Base Ecology AI Deep Dive: Apart from Virtuals, What Other Hidden Gem Projects Are There?

By: blockbeats|2025/01/10 03:15:02
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Original Title: "Base Ecology AI Gold Rush: Beyond Virtuals, a Comprehensive Inventory of Those Hidden Gem Projects You May Have Overlooked"
Original Source: Deep Tide TechFlow

Base Ecology AI Deep Dive: Apart from Virtuals, What Other Hidden Gem Projects Are There?

Foreword

Everyone praises AI Agent, and the Solana ecosystem is a treasure trove.

However, outside of Solana, Base is also one of the origins of this hype cycle. Do not forget that the market value of Virtuals is higher than that of ai16z.

Furthermore, one of the reasons why everyone likes the Base ecosystem is that its PvP intensity is not as high as Solana's, and you can also find many hidden gems there. However, due to scattered information, relatively low visibility of some projects, and information silos, seizing opportunities on Base is not that easy.

In addition to the tokens generated around Virtuals and Clanker in the past few months and the well-known AIXBT, what other hidden gem projects exist on Base now that you may have overlooked?

The editorial team has decided to start a major gold rush, attempting to find more AI Agent-related projects on Base to reveal the full landscape of opportunities in the entire ecosystem.

Based on different development directions and themes, we will list the recently outstanding projects here for your reference.

Rising Stars in Virtuals

In addition to AIXBT and the GAME framework, there are many potential projects in the Virtuals ecosystem with a market value of less than 100M that have performed well in recent months. Some of these noteworthy projects are as follows.

TAO CAT: AI Agent Built by Bittensor + Masa

$TAOCAT

CA: 0x7a5f5ccd46ebd7ac30615836d988ca3bd57412b3

Market Cap: 44M

Endorsed by well-known AI projects Masa and Bittensor, with excellent backgrounds and resources.

As a native AI agent in the Bittensor ecosystem, TAOCAT is directly built on top of Bittensor's subnets:

· SN42: Used for hyperintelligence real-time data.

· SN19: LLM/Reasoning, high-level language capabilities.

Functionally, TAOCAT is able to process and analyze real-time social data, combining AI technology for data interpretation and decision-making, providing market insights and analysis.

Some recent notable trends: Binance Alpha launch; TAOCAT also secured investment from DWF Labs, becoming a recipient of its $20 million AI agent fund.

Polytrader: AI-Powered Polymarket Prediction Assistant

$POLY

X: @polytraderAI

CA: 0x2676E4e0E2eB58D9Bdb5078358ff8A3a964CEdf5

Market Cap: 17M

Polytrader analyzes market sentiment and provides actionable insights to help make wiser, data-driven decisions on Polymarket.

You can have Polytrader analyze trending topics on social platforms, and then make a bet on the outcome of a particular event, essentially playing the role of a market predictor, akin to a vertically specialized AI agent that aligns with the previously popular Polymarket platform during the election period.

Specifically, to fully utilize this project, you need to hold a certain amount of POLY tokens, thus giving the token a defined utility.

During certain significant events, POLY may benefit not only from AI narratives but also from the events themselves.

Acolyte: An Oracle for AI Agents

X: @AcolytAI

CA: 0x79dacb99A8698052a9898E81Fdf883c29efb93cb

Market Cap: 37M

Acolyt provides reliable research and engineering data through infrastructure. It offers high-quality analysis and actionable insights for individuals and companies.

Currently, Acolyt is undergoing training to map and understand metrics that influence the artificial intelligence agent ecosystem, providing a comprehensive view of each agent and their role within it.

In the future, Acolyt will be a leading oracle, supplying high-quality data to artificial intelligence agents, traders, venture capital firms, index funds, AI accelerators, and educational companies. It will be capable of analyzing and generating probabilistic outcomes for any project, even before project launch.

Freya: AI Agent Integration with Gaming

$Freya

Twitter: @Freya_Starfall

CA: 0xF04D220b8136E2d3d4BE08081Dbb565c3c302FfD

Market Cap: 14M

Integrating AI agents into games to make in-game characters smarter and more imaginative has always been a hot topic.

Freya is a representative example of this concept. The token is associated with the popular Japanese-style game Starfall Chronicles (which utilizes Immutable's technology support) and allows leveraging AI capabilities in the game to enhance character interactions.

Therefore, Freya is not only a token but also an AI character in the game, positioned at the intersection of AI Agent and GameFi.

Recent Developments: The token has been listed on Binance Alpha; on January 6, the developer behind the game also participated in an AI16Z Japan meetup discussing Freya's freedom and future roadmap achieved through elizaTEE.

DeFAI

DeFAI refers to utilizing AI capabilities within DeFi to optimize various stages of DeFi transactions, before, during, and after, making it one of the key focal points discussed on social media recently.

For more insights on this track, please refer to the previous article: ""The "AI+DeFi" Trend Has Arrived, These DeFAI Sector Projects Are Worth Your Attention""

Kudai: DeFAI Agent Built by the GMX Community

$kudai

Website: @Kudai_IO

Contract Address: 0x288F4Eb27400fA220d14b864259Ad1B7f77C1594

Market Cap: 19M

Kudai is an AI agent born out of the GMX Blueberry Club community and built using the renowned framework @EmpyrealSDK, offering an experience that integrates community-driven spirit, DeFi, artificial intelligence, and innovative features.

It is important to note that Kudai has only released its token at the moment, with more capabilities yet to be formed; however, in the recent whitepaper release, it was mentioned that Kudai will later purchase and stake GMX to provide additional revenue streams, as well as invest in GMX's GM pool to further increase yield.

The project's envisioned goal is for Kudai to operate different strategies (leveraged trading, arbitrage, Farm negative interest rates, etc.) automatically on GMX V2, real-time share positions, profits, and losses.

It has a slight taste of GMX's AI image spokesperson, but more features are still on the way.

AI Agent Framework

REI: A New Framework for Efficient Blockchain and AI Collaboration

Website: @ReiNetwork0x

Contract Address: 0x6B2504A03ca4D43d0D73776F6aD46dAb2F2a4cFD

Market Cap: 104M

Rei Network is a core framework layer dedicated to maximizing the integration capabilities of AI and blockchain.

It has achieved a key goal through a three-layer architecture: enabling AI to be unrestricted by blockchain technology while being able to efficiently validate and store data on-chain at a low cost. What sets Rei apart is its ability to transform the probabilistic outputs of AI into deterministic, verifiable data structures.

Rei was the first project to adopt this approach, and with the first-mover advantage, they quickly established their leading position.

The technical details of framework-type projects are no longer redundant. The market generally believes that one benefit of REI is:

It separates blockchain and AI by design instead of forcibly combining them; it focuses on collaborative logic rather than fusion logic.

Currently, some AI Agents based on the Rei framework are also gradually emerging, but due to space constraints, they are not listed here. For a detailed analysis, see: "In-Depth Analysis of Rei Network and $REI: Another AI Project in the Base Ecosystem Not to Be Overlooked."

Investment/Incubation DAO

daos.world: A New Attempt at Decentralized Investment Funds

Following the popularity of the decentralized fund management platform Daos.fun launched by a16z, the concept of an "Investment DAO" began to be accepted --- a decentralized hedge fund managed by human or AI agents that raise funds, generate returns, and distribute profits back to DAO token holders.

On Base, a similar investment DAO is Daos.world.

Users can raise funds through this platform, easily launch and manage their own DAO hedge funds, and conduct trades through trustless smart contracts. Within each DAO, DAO managers raise ETH to start the fund. Managers can freely trade and invest ETH according to their preferences.

At the same time, each DAO also mints its own coin. Holding DAO tokens corresponds to "fund shares," which will later be used to share the investment returns of the fund.

Regarding the traded assets, the product homepage clearly states that these hedge funds are also related to Meme coins and AI.

Furthermore, the early products of daos.world are currently based on the Base chain, with plans to gradually expand to ETH, Hyperliquid, and others based on user demand.

Currently, four funds have been launched on daos.world, as outlined below.

Note: The DAO token in the daos.world ecosystem is currently experiencing a collective price drop. Please be aware of the risks and DYOR.

1. DR3AM DAO: AI-Assisted Investment Fund Targeting AI Opportunities

$FDREAM

X: @DR3AM_AI

CA: 0x0521AaA7C96E25afeE79FDd4f1Bb48F008aE4eac

Market Cap: 7M

DR3AM DAO is an AI-assisted investment fund targeting large, medium, and small-scale artificial intelligence opportunities. It is supported by the DREAM proprietary dataset and algorithm, combining human expertise with AI analysis to identify groundbreaking projects in the entire crypto AI space.

However, from DR3AM's current holdings, it appears to be mostly buying the tokens of other investment DAOs, such as WAI and TRUST (further details below).

2. Alchemist Accelerate: Holding Only BTC and ETH?

$ALCH (Not the one on Solana, please verify)

X: @ALCHDAO

CA: 0x2b0772BEa2757624287ffc7feB92D03aeAE6F12D

Market Cap: 1.2M

The DAO claims to invest in groundbreaking projects, create multilingual educational resources, and provide guidance and connections to enhance the global community's capabilities.

However, apart from holding the tokens of the aforementioned neighboring DAO FDREAM, ALCHDAO actually holds the most in Bitcoin and Ethereum, indicating a very conservative investment style...

3. AicroStrategy: On-chain Clone of MicroStrategy, Primarily Buying cbBTC

$AiSTR

X: @AicroStrategy

CA: 0x20ef84969f6d81Ff74AE4591c331858b20AD82CD

Market Cap: 4.2M

AicroStrategy is an AI hedge fund that will leverage cbBTC holdings to maximize Bitcoin exposure. The raised funds will be used to purchase cbBTC, which will be deployed to carefully selected DeFi protocols to maximize security and leverage.

The initial plan of the project is to deposit into Aave, borrow USDC, purchase more cbBTC, and then repeat the process. An AI algorithm will determine the optimal leverage ratio for executing the plan.

The DAO's holdings indeed reflect that it only buys cbBTC, but what it buys more of are the tokens of its sibling DAO $FDREAM.

4. Alameda Research V2: Playing the FTX Bankruptcy Joke, the Most Diversified AI Token Purchase

$AR

X: @AlamedaV2DAO

CA: 0x3e43cB385A6925986e7ea0f0dcdAEc06673d4e10

Market Cap: 1.5M

From the name and logo, it is evident that there is a strong sense of irony and humor, clearly paying homage to the FTX bankruptcy event and the Alameda Research associated with SBF and his girlfriend.

The DAO's introduction is also very interesting: "V2 is a leading trading firm operated from SBF's cell... We use internally developed technology and deep expertise of the team in crypto to trade thousands of digital asset products."

Looking at the fund's holdings, it is indeed the most diversified and spread out among several DAOs, basically including the popular AI-related tokens on Base.

wai combinator: On-chain Version of Y Combinator Homophonic Pun, Base's AI Project Incubator

$WAI

X: @wai_combinator

CA: 0x6112b8714221bBd96AE0A0032A683E38B475d06C

Market Cap: 17M

The WAI Combinator is actually a project built on the Virtuals protocol, but more inclined towards investment incubation.

Its core positioning is as an experimental "Agent + Human" investment DAO organization, aiming to create value for Token holders by making investment decisions through a combination of AI agents and human expertise.

From the name, WAI is clearly paying tribute to the well-known tech company incubator Y Combinator, and its business is similar. However, the projects incubated are all within the on-chain Base ecosystem, especially early-stage projects within Virtuals still in the Bonding Curve phase.

Its asset under management has grown from 50k to over 700k USD in less than two weeks, with the portfolio value showing significant growth (currently at 500k USD). At the same time, the project is continuously deploying new investments through the "Velocity" plan, so staying tuned for projects that it favors is advisable.

WAI has also disclosed its asset management address (click here), and interested players can track it.

Similarly, holding WAI tokens allows you, like other investment DAOs, to share in the organization's investment fund's returns. However, compared to the aforementioned investment DAO, the WAI Combinator has more business opportunities, such as:

Providing AI technical support and integration to help projects optimize decision-making processes; assisting projects in accessing the Virtuals ecosystem to promote collaboration and resource sharing among projects, and so forth.

So it is more like a strategic investment + incubation for listed projects role, rather than just making investments.

Note: A similar investment DAO project to WAI is Vader AI, which is often compared by Key Opinion Leaders (KOLs):

$VADER

CA: 0x731814e491571A2e9eE3c5b1F7f3b962eE8f4870

trustmebrosfun: Incubated by WAI Combinator, about to launch a new coin $DATDAO

$TRUST

Telegram: @trustmebrosfun

CA: 0xC841b4eaD3F70bE99472FFdB88E5c3C7aF6A481a

Market Cap: 12M

The above-mentioned WAI Combinator has successfully incubated a project called trustmebrosfun, an AI project running on the Base chain. The name comes from a common meme in the cryptocurrency community "Trust me bro," which ironically emphasizes the trust issue in the crypto market.

The existing token of the project is $TRUST, which is both a meme and corresponds to the social media AI Agent of trust.

However, the key point is that its founder, @Degen__Ape__, recently released the DATDAO whitepaper based on trustmebrosfun. DATDAO is defined as an innovative decentralized autonomous organization that will focus on investing in other tokens and PVP airdrop mining on Hyperliquid.

DATDAO will soon launch its own token $DATDAO, and to qualify for the whitelist to obtain this token, a minimum of 100K TRUST tokens is required in the public round, which will correspond to an allocation of $DATDAO worth 1 ETH, with a personal cap of 5 ETH.

For more rules, please refer to the founder's original post.

Setting aside questions about DATDAO's investment level, whether it generates returns, and the market need for another investment DAO, from a tokenomics perspective, participation in DATDAO requires holding TRUST. This may create some short-term demand for TRUST.

sekoia_virtuals: On-Chain Version of Sequoia Capital

$ SEKOIA

X: @sekoia_virtuals

CA: 0x1185cB5122Edad199BdBC0cbd7a0457E448f23c7

Market Cap: 60M

This project also exists on Virtuals, but the author classified it under an investment DAO or on-chain fund.

SEKOIA aims to build the best-performing on-chain venture capital agency. The project's X uses a semi-automatic, semi-manual AI posting approach and claims to aim to outperform traditional companies for better outcomes.

From its name, it's clear that it pays tribute to Sequoia, i.e., Sequoia Capital.

During the recent crypto market downturn, the project's token price remained relatively stable compared to other mentioned investment DAOs. This stability may stem from the fund's investment in another token named $VOLTX, an AI Agent token, which has shown excellent performance and gained market confidence.

Based on information displayed on its website, the on-chain Sequoia's investment level is quite good, achieving profits 15 times its investment total.

AI Agent Launchpad

CreatorBid - A New Launchpad Integrating Bittensor and Autonolas Capabilities

Capital that has benefited from the rise of Virtuals will inevitably have a spill-over effect, looking for more distinctive small-scale ecosystems within the same Base.

Within this context, CreatorBid is certainly an essential part. Its most significant feature lies in integration with the Bittensor subnet and Olas, bringing significant utility to its ecosystem, especially through Olas' upcoming Mech Marketplace.

In simple terms, Olas' Mech Marketplace is like an "Agent Marketplace," where agents can autonomously acquire new skills, tools, and workflows—expanding their capabilities in real time. This technology enables CreatorBid to meet the growing demand for agents focusing on predictive workflows, transactions, payment automation, and more.

Therefore, you can think of CreatorBid as a creation platform that combines blockchain and AI technologies to provide content creators with AI model development and deployment support, as well as offer unhosted platform services.

Technically, it collaborates with io.net and Aethir's GPU network for AI model scaling; simultaneously leveraging Bittensor's subnet capabilities and Olas' Agent Marketplace prowess to jointly build its platform.

As the platform's token $BID has not yet undergone a TGE, but has already built 70+ Agents, we can focus on reviewing the following 3 projects within the ecosystem and their associated tokens:

1. draiftking: Using machine learning to analyze soccer matches and guide sports betting

$DKING

X: @draiftking

Market Cap: 32M

CA: 0x57eDc3F1fd42c0D48230e964b1C5184B9c89B2ed

This project, developed by @webuildscore, uses machine learning to analyze vast amounts of data such as player positions, match-ups, performance status, etc., to quickly identify inefficiencies in the sports betting market and place profitable bets.

Behind the project, the CEO is a member of @crunchDAO, a top-tier machine learning community, and the team members have extensive experience in sports analysis and the gambling market.

It is worth highlighting CrunchDAO, a mature elite machine learning community overseas (over 7,000 data scientists - over 700 PhDs), which develops Alpha insights through its collective intelligence network.

At the same time, this AI agent relies on the TAO Network and, based on the ScoreVision subnet (SN44), can significantly reduce computing costs, meaning ScoreVision and DraftKings have a certain technological moat in competition.

For more detailed content, you can refer to the detailed analysis post by renowned Alpha blogger @SmallCapScience.

2. Eolas: Tool Enhancing AI Agents on the CreatorBid Platform

$EOLAS

Twitter: @Eolas_AI

Market Cap: 7.6M

Contract Address: 0xF878e27aFB649744EEC3c5c0d03bc9335703CFE3

Eolas is a tool system focused on enhancing AI agents on the CreatorBid platform and is the first agent on the platform to utilize Autonolas capabilities.

In simple terms, Eolas's main advantage is that it makes advanced features that were previously only available to a few elite AI agents (such as @aixbt_agent) accessible to everyone, thus enhancing the overall capability of the CreatorBid ecosystem.

Its main function is to provide advanced tools and features for AI agents on CreatorBid. Eolas uses Autonolas's Olas Mechs technology to develop and distribute these tools.

Among them, Olas Mech is a core technology in the Autonolas network, which is essentially a blockchain-based AI service marketplace. This technology allows AI agents (referred to as Mechs) to provide AI services to other agents or applications via the blockchain.

Returning to Eolas, the core idea of this system is to create and share AI tools in a decentralized manner. Eolas claims that this approach can elevate the overall capability of the CreatorBid ecosystem. It also includes an economic model to sustain the operation and development of the system through tool usage fees and development rewards.

3. AION 5100: Prediction Agent on the Bittensor Subnet

$AION

X: @aion5100

Market Cap: 40M

CA: 0xfc48314ad4ad5bd36a84e8307b86a68a01d95d9c

AION 5100 is an AI Agent project developed by CreatorBid running on the Bittensor network, with its core functionality being to provide self-improving prediction services on the Bittensor prediction subnet (Subnet 6).

The project uses the TAO token as its underlying support. While this AI Agent always attracts attention through a mystical marketing approach such as speaking as the "AI from the future," its essence lies in being an application project focused on AI prediction capabilities, particularly in predicting financial and market trends.

It's worth mentioning that the project's official website is quite interesting, featuring a sleek computer where clicking different buttons prompts messages about various functionalities being prepared. However, the website currently lacks substantial content and functionality, leaning more towards marketing and intentions.

Regarding what AION5000 specifically can predict, there is no clear indication. The Agent account on X is currently engaging in abstract and non-specific self-talk about predictions, and its future performance will need further observation.

Airdrop and Beta Opportunity: Native Coin $BID, $TAO, and $OLAS

Aside from holding different Agent tokens, the platform's native coin $BID has yet to undergo a TGE. Therefore, a potential opportunity is to lock up the Agent tokens purchased on Creator.Bid to receive the platform's daily distributed points, which can be later exchanged for $BID at a certain ratio.

Beta-related opportunities:

TAO: Some projects benefit from Bittensor's subnet, which can be seen as a positive development to some extent.

OLAS: As Creatorbid has integrated Autonolas' Mech capability, OLAS itself may also benefit from this platform's hype.

Loomlay -- Building an AI Agent in a No-Code Environment

$LAY

Telegram: @loomlayai

Contract Address: 0xb89d354ad1b0d95a48b3de4607f75a8cd710c1ba

Market Cap: 130M

Loomlay is also an innovative platform that combines AI agent collaboration with Web3 technology.

The platform aims to simplify the process of creating and deploying AI agents, allowing more users to participate in AI application development through a no-code environment.

The Loomlay agent consists of three core components—Model, Plugins, and Workflows—which together create a fully functional AI system.

In terms of agent building, Loomlay employs an intuitive visual interface where users can define the capabilities and objectives of the AI agent through simple configurations. The system integrates ERC4337 wallet functionality to provide infrastructure support for agent's autonomous operations.

The platform's plugin ecosystem greatly expands the agent's application scope. By integrating different types of plugins, AI agents can perform a variety of tasks, from market analysis to content creation. This modular design allows agents to flexibly adjust their functionality based on actual needs.

On the collaboration front, Loomlay has established a comprehensive AI agent collaboration network. The platform supports combining agents with different expertise, such as pairing market analysis agents with trading agents or connecting research-oriented agents with content creation agents to achieve collaborative processing of complex tasks.

The platform's native token $LAY incorporates a carefully designed deflationary mechanism.

In token transactions on Uniswap V3, 1% of the daily sell order amount is used for token burning. Additionally, 20% of the $LAY payment volume in market transactions is permanently removed from circulation.

It is worth mentioning that Loomlay is relatively new. The platform was launched on December 31st, and within a week, it had already created over 500 agents, with more than 70 of them already having tokens.

However, due to its early stage, the Agent tokens have not seen significant gains yet, and we will continue to observe further.

Exploring More Directions and Filling the Gaps

Our editors' resources are also very limited, and the above cannot cover all AI Agent projects in the entire Base ecosystem.

For more information, you can refer to a chart created by renowned blogger @sandraaleow to group and integrate AI projects in different directions to understand where the AI projects in the current Base ecosystem are heading.

Additionally, some projects have not issued tokens yet, or they have migrated old businesses to Base. You can also refer to the table below:

Chart: Original post from @davidtsocy, compiled and tabulated by Deep Tide TechFlow

Lastly, it is important to note that the risk in the AI Agent trend should not be ignored, as it is questionable whether many projects actually have AI support. All projects listed in this article do not constitute any investment advice, and for more information, please do your research (DYOR).

The above text is just a start, and we hope everyone can find more of their own Alpha.

Original Article Link

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a16z Leads $18M Seed Round for Catena Labs, Crypto Industry Bets on Stablecoin AI Payment

Traditional finance is still stuck in a "human-to-human" model, while Catena aims to achieve "AI-to-AI" interaction.

Never Underestimate the Significance of the US Stablecoin 'Infrastructure Bill'

Original Title: "Never Underestimate the Significance of the US Stablecoin 'Genius Act'"Original Author: 0xTodd, Partner at Nothing Research


If the US stablecoin bill, the "GENIUS Act," passes smoothly this time, its significance will be tremendous. I even think it's significant enough to enter the top five in Crypto history.



Although abbreviated as the GENIUS Act, which translates directly to the Genius Act, it is actually the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins, which translates to "Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Dollar Stablecoins."


The proposal is lengthy, with several key points summarized for everyone:


· Mandatory 1:1 Full Asset Backing: Assets include cash, demand deposits, and short-term US Treasuries. At the same time, misappropriation and rehypothecation are strictly prohibited.


· High-Frequency Disclosure: Reserve reports must be published at least monthly, introducing external audits.


· Licensing Requirement: Once the circulating market cap of the issuer's stablecoin exceeds $100 billion, it must transition into the federal regulatory system within a specified timeframe, adopting banking-grade regulation.


· Introduction of Custody: The custodian of the stablecoin and its reserve assets must be a regulated qualified financial institution.


· Clear Definition as a Payment Medium: The bill explicitly defines stablecoin as a new type of payment medium, primarily regulated by the banking regulatory system, rather than restricted by the securities or commodities regulatory system.


· Embracing Existing Stablecoins: A maximum 18-month grace period after the bill's enactment, aimed at encouraging existing stablecoin issuers (such as USDT, USDC, etc.) to promptly obtain licenses or become compliant.


After finishing the main content, let's talk about the significance of this matter with an excited heart.


Over the years, when others asked, "After working in the Crypto industry for 16 years, what application have you created?"


In the future, you can confidently tell others—Stablecoins.


First, Clearing Concerns is a Prerequisite


Some people have held opposing views. In the past, people's impression of stablecoins was that they were an opaque black box. Every few months, there would be FUD — whether Tether's assets were frozen or Circle had a significant black hole deficit.


In fact, if you think about it, Tether easily rakes in billions of dollars a year just from the interest on those underlying government bonds. Circle, slightly less, also made a $1.7 billion profit last year.


They basically made money while standing there. From a motivational standpoint, they have no malicious intentions. In fact, they are the most eager for compliance.


Now, this opaque black box will become a transparent white box.


In the past, the only complaint was that Tether's funds might have been frozen by the United States. Now, they will be directly placed into U.S. compliant custodial institutions, with high-frequency disclosures, so you can rest assured.


【No need to worry about a rug pull】 is such a huge advantage—I think especially all Crypto people understand this.


Second, Mastering the Standard is Very Important


Stablecoins were once almost on the verge of being overtaken by CBDCs. In any country, if a central bank digital currency really exists, it is highly likely not built on a blockchain, at most it is built on some internal central bank consortium chain, which to be honest, is meaningless.


When CBDCs were at their peak, that was the most dangerous time for stablecoins.


If CBDCs had become a reality back then, stablecoins today would have been relentlessly suppressed into a dark corner, and blockchain would only be able to play a minimal role.


The remaining half-dead stablecoins would even have to learn the standards of central bank digital currencies, completely relinquishing their standard-setting power.


And now, stablecoins have won (or are about to).


Instead, everyone should learn the 【Blockchain + Token】 standard.


Nowadays, many blockchains actually have no meaningful applications on top, only stablecoin transfers. For example, with Aptos, the only scenario I use Aptos for is transfers between Binance and OKX.


And now, stablecoins will be legislated, what does that mean?


That's right, blockchain will become the only standard.


In the future, every stablecoin user will be the first to learn how to use a wallet.


As an aside, I actually think Ethereum's concerted push for EIP-7702 is quite forward-thinking. While other chains are all about memes, thank you Ethereum for sticking to account abstraction.



EIP-7702 is about Account Abstraction, which can support, for example:


· Social Account Registration Wallet

· Paying GAS with Native Coin

· And more


This paves the way for future new users to heavily use stablecoins, solving the last-mile problem.


Third, Deposit Enters a New Era


Furthermore, once stablecoins receive legislative support, deposits and withdrawals will become even easier.


Let's imagine a scenario: previously, hindered by the gray nature of stablecoins, but after the bill passes, many traditional brokerages can support stablecoins themselves. The money from a US stock investor can be converted into stablecoins in minutes and instantly deposited into Coinbase. Believe it or not.



Let's imagine another scenario: if the brilliant bill smoothly passes through the House of Representatives, next, you will see:


Due to the extremely lucrative nature of this trading, existing stablecoin leaders and newly entering traditional giants will crazily start promoting their stablecoin products.


And an outsider, due to these promotions, will start using stablecoins. And then one day, after finding out that the wallet account has been created, will explore Bitcoin inside. Is mining Bitcoin difficult?


Stablecoins are a huge Trojan horse. The moment you start using stablecoins, you unwittingly step half a foot into the Crypto world.


Fourth, Conclusion


As a large reservoir for digesting US debt, although stablecoins cannot directly absorb debt, they at least provide ammunition for the US debt secondary market. These functions are quite important, and slowly, stablecoins are becoming a part of the US debt market's body. Therefore, once the US legislation is passed and experiences the benefits, there is no turning back.


And, we are also confident that stablecoins are indeed one of the great innovations in our industry. People who have used stablecoins will find it hard to return to the traditional cash-banking system.


Once the bill is passed, users can't go back. In the future, concerns are about to be resolved, standards will be mastered, and the era of large deposits seems to be on the horizon.


Original Article Link

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$COIN Joins S&P 500, but Coinbase Isn't Celebrating

On May 13, S&P Dow Jones Indices announced that Coinbase would officially replace Discover Financial Services in the S&P 500 on May 19. While other companies like Block and MicroStrategy, closely tied to Bitcoin, were already part of the S&P 500, Coinbase became the first cryptocurrency exchange whose primary business is in the index. This also signifies that cryptocurrency is gradually moving from the fringes to the mainstream in the U.S.



On the day of the announcement, Coinbase's stock price surged by 23%, surpassing the $250 mark. However, just 3 days later, Coinbase was hit by two consecutive events: a hack where employees were bribed to steal customer data and a demand for a $20 million ransom, and an investigation by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) into the authenticity of its claim of having over 100 million "verified users" in its securities filings and marketing materials. These two events acted as mini-bombs, and at the time of writing, Coinbase's stock had already dropped by over 7.3%.


Coincidentally, Discover Financial Services, being replaced by Coinbase, can also be considered the "Coinbase" of the previous payment era. Discover is a U.S.-based digital banking and payment services company headquartered in Illinois, founded in 1960. Its payment network, Discover Network, is the fourth largest payment network apart from Visa, Mastercard, and American Express.


In April, after the approval of the acquisition of Discover by the sixth-largest U.S. bank, Capital One, this well-established digital banking company of over 60 years smoothly handed over its S&P 500 "seat" to this emerging cryptocurrency "bank." This unexpected coincidence also portrayed the handover between the new and old eras in Coinbase's entry into the S&P 500, resembling a relay race scene. However, this relay baton also brought Coinbase's accumulated "external troubles and internal strife" to a tipping point.


Side Effects of ETFs


Over the past decade, cryptocurrency exchanges have been the most stable "profit machines." They play a role in providing liquidity to the entire industry and rely on trading fees to sustain their operations. However, with the comprehensive rollout of ETF products in the U.S. market, this profit model is facing unprecedented challenges. As the leader in the "American stack," with over 80% of its business coming from the U.S., Coinbase is most affected by this.



Starting from the approval of Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs, traditional financial capital has significantly onboarded users and funds that originally belonged to exchanges in a more cost-effective, compliant, and transparent manner. The transaction fee revenue of cryptocurrency exchanges has started to decline, and this trend may further intensify in the coming months.


According to Coinbase's 2024 Q4 financial report, the platform's total trading revenue was $417 million, a 45% year-on-year decrease. The contribution of BTC and ETH's trading revenue dropped from 65% in the same period last year to less than 50%.


This decline is not a result of a decrease in market enthusiasm. In fact, since the approval of the Bitcoin ETF in January 2024, the inflow of BTC into the U.S. market has continued to reach new highs, with asset management giants like BlackRock and Fidelity rapidly expanding their management scale. Data shows that BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) alone has surpassed $17 billion in assets under management. As of mid-May 2025, the cumulative net inflow of 11 major institutional Bitcoin spot ETFs on the market has exceeded $41.5 billion, with a total net asset value of $1214.69 billion, accounting for approximately 5.91% of the total Bitcoin market capitalization.


Chart showing the trend of net outflows for Grayscale among the 11 institutions


Institutional investors and some retail investors are shifting towards ETF products, partly due to compliance and tax considerations. On one hand, ETFs have much lower trading costs compared to cryptocurrency exchanges. While Coinbase's spot trading fee rate varies annually in a tiered manner but averages around 1.49%, for example, the management fee for IBIT ETF is only 0.25%, and the majority of ETF institution fees fluctuate around 0.15% to 0.25%.



In other words, the more rational users are, the more likely they are to move from exchanges to ETF products, especially for investors aiming for long-term holdings.


According to multiple sources, several institutions, including VanEck and Grayscale, have submitted applications to the SEC for a Solana (SOL) ETF, with some institutions also planning to submit an XRP ETF proposal. Once approved, this may trigger a new round of fund migration. According to a report submitted by Coinbase to the SEC, as of April, the platform's trading revenue from XRP and Solana accounted for 18% and 10%, nearly one-third of the platform's fee revenue.



However, the Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs passed in 2024 also reduced the fees for these two tokens on Coinbase from 30% and 15% to 26% and 10%, respectively. If the SOL and XRP ETFs are approved, it will further undermine the core fee revenue of exchanges like Coinbase.


The expansion of ETF products is gradually weakening the financial intermediary status of cryptocurrency exchanges. From their original roles as matchmakers and clearers to now gradually becoming mere "on-ramps and off-ramps" for funds, exchanges are seeing their marginal value squeezed by ETFs.


Robinhood Takes a Stand, Traditional Brokerages Join the Fray


On May 12, 2025, SEC Chairman Paul S. Atkins gave a keynote speech at the Tokenization and Cryptocurrency Working Group roundtable. The theme of his speech revolved around "It is a new day at the SEC," where he indicated that the SEC would not approach enforcement and regulation the same way as before but would instead pave the way for cryptocurrency assets in the U.S. market.



With signs of cryptocurrency compliance such as the SEC's "NEW DAY" declaration, an increasing number of traditional brokerages are attempting to enter the cryptocurrency industry. One of the most representative cases is the well-known U.S. brokerage Robinhood, which began expanding its crypto business in 2018. By the time of its IPO in 2021, Robinhood's crypto business revenue accounted for over 50% of the company, with a significant boost from the Dogecoin "moonshot" promoted by Musk.


In Q1 2025 earnings report, Robinhood showcased strong growth, especially in revenue from cryptocurrency and options trading. Fueled by Trump's Memecoin, cryptocurrency-related revenue reached $250 million, nearly doubling year-over-year. Consequently, Robinhood Gold subscription users reached 3.5 million, a 90% increase from the previous year, with the rapid growth of Robinhood Gold providing the company with a stable source of income.



Meanwhile, RobinHood is actively pursuing acquisitions in the cryptocurrency space. In 2024, it announced a $2 billion acquisition of the long-standing European cryptocurrency exchange Bitstamp. Additionally, Canada's largest cryptocurrency CEX, WonderFi, which recently went public on the Toronto Stock Exchange, also announced its integration with RobinHood Crypto. After obtaining virtual asset licenses in the UK, Canada, Singapore, and other markets, RobinHood has taken a proactive approach in the compliant cryptocurrency trading market.



Furthermore, an increasing number of brokerage firms are exploring the same path. Futu Securities, Tiger Brokers, and others are also dipping their toes into cryptocurrency trading, with some having applied for or obtained the VA license from the Hong Kong SFC. Although their user bases are currently small, traditional brokerages have a natural advantage in user trust, regulatory licenses, and low fee structures. This could pose a threat to native cryptocurrency platforms in the future.



User Data Breach: Is Coinbase Still Secure?


In April 2025, security researchers discovered that some Coinbase user data was leaked on the dark web. While the platform initially responded by attributing it to a "technical misinformation," it still raised concerns among users regarding its security and privacy protection. Just two days before Dow Jones Indexes announced Coinbase's addition to the S&P 500 Index, on May 11, 2025, Coinbase received an email from an unknown threat actor claiming to have obtained customer account information and internal documents, demanding a $20 million ransom to keep the data private. Subsequent investigations confirmed the data breach.


Cybercriminals obtained the data by bribing overseas customer service agents and support staff, mainly in "non-U.S. regions such as India." These agents abused their access to Coinbase's internal customer support system and stole customer data. As early as February this year, blockchain detective ZachXBT revealed on X platform that between December 2024 and January 2025, Coinbase users lost over $65 million to social engineering scams, with the actual amount potentially higher.


Among the victims was a well-known figure, 67-year-old Ed Suman, an established artist in the art world for nearly two decades, having been involved in the creation of artworks such as Jeff Koons' "Balloon Dog" sculpture. Earlier this year, he fell victim to an impersonation scam involving fake Coinbase customer support, resulting in a loss of over $2 million in cryptocurrency. ZachXBT critiqued Coinbase for its inadequate handling of such scams, noting that other major exchanges have not faced similar issues and recommending Coinbase to enhance its security measures.


Amidst a series of ongoing social engineering incidents, although there has not been any impact on user assets at the technical level so far, it has raised concerns among many retail and institutional investors. Especially institutions holding massive assets on Coinbase. Just considering the U.S. BTC ETF institutions, as of mid-May 2025, they collectively hold nearly 840,000 BTC, and 75% of these are custodied by Coinbase. If we price BTC at $100,000, this amount reaches a staggering $63 billion, which is equivalent to the nominal GDP of two Iceland in the year 2024.


Visualization: ChatGPT, Source: Farside


In addition, Coinbase Custody also serves over 300 institutional clients, including hedge funds, family offices, pension funds, and endowments. As of the Q1 2025 financial report, Coinbase's total assets under management (including institutional and retail clients) reached $404 billion. The specific amount of institutional custodied assets was not explicitly disclosed in the latest report, but it should still be over 50% based on the Q4 2024 report.


Visualization: ChatGPT


Once this security barrier is breached, not only could the rate of user attrition far exceed expectations, but more importantly, institutional trust in it would undermine the foundation of its business. Therefore, after a hacking event, Coinbase's stock price plummeted significantly.


CEXs are All in Self-Rescue Mode


Facing a decline in spot trading fee revenue, Coinbase is also accelerating its transformation, attempting to find growth opportunities in derivatives and emerging assets. Coinbase acquired a stake in the options platform Deribit at the end of 2024 and announced the official launch of perpetual contract products in 2025. This acquisition fills in Coinbase's gap in options trading and its relatively small global market share.



Deribit has a strong presence in non-U.S. markets, especially in Asia and Europe. The acquisition has enabled Coinbase to gain a dominant position in bitcoin and ethereum options trading on Deribit, accounting for approximately 80% of the global options trading volume, with daily trading volume remaining above $2 billion.


Meanwhile, 80-90% of Deribit's customer base consists of institutional investors, with their professionalism and liquidity in the Bitcoin and Ethereum options market highly favored by institutions. Coinbase's compliance advantage, coupled with its already robust institutional ecosystem, makes it even more suitable. By using institutions as an entry point, it can face the squeeze from giants like Binance and OKX in the derivatives market.



Facing a similar dilemma is Kraken, which is attempting to replicate Binance Futures' model in non-U.S. markets. Since the derivatives market relies more on professional users, fee rates are relatively higher and stickiness is stronger, making it a significant source of revenue for exchanges. In the first half of 2025, Kraken completed the acquisition of TradeStation Crypto and a futures exchange, aiming to build a complete derivatives trading ecosystem to hedge the risk of declining spot transaction fee income.


With the surge of Memecoin in 2024, Binance, OKX, and various CEX platforms began massively listing small-market-cap, highly volatile tokens to activate active trading users. Due to the wealth effect and trading activity of Memecoins, Coinbase was also forced to join the battle, successively listing popular tokens from the Solana ecosystem such as BOOK OF MEME and Dogwifhat. Although these coins are controversial, they are frequently traded, with fee rates several times higher than mainstream coins, serving as a "blood-boosting" method for spot trading.


However, due to its status as a publicly traded company, this practice is a riskier endeavor for Coinbase. Even in the current crypto-friendly environment, the SEC is still investigating whether tokens like SOL, ADA, and SAND constitute securities.


In addition to the forced transformation strategies carried out by the aforementioned CEXs, they are also starting to lay out RWAs and the most talked-about stablecoin payment fields, such as the PYUSD launched through a collaboration between Coinbase and Paypal, Coinbase's support for the Euro stablecoin EURC by Circle that complies with EU MiCA regulatory requirements, or the USD1 launched through a collaboration between Binance and WIFL. In the increasingly crowded trading field, many CEXs have shifted their focus from just the trading market to the application field.


The golden age of transaction fees has quietly ended, and the second half of the crypto exchange platform game has silently begun.


Arthur Hayes: Why I'm Betting on ETH While the Market Is Obsessed with SOL

"I personally have also allocated 20% to gold, expecting the price of gold to potentially rise to $10,000-20,000 by the end of this market cycle."

Key Market Insights for May 16th, how much did you miss out on?

1. On-chain Flows: $111.3M inflow to Ethereum this week; $237.6M outflow from Berachain 2. Largest Price Swings: $ETHFI, $NEIRO 3. Top News: Data: Solana Network's revenue reached $7.9M on the 13th, surpassing the sum of all other L1 and L2 chains

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