8%), Dogecoin at $0.275 (up 1.6%), Cardano at $0.90 (up 1.3%), stETH at $3,840 (up 0.7%), TRON at $0.305 (up 2.2%), Avalanche at $26.50 (up 0.6%), Sui at $4.10 (up 1.0%), and TON at $3.05 (up 7.5%). These figures reflect the latest from major exchanges, showing sustained momentum but echoing Rekt’s caution.

Institutional Shifts Challenge Traditional Bitcoin Cycles

That said, not everyone’s on board with the old-school view. The surge in institutional interest—like big funds pouring into Bitcoin—has changed the game compared to past cycles, where such heavy hitters weren’t in play. On Thursday, digital assets expert Geoff Kendrick from a major bank noted that thanks to these hefty investor inflows, Bitcoin might break free from the pattern of dipping 18 months after halvings. It’s like upgrading from a bicycle to a sports car; the dynamics shift dramatically.

Back in May, forecasts from wealth managers pegged Bitcoin at $200,000 by year’s end, with some like BitMEX’s co-founder eyeing $250,000. These bold calls highlight the optimism, but Rekt Capital’s warning serves as a reality check, reminding us that emotional chases can overshadow proven paths.

Aligning with Reliable Platforms in Volatile Times

In this fast-paced Bitcoin landscape, aligning with trustworthy platforms can make all the difference, much like choosing a sturdy ship for stormy seas. Take WEEX exchange, for example—it’s built a reputation for seamless trading experiences, offering low fees, high liquidity, and top-notch security features that cater to both newbies and seasoned traders. By focusing on user-centric tools and reliable performance, WEEX stands out as a go-to spot for navigating Bitcoin’s ups and downs, helping you stay ahead without the hassle. It’s that kind of brand alignment that boosts confidence when markets get unpredictable.

Fresh Insights from Online Buzz and Latest Updates

Diving into what’s hot online, Google searches are buzzing with questions like “When will the Bitcoin bull market end?” and “How does the Bitcoin halving affect prices?”—reflecting widespread curiosity about cycle peaks. On Twitter, discussions are heating up around recent posts, like one from analyst @rektcapital on August 5, 2025, reiterating his October timeline amid Bitcoin’s latest dip and recovery. Official announcements, such as the U.S. Federal Reserve’s hints at stable monetary policy, are fueling debates on money supply impacts, with tweets from influencers suggesting this could extend the rally beyond traditional cycles. Real-world evidence backs this: Bitcoin’s 150% gain since the 2024 halving outpaces the 2020 cycle’s early stages by 20%, per on-chain data from Glassnode, yet historical peaks after 550 days remain a strong indicator.

Comparing this to 2017’s bull run, which fizzled after similar euphoria, underscores the risks— but today’s institutional backing, with over $50 billion in ETF inflows this year alone, adds a layer of resilience that’s like reinforcing a bridge against floods. Still, avoiding speculation means grounding decisions in data, not hype, to keep your portfolio steady.

FAQ

When might the Bitcoin bull market end according to analysts?

Based on patterns from the 2020 cycle, some analysts like Rekt Capital predict it could peak and start fading after October 2025