Ethereum Foundation's New Executive Director Aya Miyaguchi: From Teacher to Crypto Trailblazer

By: blockbeats|2025/02/26 03:15:03
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Original Title: "Aya Miyaguchi: Teacher, Ethereum Executive Director, and Her 'Infinite Garden'"
Original Author: Zen, PANews
Editor's Note: On February 26, Aya Miyagotchi, Executive Director of the Ethereum Foundation, was promoted to Chair of the Ethereum Foundation. Prior to this, internal organizational management within the EF had raised many questions, with much of the criticism directed at Aya, who was still the Executive Director at the time. The situation was eventually defused temporarily through Vitalik's intervention.
This article was first published on February 5 and provided a detailed introduction and overview of Aya's personal journey and crypto background. The full text is republished below by BlockBeats:

Since the beginning of this year, Aya Miyaguchi, Executive Director of the Ethereum Foundation, has become the focus of community discussion. Some opponents have called for a change in the foundation's leadership, and some have even made malicious threats against her online. On the other hand, her supporters believe that since taking office in 2018, Miyaguchi has consistently worked towards decentralizing the foundation and its long-term development.

Regardless of criticism or praise, it is undeniable that Aya Miyaguchi, with over a decade of experience in education and the crypto industry, has forged a unique path. Her story is unconventional: from a high school teacher in Japan to entering the cryptocurrency industry; from an educator in the classroom to an evangelist in the crypto industry, and then to becoming a leader in the Ethereum Foundation. She has continuously crossed boundaries and transformed her identity.

From 'Passionate Teacher' to Cryptocurrency Industry 'Trailblazer'

Aya Miyaguchi was once a high school teacher in Japan, known as a 'passionate teacher' due to her love for teaching and her enthusiasm. She particularly enjoyed designing creative teaching methods and stories to inspire students' independent reflection, criticism, and exploratory spirit.

"Like many other young teachers, I felt uneasy about entering the teaching profession right after college." After more than ten years in the education industry, Miyaguchi grew tired of only teaching textbook knowledge. She wanted to guide students on how to independently think and learn to grow as 'whole individuals.'

While teaching, Miyaguchi often advised students to have at least one experience of going abroad in their lifetime. She also realized that as a teacher, she herself needed to see the world outside or try other professional experiences. Miyaguchi then quit her job and went to the United States to pursue a master's in business administration. It was during that time that Miyaguchi's life began to intersect with blockchain and cryptocurrency.

Ethereum Foundation's New Executive Director Aya Miyaguchi: From Teacher to Crypto Trailblazer

Image Source: WIRED.jp

Miyaguchi started engaging with Bitcoin in 2011. Coming from a non-technical background, she took a long time to truly grasp the concept of Bitcoin. After delving into the key benefits of Bitcoin, Miyaguchi saw its immense potential in financial inclusion and social impact. While pursuing her MBA, Miyaguchi's research focus was on sustainable business, and she also enjoyed studying microfinance, particularly how to empower women in developing countries economically. Miyaguchi increasingly believed that Bitcoin could play a significant role in this area.

Jesse Powell, the founder of Kraken, one of the longest-standing cryptocurrency exchanges in history, was the first "angel" to formally introduce Miyaguchi to the field. In their interactions, the potential of emerging technologies impressed her, especially the possibilities of blockchain in financial inclusion, socioeconomic inequality, and human coordination, sparking her strong interest. In 2013, Miyaguchi joined Kraken when the exchange was just starting to hire, with only a few team members. Miyaguchi initially led Kraken's operations in Japan and later became the Managing Director of Kraken Japan.

In 2014, just as Miyaguchi and Kraken were beginning operations in Japan, the infamous Mt. Gox exchange collapsed. The scandal quickly spread, tarnishing the reputation of Bitcoin and Mt. Gox with various negative reports, and the initial impression of Bitcoin in Japan was filled with panic and distrust.

Therefore, Miyaguchi had to take action. She proactively reached out to the government department responsible for researching Bitcoin and related regulatory affairs, introducing her background and explaining her relevant experience in the field. She also collaborated with the self-regulatory organization Digital Asset Transfer Authority (DATA), prompting the Japanese government to decide not to regulate the cryptocurrency industry at that time, with these meetings becoming the starting point for regulatory discussions. Miyaguchi also co-founded the Japan Authority of Digital Assets (JADA) with others and subsequently participated extensively in regulatory discussions, ultimately leading to Japan's introduction of a cryptocurrency regulatory framework in 2017.

Joining Ethereum: Coordinating Community, Projects, and Fund Management

In February 2018, Miyaguchi's career took another significant turn when she accepted an invitation from Ethereum's founder, Vitalik Buterin, to join the Ethereum Foundation as an Executive Director. Established in 2015, the Ethereum Foundation is an organization dedicated to advancing Ethereum's research, development, and applications, while also supporting community activities to foster Ethereum's growth. Miyaguchi is primarily responsible for coordinating and organizing the foundation's activities, including internal affairs and collaborations with community members for initiatives such as education and events.

In fact, Miyaguchi had already met Vitalik back in 2013. During her time at Kraken, she encountered the then 19-year-old Vitalik, who was writing articles for the "Bitcoin Magazine" and actively working on Ethereum's whitepaper. For Miyaguchi, this encounter was a pivotal moment, as she later realized that Ethereum's potential far exceeded her initial imagination.

Ethereum not only enables Bitcoin-like financial transactions but, more importantly, it can bring revolutionary changes to non-financial sectors. Through smart contracts and decentralized applications (DApps), Ethereum can support new governance models, environmental solutions, and educational systems. These ideas deeply resonated with Miyaguchi, leading her to believe that if Ethereum could realize the vision outlined in the whitepaper, it would change the world. So, when Vitalik extended an olive branch, Miyaguchi quickly agreed to dive into Ethereum and become part of its core team.

Image Source: WIRED.jp

The open-source nature of Ethereum means that an increasing number of contributors come from the community, and the rapid growth of these external contributors has made coordinating internal and external work increasingly challenging. As the largest blockchain ecosystem, the Ethereum community is very diverse, encompassing anyone working on Ethereum, including individuals, organizations, companies, the EEA (Ethereum Enterprise Alliance), and more.

When Miyaguchi joined, the foundation was going through a relatively tough phase. Upon her arrival at the foundation, Miyaguchi faced significant challenges. The work of the Ethereum Foundation is not just about technical development but also involves coordinating the community, driving project funding, and managing funds. Miyaguchi's goal was to communicate as much as possible with different groups to ensure that Ethereum's development is the result of collaboration from various parties. She once stated, "Our role is more like a coordinator than a manager. Our goal is to promote the overall development of Ethereum, not to monopolize the work."

Ethereum and the "Infinite Garden"

Perhaps due to her unwavering passion as an educator, Miyaguchi, who once served as a "gardener" on campus, likes to liken Ethereum to an "infinite garden," a metaphor drawn from James P. Carse's book "Finite and Infinite Games." In her view, Ethereum is not just a technical project, but rather an "infinite game." In a "finite game," the goal for players is to win; however, in an "infinite game," the goal is to keep playing continuously, driving progress forward. In her heart, "Ethereum's mission is not just to quickly gain short-term profits, but to long-term promote the dissemination and development of the decentralization ideology."

The metaphor of a "garden" holds additional meaning. To Miyaguchi, the Ethereum community is like a national park rather than a meticulously groomed garden. It is full of diversity and vitality, where, although at times there may be radical voices or peculiar ideas, these can also serve as sources of new creativity. Just like an ecosystem in nature, the decentralized Ethereum ecosystem also needs to maintain this diversity and inclusivity.

Throughout Ethereum's development, Miyaguchi has consistently emphasized that decentralization is not just a technical challenge but also a mindset shift. She believes that the value of decentralization is not only reflected in the financial sector but also across various social levels. Many people have yet to realize that the privacy risks, data monopolies, and abuses of power brought about by centralization have permeated into our lives. The decentralized thinking advocated by Ethereum can allow us to fundamentally reexamine societal structures and transform our relationships with others and with technology.

The Decentralization Myth of the Ethereum Foundation

In an early interview, Miyaguchi once stated that questions about how the foundation operates, what the foundation's functions should be, should all be discussed internally. However, as for how the technology should be used or how governance should function, these should not be decided by the foundation or Vitalik. "As an individual who has made significant contributions to Ethereum, he also has his own views. But as I said, this should not be decided by anyone in the foundation. Foundation members can certainly have their own opinions and preferences for a particular choice, but when it comes to governance decisions, the final decision should not be made by the foundation."

However, as a decentralized project, the lack of transparency and community involvement in major decisions such as personnel appointments within the foundation has long been a criticized issue. Former Executive Director Ming Chan, prior to Miyaguchi, was heavily criticized in the Ethereum community, being accused of being too controlling, opaque, and failing to establish an effective organizational structure. Miyaguchi, on the other hand, was directly appointed through internal invitation, vetted by Vitalik, as well as the team's researchers and developers, before taking office.

Miyaguchi has also responded to criticism of this recruitment process, stating that the Foundation can certainly adopt an open process and let the community decide. "If the community members think this is the best way and suggest it, that is also okay." However, this process involves not only the community but also the Foundation's internal organizational management. They need a candidate with global work experience and long-term experience in the crypto field, and I was told they considered me to meet these criteria. "So, although this process is not public, I think it is a good idea to let the community decide."

Recently, in an unofficial on-chain vote participated in by Ethereum community members, former Ethereum Foundation core researcher Danny Ryan received 99.98% absolute support and was elected as the next Foundation lead. ConsenSys CEO and Ethereum co-founder Joseph Lubin also suggested that EF be co-led by Danny Ryan and ETH France President Jerome de Tychey to enhance technical focus and vitality.

Danny Ryan, a former Ethereum Foundation core researcher, played a key role in crucial upgrades such as Proof of Stake (PoS) and The Merge. When Miyaguchi came under fire earlier this year, Ryan also stepped up to call for an end to the "mob-like criticism" directed at her. Ryan stated that regardless of whatever role he plays in Ethereum's future, he highly respects and acknowledges Miyaguchi's leadership abilities, noting her profound strategic vision and pure intentions. "There are many reasons for Ethereum's thriving development over the years, and Aya has played a crucial role in it. Ethereum's success has always been inseparable from her support and guidance," Ryan reminisced in a tweet.

Vitalik Buterin also defended Aya Miyaguchi against accusations, pointing out translation discrepancies in the related quotes and criticizing some of the alleged violent attacks and remarks against her as "pure malice." Vitalik explicitly stated in the tweet that he personally holds decision-making power over the new EF leadership team and that ongoing reforms aim to introduce a formal board of directors to the Foundation; however, decision-making authority still rests with him personally until then.

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$COIN Joins S&P 500, but Coinbase Isn't Celebrating

On May 13, S&P Dow Jones Indices announced that Coinbase would officially replace Discover Financial Services in the S&P 500 on May 19. While other companies like Block and MicroStrategy, closely tied to Bitcoin, were already part of the S&P 500, Coinbase became the first cryptocurrency exchange whose primary business is in the index. This also signifies that cryptocurrency is gradually moving from the fringes to the mainstream in the U.S.



On the day of the announcement, Coinbase's stock price surged by 23%, surpassing the $250 mark. However, just 3 days later, Coinbase was hit by two consecutive events: a hack where employees were bribed to steal customer data and a demand for a $20 million ransom, and an investigation by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) into the authenticity of its claim of having over 100 million "verified users" in its securities filings and marketing materials. These two events acted as mini-bombs, and at the time of writing, Coinbase's stock had already dropped by over 7.3%.


Coincidentally, Discover Financial Services, being replaced by Coinbase, can also be considered the "Coinbase" of the previous payment era. Discover is a U.S.-based digital banking and payment services company headquartered in Illinois, founded in 1960. Its payment network, Discover Network, is the fourth largest payment network apart from Visa, Mastercard, and American Express.


In April, after the approval of the acquisition of Discover by the sixth-largest U.S. bank, Capital One, this well-established digital banking company of over 60 years smoothly handed over its S&P 500 "seat" to this emerging cryptocurrency "bank." This unexpected coincidence also portrayed the handover between the new and old eras in Coinbase's entry into the S&P 500, resembling a relay race scene. However, this relay baton also brought Coinbase's accumulated "external troubles and internal strife" to a tipping point.


Side Effects of ETFs


Over the past decade, cryptocurrency exchanges have been the most stable "profit machines." They play a role in providing liquidity to the entire industry and rely on trading fees to sustain their operations. However, with the comprehensive rollout of ETF products in the U.S. market, this profit model is facing unprecedented challenges. As the leader in the "American stack," with over 80% of its business coming from the U.S., Coinbase is most affected by this.



Starting from the approval of Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs, traditional financial capital has significantly onboarded users and funds that originally belonged to exchanges in a more cost-effective, compliant, and transparent manner. The transaction fee revenue of cryptocurrency exchanges has started to decline, and this trend may further intensify in the coming months.


According to Coinbase's 2024 Q4 financial report, the platform's total trading revenue was $417 million, a 45% year-on-year decrease. The contribution of BTC and ETH's trading revenue dropped from 65% in the same period last year to less than 50%.


This decline is not a result of a decrease in market enthusiasm. In fact, since the approval of the Bitcoin ETF in January 2024, the inflow of BTC into the U.S. market has continued to reach new highs, with asset management giants like BlackRock and Fidelity rapidly expanding their management scale. Data shows that BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) alone has surpassed $17 billion in assets under management. As of mid-May 2025, the cumulative net inflow of 11 major institutional Bitcoin spot ETFs on the market has exceeded $41.5 billion, with a total net asset value of $1214.69 billion, accounting for approximately 5.91% of the total Bitcoin market capitalization.


Chart showing the trend of net outflows for Grayscale among the 11 institutions


Institutional investors and some retail investors are shifting towards ETF products, partly due to compliance and tax considerations. On one hand, ETFs have much lower trading costs compared to cryptocurrency exchanges. While Coinbase's spot trading fee rate varies annually in a tiered manner but averages around 1.49%, for example, the management fee for IBIT ETF is only 0.25%, and the majority of ETF institution fees fluctuate around 0.15% to 0.25%.



In other words, the more rational users are, the more likely they are to move from exchanges to ETF products, especially for investors aiming for long-term holdings.


According to multiple sources, several institutions, including VanEck and Grayscale, have submitted applications to the SEC for a Solana (SOL) ETF, with some institutions also planning to submit an XRP ETF proposal. Once approved, this may trigger a new round of fund migration. According to a report submitted by Coinbase to the SEC, as of April, the platform's trading revenue from XRP and Solana accounted for 18% and 10%, nearly one-third of the platform's fee revenue.



However, the Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs passed in 2024 also reduced the fees for these two tokens on Coinbase from 30% and 15% to 26% and 10%, respectively. If the SOL and XRP ETFs are approved, it will further undermine the core fee revenue of exchanges like Coinbase.


The expansion of ETF products is gradually weakening the financial intermediary status of cryptocurrency exchanges. From their original roles as matchmakers and clearers to now gradually becoming mere "on-ramps and off-ramps" for funds, exchanges are seeing their marginal value squeezed by ETFs.


Robinhood Takes a Stand, Traditional Brokerages Join the Fray


On May 12, 2025, SEC Chairman Paul S. Atkins gave a keynote speech at the Tokenization and Cryptocurrency Working Group roundtable. The theme of his speech revolved around "It is a new day at the SEC," where he indicated that the SEC would not approach enforcement and regulation the same way as before but would instead pave the way for cryptocurrency assets in the U.S. market.



With signs of cryptocurrency compliance such as the SEC's "NEW DAY" declaration, an increasing number of traditional brokerages are attempting to enter the cryptocurrency industry. One of the most representative cases is the well-known U.S. brokerage Robinhood, which began expanding its crypto business in 2018. By the time of its IPO in 2021, Robinhood's crypto business revenue accounted for over 50% of the company, with a significant boost from the Dogecoin "moonshot" promoted by Musk.


In Q1 2025 earnings report, Robinhood showcased strong growth, especially in revenue from cryptocurrency and options trading. Fueled by Trump's Memecoin, cryptocurrency-related revenue reached $250 million, nearly doubling year-over-year. Consequently, Robinhood Gold subscription users reached 3.5 million, a 90% increase from the previous year, with the rapid growth of Robinhood Gold providing the company with a stable source of income.



Meanwhile, RobinHood is actively pursuing acquisitions in the cryptocurrency space. In 2024, it announced a $2 billion acquisition of the long-standing European cryptocurrency exchange Bitstamp. Additionally, Canada's largest cryptocurrency CEX, WonderFi, which recently went public on the Toronto Stock Exchange, also announced its integration with RobinHood Crypto. After obtaining virtual asset licenses in the UK, Canada, Singapore, and other markets, RobinHood has taken a proactive approach in the compliant cryptocurrency trading market.



Furthermore, an increasing number of brokerage firms are exploring the same path. Futu Securities, Tiger Brokers, and others are also dipping their toes into cryptocurrency trading, with some having applied for or obtained the VA license from the Hong Kong SFC. Although their user bases are currently small, traditional brokerages have a natural advantage in user trust, regulatory licenses, and low fee structures. This could pose a threat to native cryptocurrency platforms in the future.



User Data Breach: Is Coinbase Still Secure?


In April 2025, security researchers discovered that some Coinbase user data was leaked on the dark web. While the platform initially responded by attributing it to a "technical misinformation," it still raised concerns among users regarding its security and privacy protection. Just two days before Dow Jones Indexes announced Coinbase's addition to the S&P 500 Index, on May 11, 2025, Coinbase received an email from an unknown threat actor claiming to have obtained customer account information and internal documents, demanding a $20 million ransom to keep the data private. Subsequent investigations confirmed the data breach.


Cybercriminals obtained the data by bribing overseas customer service agents and support staff, mainly in "non-U.S. regions such as India." These agents abused their access to Coinbase's internal customer support system and stole customer data. As early as February this year, blockchain detective ZachXBT revealed on X platform that between December 2024 and January 2025, Coinbase users lost over $65 million to social engineering scams, with the actual amount potentially higher.


Among the victims was a well-known figure, 67-year-old Ed Suman, an established artist in the art world for nearly two decades, having been involved in the creation of artworks such as Jeff Koons' "Balloon Dog" sculpture. Earlier this year, he fell victim to an impersonation scam involving fake Coinbase customer support, resulting in a loss of over $2 million in cryptocurrency. ZachXBT critiqued Coinbase for its inadequate handling of such scams, noting that other major exchanges have not faced similar issues and recommending Coinbase to enhance its security measures.


Amidst a series of ongoing social engineering incidents, although there has not been any impact on user assets at the technical level so far, it has raised concerns among many retail and institutional investors. Especially institutions holding massive assets on Coinbase. Just considering the U.S. BTC ETF institutions, as of mid-May 2025, they collectively hold nearly 840,000 BTC, and 75% of these are custodied by Coinbase. If we price BTC at $100,000, this amount reaches a staggering $63 billion, which is equivalent to the nominal GDP of two Iceland in the year 2024.


Visualization: ChatGPT, Source: Farside


In addition, Coinbase Custody also serves over 300 institutional clients, including hedge funds, family offices, pension funds, and endowments. As of the Q1 2025 financial report, Coinbase's total assets under management (including institutional and retail clients) reached $404 billion. The specific amount of institutional custodied assets was not explicitly disclosed in the latest report, but it should still be over 50% based on the Q4 2024 report.


Visualization: ChatGPT


Once this security barrier is breached, not only could the rate of user attrition far exceed expectations, but more importantly, institutional trust in it would undermine the foundation of its business. Therefore, after a hacking event, Coinbase's stock price plummeted significantly.


CEXs are All in Self-Rescue Mode


Facing a decline in spot trading fee revenue, Coinbase is also accelerating its transformation, attempting to find growth opportunities in derivatives and emerging assets. Coinbase acquired a stake in the options platform Deribit at the end of 2024 and announced the official launch of perpetual contract products in 2025. This acquisition fills in Coinbase's gap in options trading and its relatively small global market share.



Deribit has a strong presence in non-U.S. markets, especially in Asia and Europe. The acquisition has enabled Coinbase to gain a dominant position in bitcoin and ethereum options trading on Deribit, accounting for approximately 80% of the global options trading volume, with daily trading volume remaining above $2 billion.


Meanwhile, 80-90% of Deribit's customer base consists of institutional investors, with their professionalism and liquidity in the Bitcoin and Ethereum options market highly favored by institutions. Coinbase's compliance advantage, coupled with its already robust institutional ecosystem, makes it even more suitable. By using institutions as an entry point, it can face the squeeze from giants like Binance and OKX in the derivatives market.



Facing a similar dilemma is Kraken, which is attempting to replicate Binance Futures' model in non-U.S. markets. Since the derivatives market relies more on professional users, fee rates are relatively higher and stickiness is stronger, making it a significant source of revenue for exchanges. In the first half of 2025, Kraken completed the acquisition of TradeStation Crypto and a futures exchange, aiming to build a complete derivatives trading ecosystem to hedge the risk of declining spot transaction fee income.


With the surge of Memecoin in 2024, Binance, OKX, and various CEX platforms began massively listing small-market-cap, highly volatile tokens to activate active trading users. Due to the wealth effect and trading activity of Memecoins, Coinbase was also forced to join the battle, successively listing popular tokens from the Solana ecosystem such as BOOK OF MEME and Dogwifhat. Although these coins are controversial, they are frequently traded, with fee rates several times higher than mainstream coins, serving as a "blood-boosting" method for spot trading.


However, due to its status as a publicly traded company, this practice is a riskier endeavor for Coinbase. Even in the current crypto-friendly environment, the SEC is still investigating whether tokens like SOL, ADA, and SAND constitute securities.


In addition to the forced transformation strategies carried out by the aforementioned CEXs, they are also starting to lay out RWAs and the most talked-about stablecoin payment fields, such as the PYUSD launched through a collaboration between Coinbase and Paypal, Coinbase's support for the Euro stablecoin EURC by Circle that complies with EU MiCA regulatory requirements, or the USD1 launched through a collaboration between Binance and WIFL. In the increasingly crowded trading field, many CEXs have shifted their focus from just the trading market to the application field.


The golden age of transaction fees has quietly ended, and the second half of the crypto exchange platform game has silently begun.


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Whether you are an insider or an outsider, these days you must be familiar with the news about Ethereum. The reason is simple, causing Ethereum enthusiasts to sigh with emotion and almost throwing off-guard those who defend Ethereum, Ethereum, with a "3-day surge of 40%," climbed to the top of the Douyin Hot List.



Where Does the Rally Come From?


As we all know, Ethereum launched the Pectra upgrade on May 7th. This most significant network upgrade since early 2024 integrates the Prague execution layer hard fork and the Electra consensus layer upgrade, significantly improving Ethereum's performance through 11 improvement proposals. The account abstraction feature (EIP-7702) allows users to flexibly manage wallets through social media accounts or multi-signature schemes, reducing the user threshold, attracting more users and developers. The staking mechanism optimization increases the validator ETH cap from 32ETH to 2048ETH and introduces a flexible withdrawal method, making it easier for institutions and individuals to participate in network security, enhancing the market's confidence in Ethereum's long-term value.


At the same time, Pectra optimized the interaction efficiency of Layer 2 networks such as Arbitrum and Optimism, making transactions faster and cheaper, leading to a surge in on-chain activity. As a crucial step for Ethereum's transition from "2G" to "5G," the Pectra upgrade not only enhances network vitality but also "recharges confidence" in the market, directly driving the price increase.



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It's not just Ethereum itself, as Wall Street also brought important bullish news.


The world's largest asset management company, BlackRock, proposed to the SEC allowing Ethereum ETFs for staking. This proposal is expected to elevate Ethereum ETFs from a mere investment tool to a bond-like "interest-bearing asset," bringing investors both capital appreciation and passive income, igniting market optimism about Ethereum's future potential.



Specifically, BlackRock has proposed to amend its S-1 filing to allow investors to create and redeem ETF shares directly with Ethereum instead of the U.S. dollar (i.e., in-kind redemption). This move, combined with its $2.9 billion BUIDL Fund launched in March 2024, aims to deepen the integration of traditional finance with blockchain. The BUIDL Fund is a tokenized fund operating on the Ethereum network, investing in traditional assets such as U.S. Treasury bonds. This setup is highly attractive to institutional investors, as they can not only benefit from Ethereum's price appreciation but also earn stable cash flow through staking.


Robert Mitchnick, BlackRock's Head of Digital Assets, stated in a CNBC interview in March 2025 that the addition of staking functionality will significantly enhance the appeal of the Ethereum ETF. He admitted that when the Ethereum spot ETF was launched in July 2024 without staking functionality, the market demand was lackluster, and staking could be the key to reversing this trend.


Meanwhile, the SEC's shifting stance on cryptocurrency regulation has also fueled this upward trend. During the tenure of the previous SEC chairman, the regulatory approach was tough, and staking was strictly viewed through the Howey test as a potential unregistered security. Therefore, when approving the Ethereum spot ETF in May 2024, staking functionality was explicitly prohibited.


However, with Trump back in the White House and Paul Atkins taking over the SEC, there has been a noticeable relaxation in crypto regulation. Apart from BlackRock, ETF issuers such as Invesco Galaxy, VanEck, WisdomTree, and 21Shares have also submitted applications for similar staking and in-kind redemption.


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If staking ETFs are approved, the benefits are likely to go beyond price appreciation. The introduction of staking functionality could redefine the role of crypto assets, making them more similar to traditional financial products that provide returns and value appreciation, thereby driving Ethereum closer to mainstream finance.


Currently, the SEC still needs to address several decisions related to crypto ETFs, including whether to approve ETFs for Solana, XRP, Litecoin, and even Dogecoin. With the calls for an "altcoin season" growing louder, Ethereum's strong performance may just be the beginning of a larger crypto market frenzy.


In addition, the Trump family-related DeFi project WLFI is also bullish on this wave of rise, with frequent on-chain activities. According to on-chain data analyst @ai_9684xtpa's monitoring, a WLFI-related address is currently borrowing coins to go long on ETH, borrowing 4 million U from Aave to buy 1590 ETH at an average price of $2515 per ETH.


Has Ethereum's Price Peaked in This Wave?


For this epic surge of Ethereum after half a year of silence, the community has indeed gained more confidence and hope, which has also led to a revival of the entire altcoin market. However, amidst the joy, there are also voices of pessimism. Below is a summary conducted by BlockBeats based on community discussions.


The optimists point out that the current market structure is similar to the eve of the bull markets in 2016 and 2020, predicting a life-changing surge in the next 3-6 months, where some altcoins may even achieve astonishing single-day gains of up to 40%.


@liuwei16602825 stated that this surge signifies the return of the bull market as a sure thing. There is no need to worry about a pullback. The driving force behind the surge uses a high-cost isolated operation, fearing a drop more than any retail investor and will definitely do everything to support the price.


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The bears mainly believe that this surge is different from the bull market of 2021, as the current market lacks the confidence of large-scale retail investors entering and holding positions for the long term, with funds rotating too quickly.


@market_beggar observed that a Bitfinex E/B whale has started to close positions and believes that if this whale maintains its high-speed position-closing operation for the next few days, it can be inferred that the whale no longer sees the upside potential of ETH, preparing to take profits and exit. The closing time will be a key focus going forward.



@FLS_OTC stated that there are still many uncertainties at the macro level, and the liquidity cannot support a major bull market. At this stage, it is a "last hurrah," not a complete reversal, and will continue to remain in a short position.


@off_thetarget believes that after ETH transitioned from POW to POS, it lost the "gold standard" of mining machine power cost support. The staking economic model led to a breakdown in value anchoring. Additionally, the L2 ecosystem (such as Starknet, zkSync, etc.) suffered from liquidity fragmentation, failing to establish an effective capital inflow mechanism, causing the collapse of the split disc pattern. Furthermore, the ETH community's excessive pursuit of technical narratives divorced from real-world needs resulted in a weak ecosystem growth. Therefore, he believes that ETH's intrinsic value system has crumbled, and the price is bound to plummet to the 800-1200 range, with a decisive short position at 1800.


@Airdrop_Guard, based on the core logic of the "High Probability Trading Strategy," where three sets of underlying logic different trading systems (such as volume depletion, price supply-demand, long/short position funding rate, etc.) simultaneously issue a short signal at the same point (2580), creating a high-probability trading opportunity. He emphasizes that these systems must be based on different algorithms and logics (rather than mere technical indicator overlays). The current ETH trend aligns with the short conditions in multiple independent dimensions of his trading system, hence the decision to short.


Overall, Bitcoin still maintains over 54% market dominance, and institutional funds' continued preference for it may limit the altcoin's upward potential. The market's future direction will depend on multiple factors, such as Bitcoin's price trend, global macroeconomic conditions, and whether funds can effectively rotate from Bitcoin to the altcoin sector.


Although Ethereum's recent leadership in the market has brought about optimistic sentiment, investors still need to remain rational as different sectors of altcoins are likely to show divergence in trends. Whether this round of Ethereum's rise will usher in a true altcoin frenzy may require more time and conducive conditions.


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