Solana AI Hackathon Alpha Continues, Organizers Issue a Callout: "No More Hype!"

By: blockbeats|2025/01/06 05:15:03
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Original Article Title: Solana AI Hackathon and Token Launches—Note to Builders and Investors
Original Article Author: yashhsm, Crypto Kol
Original Article Translation: zhouzhou, BlockBeats

Editor's Note: This article criticizes the current phenomenon of token abuse in the Crypto x AI field, pointing out that many projects hastily issue tokens for short-term hype, leading to neglect of long-term development. It calls on developers not to blindly follow trends but to focus on practical product development, while also warning about the complexity of token management and potential risks.

The following is the original content (slightly reorganized for better readability):

When we started this hackathon, my vision was simple: to make Solana the AI Chain and achieve 10x growth.

Hosting a hackathon was the best way I could think of—bringing everyone together while diving into the cryptocurrency and AI agent field that I am very bullish on.

Over the past month, I can confidently say that the "SoHana AI Hackathon" has not only become a strong brand but has also completely transformed the Solana agent ecosystem. In just 15 days, over 400 projects emerged, which was no easy feat. I am immensely proud of the team; they contributed to increasing the Solana token market cap by $5-10 billion.

Of course, from the outset, we knew that due to this unique trend of cryptocurrency and AI agents, there would be token issuance. This is not an issue if developers use tokens as a means of capital formation to build excellent products. We also carefully designed all 8 tracks (with absolutely no sponsor intervention) to encourage the development of truly useful agents.

However, we never imagined that this would turn into a speculative gambling arena. For example, the solanaaihackathon.com/projects page alone attracted over 40,000 visitors in a week. Now, 2-3 hackathon projects are issuing tokens worth $50 million each day, with a total value exceeding $500 million. Unintentionally, the Solana AI Hackathon has become an AI token discovery platform.

Solana AI Hackathon Alpha Continues, Organizers Issue a Callout:

Current Situation or Operation Guide

1. Submit the project in a hackathon and appear in the Solana AI Hackathon project directory.

2. Boost credibility with the Solana AI Hackathon/SendAI.

3. Issue a token to be whale and KOL-focused and promoted, instantly achieving a $5 million to $50 million issuance.

4. Speculators see this as a hackathon project that could potentially achieve a 100x return, early entry—perfect speculation ground.

This is not new—typical power law distribution driving speculation.

While seeing some developers issue tokens and use them as a means of fundraising is a good thing, like any popular trend, this bubble has already overinflated. Although this model is closer to a fair launch (similar to an ICO), in my opinion, this is not the best direction for us to develop.

Issues with Over-Tokenization

The current trend is making developers short-sighted:

1. Currently, 90% of Crypto x AI projects are similar to meme coins like Dogecoin, as long as the project team is transparent about this, it's completely acceptable. However, those that promote the token as a "utility token" are more hypocritical.

2. This trend may cause long-term harm to real developers (especially marginalized groups)—they are forced into short-term development.

3. Most agency/infrastructure projects have found that tokens are the best way to attract attention:

Token surge → Agency/Framework in the limelight (but no actual users) → Token surge → Everyone happy.

Many projects simply release random announcements or demos (even with a market cap exceeding $2 billion), catering to speculators for quick price pumps, and then whales/small groups promote these tokens as "amazing technology," eventually dumping the bags on retail investors.

Many developers are well aware that their products cannot be mass-produced or practically applied, so they just keep releasing demos or random "X x Y" announcements. Ask which ones are truly live, scalable, and fully on-chain agency-type products—I can wait.

Whales/KOLs Worse Than VC

Whales and small groups have made this game very dirty, they will front-run the supply, or convince developers to allocate tokens, then pump through false narratives ("Backed by XX"—actually just a retweet with "great tech"), promote within the speculative community, and then continuously dump (or eventually dump), harming retail investors and developers. Their tokens are fully unlocked—because of this issuance method.

Advice for Developers

Do not issue a token just for the sake of issuing a token, especially when your own holdings represent less than 5%. Trust me, when the price starts to drop, you will not have any motivation to continue development.

Yes, the token will experience a short-term pump, and you will enjoy the brief moment of issuing a $50-100 million token, but when the price retraces, you will lose the motivation to keep building—left with only a group of hodlers expecting you to "keep building."

Remember, a token is an asset technically, but emotionally, it is a massive burden. Issuing a token is easy, but managing a token is a very complex process—and not fun at all.

The community, KOLs, and small groups will not help when the price is dropping—you will be on your own.

If you truly need seed capital, you can issue a token, but do not rush into it just to follow a trend.

Ask yourself: "Even if the token's market cap drops below $500,000, will I continue building this project in the next 6 months?" If the answer is yes, then go ahead and issue the token.

View on Hackathon Developers and Speculators

Developers who have issued visionless tokens: Good luck managing it, let's revisit in 6 months. If you are a visionless opportunistic developer who issued a token just to cater to speculators—I will not respect you as a developer at all. Even if your token reaches a market cap of $100 million or $500 million, when the time comes, I will directly criticize you.

If you have not issued a token yet, stay strong, put "no token" in your Twitter bio, never hint at a token issuance. Focus on development and delivery, without worrying about false token launches.

My advice to KOLs and speculators is this: Crypto x AI KOLs, please be responsible for the content you promote, especially regarding tokens. Guide developers not to allocate token shares or chase influence for short-term gains. Speculators, do not blindly buy into something you don't understand just because a KOL you like recommended it. In the end, you will be the biggest loser.

Hackathon Results and Next Steps

Many respected figures in the industry have contacted me, requesting the token list or preferred projects. They ask for the hackathon results announcement date and even the hackathon results. We have received at least 50+ direct messages, and some have even offered bribes or token allocations.

We have decided to cancel the demo day and have solana or sendaifun announce the results directly. Developers, do not worry, we will roll out an even more exciting event than demo day in the future!

As for the token issuance issue, there is currently no best solution, but I will continue to explore during my spare time.

Overall, I am very optimistic about the Crypto x AI agency field, which is a nascent billion-dollar industry. We have been fully self-funded in the past month, launching SendAI, Solana AI Hackathon, and Solana Agent Kit.

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$COIN Joins S&P 500, but Coinbase Isn't Celebrating

On May 13, S&P Dow Jones Indices announced that Coinbase would officially replace Discover Financial Services in the S&P 500 on May 19. While other companies like Block and MicroStrategy, closely tied to Bitcoin, were already part of the S&P 500, Coinbase became the first cryptocurrency exchange whose primary business is in the index. This also signifies that cryptocurrency is gradually moving from the fringes to the mainstream in the U.S.



On the day of the announcement, Coinbase's stock price surged by 23%, surpassing the $250 mark. However, just 3 days later, Coinbase was hit by two consecutive events: a hack where employees were bribed to steal customer data and a demand for a $20 million ransom, and an investigation by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) into the authenticity of its claim of having over 100 million "verified users" in its securities filings and marketing materials. These two events acted as mini-bombs, and at the time of writing, Coinbase's stock had already dropped by over 7.3%.


Coincidentally, Discover Financial Services, being replaced by Coinbase, can also be considered the "Coinbase" of the previous payment era. Discover is a U.S.-based digital banking and payment services company headquartered in Illinois, founded in 1960. Its payment network, Discover Network, is the fourth largest payment network apart from Visa, Mastercard, and American Express.


In April, after the approval of the acquisition of Discover by the sixth-largest U.S. bank, Capital One, this well-established digital banking company of over 60 years smoothly handed over its S&P 500 "seat" to this emerging cryptocurrency "bank." This unexpected coincidence also portrayed the handover between the new and old eras in Coinbase's entry into the S&P 500, resembling a relay race scene. However, this relay baton also brought Coinbase's accumulated "external troubles and internal strife" to a tipping point.


Side Effects of ETFs


Over the past decade, cryptocurrency exchanges have been the most stable "profit machines." They play a role in providing liquidity to the entire industry and rely on trading fees to sustain their operations. However, with the comprehensive rollout of ETF products in the U.S. market, this profit model is facing unprecedented challenges. As the leader in the "American stack," with over 80% of its business coming from the U.S., Coinbase is most affected by this.



Starting from the approval of Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs, traditional financial capital has significantly onboarded users and funds that originally belonged to exchanges in a more cost-effective, compliant, and transparent manner. The transaction fee revenue of cryptocurrency exchanges has started to decline, and this trend may further intensify in the coming months.


According to Coinbase's 2024 Q4 financial report, the platform's total trading revenue was $417 million, a 45% year-on-year decrease. The contribution of BTC and ETH's trading revenue dropped from 65% in the same period last year to less than 50%.


This decline is not a result of a decrease in market enthusiasm. In fact, since the approval of the Bitcoin ETF in January 2024, the inflow of BTC into the U.S. market has continued to reach new highs, with asset management giants like BlackRock and Fidelity rapidly expanding their management scale. Data shows that BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) alone has surpassed $17 billion in assets under management. As of mid-May 2025, the cumulative net inflow of 11 major institutional Bitcoin spot ETFs on the market has exceeded $41.5 billion, with a total net asset value of $1214.69 billion, accounting for approximately 5.91% of the total Bitcoin market capitalization.


Chart showing the trend of net outflows for Grayscale among the 11 institutions


Institutional investors and some retail investors are shifting towards ETF products, partly due to compliance and tax considerations. On one hand, ETFs have much lower trading costs compared to cryptocurrency exchanges. While Coinbase's spot trading fee rate varies annually in a tiered manner but averages around 1.49%, for example, the management fee for IBIT ETF is only 0.25%, and the majority of ETF institution fees fluctuate around 0.15% to 0.25%.



In other words, the more rational users are, the more likely they are to move from exchanges to ETF products, especially for investors aiming for long-term holdings.


According to multiple sources, several institutions, including VanEck and Grayscale, have submitted applications to the SEC for a Solana (SOL) ETF, with some institutions also planning to submit an XRP ETF proposal. Once approved, this may trigger a new round of fund migration. According to a report submitted by Coinbase to the SEC, as of April, the platform's trading revenue from XRP and Solana accounted for 18% and 10%, nearly one-third of the platform's fee revenue.



However, the Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs passed in 2024 also reduced the fees for these two tokens on Coinbase from 30% and 15% to 26% and 10%, respectively. If the SOL and XRP ETFs are approved, it will further undermine the core fee revenue of exchanges like Coinbase.


The expansion of ETF products is gradually weakening the financial intermediary status of cryptocurrency exchanges. From their original roles as matchmakers and clearers to now gradually becoming mere "on-ramps and off-ramps" for funds, exchanges are seeing their marginal value squeezed by ETFs.


Robinhood Takes a Stand, Traditional Brokerages Join the Fray


On May 12, 2025, SEC Chairman Paul S. Atkins gave a keynote speech at the Tokenization and Cryptocurrency Working Group roundtable. The theme of his speech revolved around "It is a new day at the SEC," where he indicated that the SEC would not approach enforcement and regulation the same way as before but would instead pave the way for cryptocurrency assets in the U.S. market.



With signs of cryptocurrency compliance such as the SEC's "NEW DAY" declaration, an increasing number of traditional brokerages are attempting to enter the cryptocurrency industry. One of the most representative cases is the well-known U.S. brokerage Robinhood, which began expanding its crypto business in 2018. By the time of its IPO in 2021, Robinhood's crypto business revenue accounted for over 50% of the company, with a significant boost from the Dogecoin "moonshot" promoted by Musk.


In Q1 2025 earnings report, Robinhood showcased strong growth, especially in revenue from cryptocurrency and options trading. Fueled by Trump's Memecoin, cryptocurrency-related revenue reached $250 million, nearly doubling year-over-year. Consequently, Robinhood Gold subscription users reached 3.5 million, a 90% increase from the previous year, with the rapid growth of Robinhood Gold providing the company with a stable source of income.



Meanwhile, RobinHood is actively pursuing acquisitions in the cryptocurrency space. In 2024, it announced a $2 billion acquisition of the long-standing European cryptocurrency exchange Bitstamp. Additionally, Canada's largest cryptocurrency CEX, WonderFi, which recently went public on the Toronto Stock Exchange, also announced its integration with RobinHood Crypto. After obtaining virtual asset licenses in the UK, Canada, Singapore, and other markets, RobinHood has taken a proactive approach in the compliant cryptocurrency trading market.



Furthermore, an increasing number of brokerage firms are exploring the same path. Futu Securities, Tiger Brokers, and others are also dipping their toes into cryptocurrency trading, with some having applied for or obtained the VA license from the Hong Kong SFC. Although their user bases are currently small, traditional brokerages have a natural advantage in user trust, regulatory licenses, and low fee structures. This could pose a threat to native cryptocurrency platforms in the future.



User Data Breach: Is Coinbase Still Secure?


In April 2025, security researchers discovered that some Coinbase user data was leaked on the dark web. While the platform initially responded by attributing it to a "technical misinformation," it still raised concerns among users regarding its security and privacy protection. Just two days before Dow Jones Indexes announced Coinbase's addition to the S&P 500 Index, on May 11, 2025, Coinbase received an email from an unknown threat actor claiming to have obtained customer account information and internal documents, demanding a $20 million ransom to keep the data private. Subsequent investigations confirmed the data breach.


Cybercriminals obtained the data by bribing overseas customer service agents and support staff, mainly in "non-U.S. regions such as India." These agents abused their access to Coinbase's internal customer support system and stole customer data. As early as February this year, blockchain detective ZachXBT revealed on X platform that between December 2024 and January 2025, Coinbase users lost over $65 million to social engineering scams, with the actual amount potentially higher.


Among the victims was a well-known figure, 67-year-old Ed Suman, an established artist in the art world for nearly two decades, having been involved in the creation of artworks such as Jeff Koons' "Balloon Dog" sculpture. Earlier this year, he fell victim to an impersonation scam involving fake Coinbase customer support, resulting in a loss of over $2 million in cryptocurrency. ZachXBT critiqued Coinbase for its inadequate handling of such scams, noting that other major exchanges have not faced similar issues and recommending Coinbase to enhance its security measures.


Amidst a series of ongoing social engineering incidents, although there has not been any impact on user assets at the technical level so far, it has raised concerns among many retail and institutional investors. Especially institutions holding massive assets on Coinbase. Just considering the U.S. BTC ETF institutions, as of mid-May 2025, they collectively hold nearly 840,000 BTC, and 75% of these are custodied by Coinbase. If we price BTC at $100,000, this amount reaches a staggering $63 billion, which is equivalent to the nominal GDP of two Iceland in the year 2024.


Visualization: ChatGPT, Source: Farside


In addition, Coinbase Custody also serves over 300 institutional clients, including hedge funds, family offices, pension funds, and endowments. As of the Q1 2025 financial report, Coinbase's total assets under management (including institutional and retail clients) reached $404 billion. The specific amount of institutional custodied assets was not explicitly disclosed in the latest report, but it should still be over 50% based on the Q4 2024 report.


Visualization: ChatGPT


Once this security barrier is breached, not only could the rate of user attrition far exceed expectations, but more importantly, institutional trust in it would undermine the foundation of its business. Therefore, after a hacking event, Coinbase's stock price plummeted significantly.


CEXs are All in Self-Rescue Mode


Facing a decline in spot trading fee revenue, Coinbase is also accelerating its transformation, attempting to find growth opportunities in derivatives and emerging assets. Coinbase acquired a stake in the options platform Deribit at the end of 2024 and announced the official launch of perpetual contract products in 2025. This acquisition fills in Coinbase's gap in options trading and its relatively small global market share.



Deribit has a strong presence in non-U.S. markets, especially in Asia and Europe. The acquisition has enabled Coinbase to gain a dominant position in bitcoin and ethereum options trading on Deribit, accounting for approximately 80% of the global options trading volume, with daily trading volume remaining above $2 billion.


Meanwhile, 80-90% of Deribit's customer base consists of institutional investors, with their professionalism and liquidity in the Bitcoin and Ethereum options market highly favored by institutions. Coinbase's compliance advantage, coupled with its already robust institutional ecosystem, makes it even more suitable. By using institutions as an entry point, it can face the squeeze from giants like Binance and OKX in the derivatives market.



Facing a similar dilemma is Kraken, which is attempting to replicate Binance Futures' model in non-U.S. markets. Since the derivatives market relies more on professional users, fee rates are relatively higher and stickiness is stronger, making it a significant source of revenue for exchanges. In the first half of 2025, Kraken completed the acquisition of TradeStation Crypto and a futures exchange, aiming to build a complete derivatives trading ecosystem to hedge the risk of declining spot transaction fee income.


With the surge of Memecoin in 2024, Binance, OKX, and various CEX platforms began massively listing small-market-cap, highly volatile tokens to activate active trading users. Due to the wealth effect and trading activity of Memecoins, Coinbase was also forced to join the battle, successively listing popular tokens from the Solana ecosystem such as BOOK OF MEME and Dogwifhat. Although these coins are controversial, they are frequently traded, with fee rates several times higher than mainstream coins, serving as a "blood-boosting" method for spot trading.


However, due to its status as a publicly traded company, this practice is a riskier endeavor for Coinbase. Even in the current crypto-friendly environment, the SEC is still investigating whether tokens like SOL, ADA, and SAND constitute securities.


In addition to the forced transformation strategies carried out by the aforementioned CEXs, they are also starting to lay out RWAs and the most talked-about stablecoin payment fields, such as the PYUSD launched through a collaboration between Coinbase and Paypal, Coinbase's support for the Euro stablecoin EURC by Circle that complies with EU MiCA regulatory requirements, or the USD1 launched through a collaboration between Binance and WIFL. In the increasingly crowded trading field, many CEXs have shifted their focus from just the trading market to the application field.


The golden age of transaction fees has quietly ended, and the second half of the crypto exchange platform game has silently begun.


Key Market Insights for May 16th, how much did you miss out on?

1. On-chain Flows: $111.3M inflow to Ethereum this week; $237.6M outflow from Berachain 2. Largest Price Swings: $ETHFI, $NEIRO 3. Top News: Data: Solana Network's revenue reached $7.9M on the 13th, surpassing the sum of all other L1 and L2 chains

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